Posted on 06/28/2007 5:36:05 PM PDT by Reform Canada
IT'S GLOBAL COOLING... AND IT'S DEADLY
By: Phil Brennan
Unless you've been living in an igloo in some desolate arctic region bereft of any form of communication with the outside world it should become obvious that the world has been undergoing some pretty violent episodes of extreme weather, destruction by fire of vast forest areas, and incredible amounts of rainfall resulting in floods of an unprecedented magnitude from Texas to England and just about everyplace else.
If you've been following my series on global cooling starting in 1997, none of this will come as a surprise. These are all symptoms of an approaching ice age - symptoms, the record shows, present prior to the onset of all previous ice ages.
Before I get further into this, let me make it clear that I am not predicting the sudden appearance of great sheets of ice descending on the northern U.S. And Europe and burying New York under a few miles of ice in the near future - that's 30,000 years away and doesn't concern us - at least those of us who don't plan to be around then.
What concerns me, and should concern you, is the period that precedes the onset of glaciation. As I wrote back in 1997* and have harped on ever since, is the fact that the historical records show that the period between the switch from interglacial interludes and the return of glaciation is about 20 short years.
Moreover, as the earth proceeds through that 20 year period, all hell breaks loose, with each year getting worse and more violent than the previous one. Mother Nature appears to go more and more berserk each year and by the time that glaciation begins to set in Mother earth and its inhabitants- us - are devastated - if still alive - to say the least.
Do I have your attention now?
Before you accuse me of being a demented alarmist take a look at some facts. In my 1997 series, The IceMan Cometh, I wrote of studies by Dr. George Kukla a member of the Czechoslovakian Academy of Sciences and a pioneer in the field of astronomical forcing.
I explained that in the early 1960s, Dr.Kukla and Julius Fink examined glacial loess deposits and found evidence of ten ice ages in the samples. Later, in 1977, the journal Quaternary Research published their findings in an article "Pleistocene Climates in Central Europe: At least 17 Interglacials after the Olduvai Event."
Now comes the Financial Post's Lawrence Solomon with a piece "Forget Warming - beware the next new ice age," in which he discusses Dr. Kukla's warnings harking back to the 1970s and his present contentions.Solomon himself is executive director of Urban Renaissance Institute and Consumer Policy Institute, divisions of Energy Probe Research Foundation. He has recently written about and identified many scientists who deny the claims of Al Gore and his chums who claim fasely that all reputable scientists say the science is settled and that's it!
Before I cite Solomon's article I want to dispel any questions skeptics might have about Dr. Kukla and his solid credentials. According Solomon Dr. Kukla is a micropalentologist and Special Research Scientist at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, and is a pioneer in the study of solar forcing of climate changes. He was the lead author of the scientific paper that first supported Milutin Milankovic's theory of glacial cycles by investigating the stratigraphy in deep-sea sediment cores from the southern Indian Ocean. In the cores were clear imprints of Milankovic's proposed cycles. In his paper he wrote, "We are certain now that changes in the Earth's orbital geometry caused the ice ages. The evidence is so strong that other explanations must now be discarded or modified." Prior to joining Columbia in 1971, he had published landmark studies in Czechoslovakia, where he was a member of the Czechoslovakian Academy of Sciences.
O.K. Here's what Dr. Kukla says now. He maintains that the record clearly shows that global warming always precedes an ice age. That makes the current period of global warming a mere blip that constitutes additional indication of the ice age to come.
He insists that the fundamental issue here could not be more clear: For millions of years, the geologic record shows, Earth has experienced an ongoing cycle of ice ages, each typically lasting about 100,000 years, and each punctuated by briefer, warmer periods called interglacials, such as the one we are now in. This ongoing cycle closely matches cyclic variations in Earth's orbit around the sun.
"I feel we're on pretty solid ground in interpreting orbit around the sun as the primary driving force behind ice-age glaciation. The relationship is just too clear and consistent to allow reasonable doubt," Dr. Kukla said. "It's either that, or climate drives orbit, and that just doesn't make sense."
In 1997 I wrote about the 20 year period between interglacial periods and glaciation. I quoted paleologist-pollen specialist Genevieve Woillard as writing in a 1979 Nature article about that period. She wrote that the only real question remaining is how long it will take for the glaciation process to set in.
Woillard reported on her studies of pollen samples in a lake bottom in South Vosges, France. She wrote that at the start of a number of past glacial periods, the vegetation changed from temperate zone trees to subarctic needle-bearing trees in a period of 150 years plus or minus 75 years. The change was one of gradual deterioration until the last 20 years. During that final score of years, the type of vegetation completely changed.
What her studies, and those of other paleoclimatologists who have examined past ice ages show, is that the transition between interglacial and glacial periods is one of increasing violence -- more volcanic eruptions, storms, earthquakes and other natural disasters.
To sum up, here are a few facts - that's facts, not the computer models (guesses) that pass for evidence in the global warming community:
For at least the past five million years, the earth has experienced ice ages lasting 90,000 years or so, followed by interglacial periods like the present one that last about 12,000 years.
The last ice age ended 12,000 years ago.
Every time the atmospheric levels of CO2 have exceeded 300 ppms an ice age has occurred. Those levels now exceed 400 ppms.
The transition period between ice ages and temperate climates is about 20 years and that period is one of increasing violence.
Galciation is an acceleration of the normal process of using evaporated water to carry heat energy from the warm zones to cold zones. The effect of an increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases such as water vapor - the real grenhouse gas - is to increase cloud cover over polar latitudes. The clouds have a cooling effect as well as providing the snow for glaciation. The energy is dissipated in arctic space. Spring and Fall seasons get shorter and shorter until all that's left is winter.
To get to the point of all of this, let me quote what I write back in 1997 about the opinions of former government scientist Dr. George Kaplan, the real historian of the global warming/global cooling dispute.
"Has the warming theory 'campaign' been the last stand of an arrant scientific ideology?" he asked "Such a hypothesis can be acceptable to some, but the obvious failing of the theory in the face of global catastrophe argues for a more substantial motivation.
"It would pay to investigate this motivation further to consider whether politics has been responsive to poor science or whether economics and politics have made false tools out of science for narrow interest.
"If the latter is true the manipulation and subversion of the truth seeking apparatus by political and private interests is, in the present situation, of such extreme malevolence that it ranks as the greatest malfeasance in history."
Exactly.
In short, what Al Gore and his supporters are doing is nothing short of criminal . At a time in the world's history when mankind faces a catastrophe unlike anything in the entire history of humanity (all human history from Adam and Eve to the present has taken place in the last 12,000 years) the Goreites lull us into a false belief that global warming is not only happening, but can be prevented. This at a time when what we should be doing is getting spiritually prepared for what may well be the end of an age, if not of the world. If the past is really prologue, the next five years is going to be something close to a gradually occurring Armageddon.
Orate Fratis
I’m not terribly worried about either one...warming or cooling. The americas are a north south aligned landmass so the fertile regions will simply migrate north or south as needed to adjust for warming or cooling global climates.
Europe on the other hand is screwed.
Other References:
Not to suggest that this theory is correct but he spent the first part of the article pointing out that climate is driven by ORBITAL GEOMETRY. If the shape of the orbit changes it is reasonable to suggest that GRAVITY will change and subsequently tectonic behavior will also change. I’m no expert, but from my perspective this is a reasonable assertion.
Ping for later study
BFLR
This puts the end of 5 years into 2012, which the date of Dec 21 of this year, some say the North and South pole will shift.
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Don't you mean the Mayan end of the world, Dec 21, 2012?
I hope he doesn't think about Gore too often. Bad for his health!
Milankovich cycle hypothesis is a good one, but there are some major problems with it - not the least of which being that the 23kyr orbital cycle _should_ manifest stronger changes than the 41kyr cycle and that _should_ be stronger than the 100kyr cycle. In reality, the power is reversed. There have been recent solar plasma physics studies that may provide a better explanation for the climate cycles responsible for the Ice Ages than Milankovich. In any event, it is increasingly clear that when looking at CO2, we’re looking at a minor player in climate change.
Why didn't the author put this sentence at the beginning of the article. That way, I could have stopped reading it sooner.
Sounds like something out of Dean Koontz's The Taking.
Some say the world will end in fire,
Some say in ice.
From what Ive tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To know that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.
-Robert Frost
The past is prologue - all those tectonic events took place before past ice ages. May have something to do with the weight of ice and snow packs in polar regions. See my series at http://www.pvbr.com/Issue_1/global12.htm for a better explanation.
I should have written that “all of recorded human history” took place in the last 12,000 years. There’s not a shred of written records prior to that ice age period. Check my full 1977 series at http://www.pvbr.com/Issue_1/global12.htm - it’s long but sheds more light.
Understood. My apologies. Whether Adam and Eve actually existed, I have no idea, and if they did, they were certainly not the only people around, IMO. They were, however, God’s chosen, for want of a more accurate phrase.
As I have written in other climate change threads, one danger of global heating is a flip to global cooling.
One thing that contributes to this is that when too much of the Arctic ice melts, there is no longer freezing of the warm Gulf Stream when it flows to the far north. Currently, when the sea water freezes, it is the fresh water freezing, and the more concentrated and heavier saltier water falls to the bottom of the ocean and gradually flows back to the Equator, where it is warmed and recirculated as the Gulf Stream.
Failure of the formation of heavier saltier water can cause this whole circulation to fail. No more Gulf Stream, no more mild climate in Europe, start of another Ice Age? Think about it.
Aenema by Tool
****************************
Some say the end is near.
Some say well see armageddon soon.
I certainly hope we will.
I sure could use a vacation from this
Bull***t three ring circus sideshow of freaks
Here in this hopeless ****ing hole we call LA
The only way to fix it is to flush it all away.
Any ****ing time. any ****ing day.
Learn to swim, Ill see you down in arizona bay.
Fret for your figure and
Fret for your latte and
Fret for your lawsuit and
Fret for your hairpiece and
Fret for your prozac and
Fret for your pilot and
Fret for your cable and
Fret for your car.
Its a
Bull**** three ring circus sideshow of freaks
Here in this hopeless ****ing hole we call LA
The only way to fix it is to flush it all away.
Any ****ing time. any ****ing day.
Learn to swim, Ill see you down in arizona bay.
Some say a comet will fall from the sky.
Followed by meteor showers and tidal waves.
Followed by faultlines that cannot sit still.
Followed by millions of dumbfounded dips****.
Some say the end is near.
Some say well see armageddon soon.
I certainly hope we will cuz
I sure could use a vacation from this
Silly sh**, stupid sh**...
One great big festering neon distraction,
I’ve a suggestion to keep you all occupied.
Learn to swim.
Moms gonna fix it all soon.
Moms comin’ round to put it back the way it ought to be.
Learn to swim.
F*** ron hubbard and
F*** all his clones.
F*** all those gun-toting
Hip gangster wannabes.
Learn to swim.
F*** retro anything.
F*** your tattoos.
F*** all you junkies and
F*** your short memory.
Learn to swim.
F*** smiley glad-hands
With hidden agendas.
F*** these dysfunctional,
Insecure actresses.
Learn to swim.
Cuz I’m praying for rain
And I’m praying for tidal waves
I wanna see the ground give way.
I wanna watch it all go down.
Mom please flush it all away.
I wanna watch it go right in and down.
I wanna watch it go right in.
Watch you flush it all away.
Time to bring it down again.
Don’t just call me pessimist.
Try and read between the lines.
I cant imagine why you wouldn’t
Welcome any change, my friend.
I wanna see it all come down.
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