Poll: Thompson, Clinton widen their leads in Georgia

The Savannah Morning News ^ | October 25, 2007 | Larry Peterson

[2ndDivisionVet]

Sure looks like Fred Thompson's campaign is "imploding" huh?

[stockstrader]

Anything that shows erosion in support for a liberal like Giuliani is a good thing-—a VERY GOOD THING indeed!!!

[Veronica Mars]

Sure looks like Fred Thompson's campaign is "imploding" huh?

Polls are always interesting and if the GA results are part of a larger trend this could be important, but as the article states, since the GA primary is not until Feb 5th, this won't have much of an impact on the race.

[tips up]

With the other state primaries so early, will the GA primary even matter?

[Dreagon]

I think this demonstrates Thompsons strength in the South, the bulwark of the Republican base.

[Veronica Mars]

With the other state primaries so early, will the GA primary even matter?

I find it unlikely to matter very much, but who knows?

[tioga]

South, the bulwark of the Republican base.

Now that makes me feel lonely up here in NY's boonies, under the rule of the beast. ;^)

[2ndDivisionVet]

February 5th, the day of the Georgia primary, is the so-called “Super Tuesday!” Of course wins on that day will matter. Remember, Fred is very likely to win South Carolina in January and come in strong in Iowa, and win the Florida primary on January 29th!!

[Veronica Mars]

Now that makes me feel lonely up here in NY's boonies, under the rule of the beast. ;^)

Don't despair, we New Yorkers get front row seats to the utter collapse of Governor Spitzer and his agenda.

[Veronica Mars]

I appreciate your optimism, but if Sen. Thompson loses in Iowa and then in New Hampshire, he essentially MUST win South Carolina. It’s not as long a long shot as the scenario for Sen. McCain to win the nomination, but it looks a lot more realistic for either Guiliani or Romney to win it all.

[2ndDivisionVet]

Do you really see Mayor Giuliani of New York City winning South Carolina? Really?!!

[tioga]

I must confess, I am enjoying Spitzer’s misadventures. I don’t like the scare of drivers’ licenses, but it is Halloween and all. I watched him as AG and he was despicable there as well.

[LibLieSlayer]

Well I have been at war with rootietootie mittwitts all morning. Their Conservatism is like Star Trek’s Evil Kirk in an alternative Universe. They twist, deceive and bend Conservative definitions and long held beliefs to promote their candidates as Conservatives. The SOUTH is the heart of Conservatism... we also know what bovine poop smells like. This poll is just one more piece of concrete evidence that proves that Millions of us are not buying into their version of America 2.0!

LLS

[Veronica Mars]

Do you really see Mayor Giuliani of New York City winning South Carolina? Really?!!

Under these conditions (a four man race in SC), yes I think Guiliani has a good chance of winning. Guiliani is running as the national security candidate and that's why he is running strong in SC.

[Veronica Mars]

Who has said anything about Guiliani or Romney in this post to be labeled a rootietootie or a mittwitt? This thread is about poll results not policy differences. I support neither Guiliani nor Romney, so I know you’re not referring to me.

[LS]

Umm, honesty? For Fred to ONLY have a 19 point lead over a northeasterner in Georgia is pretty sad. But remember, Rudy does not have to win Georgia--a second place finish in GA and AL are huge for him, because he'll have the very large delegate states of NY, CA, CT, NJ, PA, and FL, where Fred has no chance (Fred will probably fight McCain for a #2 in FL).

People keep ignoring delegates. The RealClearPolitics averages of polls show:

Mitt wins IA, NH, and probably MI. He's campaigning hard in SC, and could possibly take that. Then he's finished, unless a "bandwagon" momentum suddenly appears.

Rudy is way ahead in FL, competitive in SC, and will get some delegates from both IA and NH. Then Super Tuesday hits and all the huge delegate counts come in for him, except AZ.

The dirty little secret is that McCain is polling better against Hillary in KY, KS, MI, OH, WA, (and, I think) VA than Rudy (barely) and far better than Fred.

So I keep asking, where will Fred get his delegates? He not only needs wins in SC and MI, but #2 finishes in IA, NH, just to make it to Super Tuesday.

[Veronica Mars]

So I keep asking, where will Fred get his delegates? He not only needs wins in SC and MI, but #2 finishes in IA, NH, just to make it to Super Tuesday.

Exactly right, well said.

[LibLieSlayer]

No mam, I was not refering to you in any way. I will make certain to seek your written approval before I make any future statements. I really meant the first sentence.

LLS

[Veronica Mars]

Thank you, that sounds reasonable to me.

[Huck]

Interesting. I’m not up on the mechanics of all this. When you say he NEEDS second place in IA and NH, etc, to make it to Super Tuesday, do you mean he literally MUST? Do you get elimated without getting a certain number of delegates along the way?