Posted on 11/03/2007 10:34:50 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani holds a five-point edge in the national race for the Republican Partys presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Harris Interactive. 31 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.
Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 26 per cent, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 17 per cent, and Arizona senator John McCain with 12 per cent. Support is lower for former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, Texas congressman Ron Paul, California congressman Duncan Hunter,
(Excerpt) Read more at angus-reid.com ...
If only I was a betting person, I could own Bain Capital. LOL
No dear, it’s very clear you are in love...
11/03/07
Fred 17%
Rudy 21%
Total 39%
Mitt 12%
Juan 15%
Mike 12%
Total 39%
Remainder? 22%
Other Candidates come to about 5%
Undecided is at about 17%, a tie for second place.
In other words, we, as I have said before, are waiting for the low level candidates to drop. Since they are very conservative candidates it is unlikely they will go for Mitt or Juan. Maybe about 1% for Mike.
That puts Fred dead even with Rudith. As the undecided fall into place I expect half of them to link with Fred. They are finding out more each day about Rudith. The other half will spread out to the other candidates.
Result
Fred at 32%
Rudy at 26%
Mitt 12%
Juan 15%
Mike 12%
Total at 97% with 3% for variables
Quack, Quack...
You know what you get hit with when a flock flies over don’t you?
Odd.
Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.In other words this poll is representative of the 603 sample participants only and isn't guaranteed with any MOE to indicative of the public at large.
He is conducting a chameleon-like infiltration of the Republican party that would make Arnold Schwarzenegger blush. Slick Willard is a liberal trojan horse of the highest caliber.
****************
LOL! Clara Lou, you do have a way with words.
I heard SOOO much about Fred here on FR and when I finally had a chance to see him in the debate and see what the next best thing to slice bread was...and...he turned out to be a DUD!
My observation as well...Fred ain’t cutting it...
A dud is someone second in the polls? A dud is someone sticking to conservative themes and actually has a record to back up the talk?
I’ll stick to the “dud” them if we’re re-defining the term to define the oppossite of its traditional meaning. BTW, the more people like yourself can’t dismiss him on ISSUES the more I stand firmly by his side.
he turned out to be a DUD!
Personally I prefer a grownup for President but if it is "enamored" and entertainment you need, well here you go...
“National polls do not seem useful except to sway potential primary voters. The nomination is a primary battle. Influencing primary voters is different than influencing the public and general elections.”
This is correct.
The polls that matter are the polls that operate state-by-state since that is how the election will occur.
In those polls, Mitt Romney is leading by various margins in IA, NH, MI, and is close in SC, NV, and elsewhere.
Rudy and Thompson enjoy higher name ID than Romney, so even though they are ahead in national polls, the Romney campaign can look to this and see some good news in that with upside as he gets better known, he can reach Rudy’s levels at national level, just as he is ahead of Rudy in key early states. Also, shows that Romney’s pulling away from Huckabee and McCain at national level.
“FDT can unify the party and win in November but I doubt that he will be nominated. He does not seem to have the local organization to win key primaries.”
Correct.
” Perhaps he also lacks money.”
He has some money, but his bigger issue is that he is late and slow to get things together and organize his campaign. Lower levels of organization, fewer endorsements, and less campaign infrastructure makes it harder to win.
Fred probably will need to focus on key winnable states like SC and not even bother with IA, since that is now a mere 8 weeks away.
“Which Mitt are you referencing? The one that ran to the left of Ted Kennedy?”
That’s a creature as mythical as a unicorn.
The real Mitt Romney is the Mitt Romney who keeps get attacked by Mitt-bashers based on phony and false charges. Your claims have been debunked again and again and again.
“Im so confused!” Yes, people who deal with non-factual viewpoints can get that way.
“Yeah, well, Mitt would like to be where FRed is..”
Not at all.
Mitt is 1st in Iowa, Fred is 3rd.
Mitt is #1 in NH, Fred is about 6th.
Mitt, Fred and Rudy are near tied in SC.
Mitt has a lot of endorsements, just pulled over a few folks from the Thompson team, and has a well-organized and executed strategy.
Try to put hot-button issues aside for a second and look at the accomplishments of the various men running:
Rudy - ran a city very well for 8 years, well enough to cut the murder rate by 2/3rds
Mitt - made billions of dollars for clients at Bain Capital, investing in startup companies; went on to turnaround the Olympics in Salt Lake city 2002, and also turned around a major management consulting firm. Then became a Governor for 4 years.
Fred - lawyer, prosecutor, Senator, actor; Fred has good conservative beliefs and a good record but doesnt have some of the leadership/executive experience that Romney and Rudy can point to.
And frankly some of that is showing in the various campaigns. Mitt’s campaign is quite well-run.
FredHeads seem to be oblivious to the fact that the other folks running in the race are (a) not that bad (Rudy’s RINO-ism and personal foibles aside) and (b) are running hard, with well-executed campaigns and tough, articulate candidates who will not be beaten easily. .. and (c) not doing badly in the polls at all.
Mitt Romney is exactly where he wants to be campaign-wise.
Nah you've been married to Romney since he announced....
Look, you can ignore the reality of how the nomination process actually works, and engage in WishFulThinking, but a real professional campaign like Romney will not. Romney is in the real #1 spot when he leads in early states, as he is leading in 4 out of 6 early states, and may well win them all.
If he does run the board on IA, NH, MI, NV, WY, and SC, he’s got the nomination.
The national poll means little. What matters is who wins the delegates and they are won state-by-state. You can maybe explain to LS where Fred Thompson is getting his delegates.
I cant figure it out, I mean unless Fred actually beats Mitt and Rudy in SC and FL, where will he win.
“Maybe you’ll convince at least one person.” You may want to revisit intrade odds. Mitt’s at 29% and Fred’s at 7%. Smart money is saying that Mitt is 4 times more likely to win than Fred. Rudy has a better chance than Mitt mainly because he can probably still survive the early state gauntlet for Feb 5th and probably can do real well then.
This is reality. You better wake up to it before Rudy is nominated (not what I want to see happen, but it is 6 times more likely than Fred winning).
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.