Posted on 11/08/2007 6:42:27 AM PST by Romneyfor President2008
Mitt Romney now leads other candidates for the Republican presidential nomination in South Carolina, a key early primary state.
The political Web site RealClearPolitics compiled an average of several polls in the state and found Romney with a slight lead over his closest rival, Rudy Giuliani. Romney averaged 19.3 percent of the votes in the polls, while Giuliani’s figure was 19 percent, followed by Fred Thompson (18.3 percent), John McCain (12.3 percent) and Mike Huckabee (6 percent).
One recent South Carolina poll in particular, by American Research Group, has Romney ahead of Giuliani by 6 percentage points.
South Carolina could prove to be a pivotal state for the GOP candidates. A win in the state’s primary gave George W. Bush a big boost in 2000 after McCain had won New Hampshire, and a Romney victory in this race would show that he could win other states in the South.
RealClearPolitics’ average of several polls in early caucus state Iowa has Romney ahead of Giuliani by 13.5 percentage points. In early primary state New Hampshire, the Web site’s average puts Romney ahead of Giuliani by 8 percentage points.
:-)
There are two people I won’t vote for, Romney is one of them.
ah yes....another gun grabbing, abortionist liberal.
How fitting for FR(sarc)
Why is this being presented as news “now”? Romney has been ahead in South Carolina since sometime in September. He’s still way behind Guiliani, Thompson, and McCain in national polls, although he looks somewhat like a challenger for third place against McCain.
And since Romney’s popularity was fueled by misled social conservatives, losing Pat Robertson’s endorsement to Guiliani could hurt him.
Wow! Even after all the money Romney has spent in SC, Fred is within one percentage point.
Go Fred...
How does SC apportion delegates? Winner-take-all, or some sort of formula?
Spiff. It is improbable Romney is doing well, so there
are two questions:
1) how many in the sample (or put in the error bars yourself)
2) got how he fares in Massachusetts?
Poll Date Sample Romney Giuliani Thompson McCain Huckabee Spread:
RCP Average 09/26 - 10/29 Romney +0.3
ARG 10/26 - 10/29 Romney +6.0
Winthrop Univ. 10/07 - 10/28 Thompson +1.0
Insider Advantage 10/02 - 10/02 1281 Thompson +5.0
Rasmussen 09/26 - 09/27 Thompson +4.0
This does seem a bit skewed by the fact the ARG poll is so dramatically different from the rest of the polls. 7 points different then Winthrop, 11 points different from Insider, 10 points different from Rasmussen.
Specifically Romney/Thompson:
RCP Average: 19.3/18.3 - Romney +1
ARG: 29/10 - Romney +19
Winthrop: 17/18 - Thompson +1
Insider: 16/21 - Thompson +5
Rasmussen: 15/24 - Thompson +9
Here, ARG seems really different. 18 point difference from RCP average. 20 point difference from Winthrop. 24 point difference from Insider. 28 point difference from Rasmussen.
Only because the powers that be want him to.
Romney’s not my first choice, but anytime Giuliani is going down, that’s good news in my book.
Mitt Romney must be writing a book:
“How to Buy the Presidency: A Guide on Fooling the Masses with Mass Amounts of Money”
And that means exactly...nothing in the primary season.
Me too. Romney and Ron Paul.
lol
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.