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Republicans 2008: Giuliani 31%, Thompson 26%
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research ^ | 11/02/2007

Posted on 11/03/2007 10:34:50 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads

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To: Plutarch

If only I was a betting person, I could own Bain Capital. LOL


61 posted on 11/03/2007 12:53:06 PM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: Saundra Duffy

No dear, it’s very clear you are in love...


62 posted on 11/03/2007 12:54:35 PM PDT by ejonesie22 (Real voters in real voting booths will elect FDT.)
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To: Brices Crossroads

11/03/07

Fred 17%
Rudy 21%

Total 39%

Mitt 12%
Juan 15%
Mike 12%

Total 39%

Remainder? 22%

Other Candidates come to about 5%
Undecided is at about 17%, a tie for second place.

In other words, we, as I have said before, are waiting for the low level candidates to drop. Since they are very conservative candidates it is unlikely they will go for Mitt or Juan. Maybe about 1% for Mike.

That puts Fred dead even with Rudith. As the undecided fall into place I expect half of them to link with Fred. They are finding out more each day about Rudith. The other half will spread out to the other candidates.

Result…

Fred at 32%
Rudy at 26%
Mitt 12%
Juan 15%
Mike 12%

Total at 97% with 3% for “variables”


63 posted on 11/03/2007 1:00:26 PM PDT by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: Clara Lou

Quack, Quack...

You know what you get hit with when a flock flies over don’t you?


64 posted on 11/03/2007 1:01:06 PM PDT by ejonesie22 (Real voters in real voting booths will elect FDT.)
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To: gitmo
No margin of error was provided.

Odd.


There can be no statistical margin of error because this poll is done amongst those who voluntarily sign up to be sampled thus it doesn't meet any random sampling quidelines... Note the following from their site where the poll is discussed:
Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
In other words this poll is representative of the 603 sample participants only and isn't guaranteed with any MOE to indicative of the public at large.
65 posted on 11/03/2007 1:11:28 PM PDT by deport (>>>--Iowa Caucuses .. 62 days and counting--<<< [ Meanwhile:-- Cue Spooky Music--])
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To: Clara Lou
Yeah, well, Mitt would like to be where FRed is..

True but he can always add another wife to his stable no ?

Oh wait you meant where he's at in the polls never mind ;-)
66 posted on 11/03/2007 1:28:33 PM PDT by festus (Fred Thompson '08)
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To: Plutarch
I'm not a Romney has no shot anything. In fact, the idea that he might win the nomination makes my blood curdle.

He is conducting a chameleon-like infiltration of the Republican party that would make Arnold Schwarzenegger blush. Slick Willard is a liberal trojan horse of the highest caliber.

67 posted on 11/03/2007 1:38:33 PM PDT by Petronski (Here we go, Steelers. Here we go!)
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To: Saundra Duffy
Go, Mitt - all the way to the White House....Mitt Romney is working his heart out quietly but steadily winning over conservative voters one by one, county by county, state by state.
Hooo weee! All of that while saluting as Saundra plays the Battle Hymn of the Republic on her heartstrings.
68 posted on 11/03/2007 1:39:21 PM PDT by Clara Lou (Thompson '08)
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To: Clara Lou
All of that while saluting as Saundra plays the Battle Hymn of the Republic on her heartstrings.

****************

LOL! Clara Lou, you do have a way with words.

69 posted on 11/03/2007 1:58:38 PM PDT by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: Saundra Duffy

I heard SOOO much about Fred here on FR and when I finally had a chance to see him in the debate and see what the next best thing to slice bread was...and...he turned out to be a DUD!


70 posted on 11/03/2007 2:08:36 PM PDT by antivenom (If you're not living on the edge, you're taking up too much damn space!)
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To: codercpc

My observation as well...Fred ain’t cutting it...


71 posted on 11/03/2007 2:10:03 PM PDT by antivenom (If you're not living on the edge, you're taking up too much damn space!)
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To: antivenom

A dud is someone second in the polls? A dud is someone sticking to conservative themes and actually has a record to back up the talk?

I’ll stick to the “dud” them if we’re re-defining the term to define the oppossite of its traditional meaning. BTW, the more people like yourself can’t dismiss him on ISSUES the more I stand firmly by his side.


72 posted on 11/03/2007 2:18:18 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: antivenom; Saundra Duffy
The honeymoon is over with Thompson. I’m glad to say I was never enamored.

he turned out to be a DUD!

Personally I prefer a grownup for President but if it is "enamored" and entertainment you need, well here you go...


73 posted on 11/03/2007 3:06:11 PM PDT by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: businessprofessor

“National polls do not seem useful except to sway potential primary voters. The nomination is a primary battle. Influencing primary voters is different than influencing the public and general elections.”

This is correct.

The polls that matter are the polls that operate state-by-state since that is how the election will occur.

In those polls, Mitt Romney is leading by various margins in IA, NH, MI, and is close in SC, NV, and elsewhere.

Rudy and Thompson enjoy higher name ID than Romney, so even though they are ahead in national polls, the Romney campaign can look to this and see some good news in that with upside as he gets better known, he can reach Rudy’s levels at national level, just as he is ahead of Rudy in key early states. Also, shows that Romney’s pulling away from Huckabee and McCain at national level.

“FDT can unify the party and win in November but I doubt that he will be nominated. He does not seem to have the local organization to win key primaries.”

Correct.

” Perhaps he also lacks money.”
He has some money, but his bigger issue is that he is late and slow to get things together and organize his campaign. Lower levels of organization, fewer endorsements, and less campaign infrastructure makes it harder to win.

Fred probably will need to focus on key winnable states like SC and not even bother with IA, since that is now a mere 8 weeks away.


74 posted on 11/03/2007 3:10:59 PM PDT by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-strong defense, pro-GWOT, pro-capitalism, pro-US-sovereignty)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Which Mitt are you referencing? The one that ran to the left of Ted Kennedy?”

That’s a creature as mythical as a unicorn.

The real Mitt Romney is the Mitt Romney who keeps get attacked by Mitt-bashers based on phony and false charges. Your claims have been debunked again and again and again.

“I’m so confused!” Yes, people who deal with non-factual viewpoints can get that way.


75 posted on 11/03/2007 3:14:22 PM PDT by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-strong defense, pro-GWOT, pro-capitalism, pro-US-sovereignty)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; girlangler; KoRn; Shortstop7; Lunatic Fringe; Darnright; babygene; pitbully; ...
Meanwhile...in an alternate universe.
76 posted on 11/03/2007 3:25:03 PM PDT by jellybean (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=dailyfread Proud Ann-droid and a Steyn-aholic)
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To: Clara Lou

“Yeah, well, Mitt would like to be where FRed is..”

Not at all.
Mitt is 1st in Iowa, Fred is 3rd.
Mitt is #1 in NH, Fred is about 6th.
Mitt, Fred and Rudy are near tied in SC.

Mitt has a lot of endorsements, just pulled over a few folks from the Thompson team, and has a well-organized and executed strategy.

Try to put hot-button issues aside for a second and look at the accomplishments of the various men running:
Rudy - ran a city very well for 8 years, well enough to cut the murder rate by 2/3rds
Mitt - made billions of dollars for clients at Bain Capital, investing in startup companies; went on to turnaround the Olympics in Salt Lake city 2002, and also turned around a major management consulting firm. Then became a Governor for 4 years.
Fred - lawyer, prosecutor, Senator, actor; Fred has good conservative beliefs and a good record but doesnt have some of the leadership/executive experience that Romney and Rudy can point to.

And frankly some of that is showing in the various campaigns. Mitt’s campaign is quite well-run.

FredHeads seem to be oblivious to the fact that the other folks running in the race are (a) not that bad (Rudy’s RINO-ism and personal foibles aside) and (b) are running hard, with well-executed campaigns and tough, articulate candidates who will not be beaten easily. .. and (c) not doing badly in the polls at all.

Mitt Romney is exactly where he wants to be campaign-wise.


77 posted on 11/03/2007 3:26:31 PM PDT by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-strong defense, pro-GWOT, pro-capitalism, pro-US-sovereignty)
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To: WOSG
Mitt Romney is exactly where he wants to be campaign-wise.
Suuuuuure, he is. He's campaigned so long and spent so much in campaign funds to be in 3rd place, and now he's donating to himself. Right. Just keep telling yourself that. Maybe you'll convince at least one person.
78 posted on 11/03/2007 3:29:24 PM PDT by Clara Lou (Thompson '08)
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To: Saundra Duffy
The honeymoon is over with Thompson. I’m glad to say I was never enamored.

Nah you've been married to Romney since he announced....

79 posted on 11/03/2007 3:33:55 PM PDT by NeoCaveman (Every time you’re somewhere, that means you’re not somewhere else, Fred D Thompson 44)
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To: Clara Lou

Look, you can ignore the reality of how the nomination process actually works, and engage in WishFulThinking, but a real professional campaign like Romney will not. Romney is in the real #1 spot when he leads in early states, as he is leading in 4 out of 6 early states, and may well win them all.

If he does run the board on IA, NH, MI, NV, WY, and SC, he’s got the nomination.

The national poll means little. What matters is who wins the delegates and they are won state-by-state. You can maybe explain to LS where Fred Thompson is getting his delegates.

I cant figure it out, I mean unless Fred actually beats Mitt and Rudy in SC and FL, where will he win.

“Maybe you’ll convince at least one person.” You may want to revisit intrade odds. Mitt’s at 29% and Fred’s at 7%. Smart money is saying that Mitt is 4 times more likely to win than Fred. Rudy has a better chance than Mitt mainly because he can probably still survive the early state gauntlet for Feb 5th and probably can do real well then.

This is reality. You better wake up to it before Rudy is nominated (not what I want to see happen, but it is 6 times more likely than Fred winning).


80 posted on 11/03/2007 3:38:33 PM PDT by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-strong defense, pro-GWOT, pro-capitalism, pro-US-sovereignty)
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