Posted on 12/06/2007 9:42:08 AM PST by TitansAFC
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has taken the lead in South Carolina’s Republican Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Huckabee with 25% of the vote, Mitt Romney with 18% and Fred Thompson with 18%. A month ago, Romney and Thompson were on top.
The latest election poll also shows Rudy Giuliani with 12% of the vote, John McCain with 9%, and Ron Paul with 4% (see crosstabs). The race among Democrats in South Carolina has become a toss-up between Clinton and Obama.
Huckabee, at least for the moment, is carrying out the plan envisioned by the Thompson campaign last summer. He attracts from 37% of Evangelical Christians and 29% of conservatives. Thompson currently earns 20% of the Evangelical vote while Romney is supported by 15%.
While Huckabee leads among conservatives, Romney has a modest edge among the smaller number of political moderates likely to vote in the Primary. Among moderates, it’s Romney 22%, McCain 16%, Huckabee 16%, and Giuliani at 14%.
A month ago, Thompson was leading among Evangelical Christian voters while Romney had the advantage among other Protestants. Today, Huckabee attracts 22% of other Protestants, Romney 21%, and Thompson 16%.
The race in South Carolina remains very fluid and could easily be impacted by results from earlier voting. Forty-one percent (41%) of Huckabee’s supporters say they will definitely vote for him but 19% say there’s a good chance they could change their mind.
Just 38% of Romney’s voters are certain they will vote for him while 18% say there’s a good chance they could change their mind.
Among Thompson voters, 41% are certain while just 10% say there’s a good chance they’ll change their mind.
Twenty-six percent (26%) of Likely Republican Primary Voters in South Carolina name immigration as the top voting issue followed by the economy (20%), national security (19%), and the War in Iraq (15%). Health Care is the top issue for 7%.
Huckabee and Romney are the frontrunners in Iowa, Romney has the edge in New Hampshire, while Huckabee and Giuliani lead in the national polls. However, five candidates are in double digits nationally, any one of whom could conceivably win the nomination.
Huckabee is now viewed favorably by 70% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters and unfavorably by just 21%. That’s up dramatically from 57% favorable and 29% unfavorable a month ago.
Thompson is viewed favorably by 74%, Romney by 72%, and McCain by 60%. Those figures are little changed from a month ago.
Giuliani is now viewed favorably by 65%, down from 72% a month ago.
The “Stop Rudy” ping list!
E-mail/ping me if you want on/off the list! SPREAD THE WORD!!!
Oh, c’mon South Carolina, don’t fall for the Hucksterfraud!!!
Hey he's got a southern accent and comes from Arkansas. Do you expect South Carolina to rise above that?
Another state of lemmings running full speed over the cliff... It takes a village, Herren Furher Hillary will know all about you.
This is not good news, but, on the other hand, it’s hardly surprising either just as his rise in Iowa was no surprise. If Huckabee starts to challenge Romney in NH, that would be significant, not to mention frightening. I don’t have the faintest idea how this thing is going to shake out and I don’t believe anyone else, including the candidates, does either.
Thompson has a southern accent and he’s from Tennessee.
Oh, and he’s a conservative.
Compared to the Hucksterbee.
I don’t care who, but someone must stop Huckabee, RINO world...
For all the concerns about Rudy, he’s conservative on Defense and Economics... On a global level that is key.
Romney and Thompson are fine with me...
But we now have two states of ignoramuses who don’t get it....They want to elect Hillary and have the Feds intrude in our lives even more....
Maybe it should be the Stop Huckabee ping list?
The problem is, the Huckster is getting a free ride.
ROFL! Blast from the past! One of the greatest shows on television, right there!
Your graph indicates this is becoming quite a horse race. Keep ‘em coming, nice work.
Agreed. Fortunately there’s a month to go until the voting starts, though in reality less than that since once it gets near Christmas and New Year’s people are going to start tuning politics out.
Several months ago, my brother sent me an email talking about how wonderful Gov Huckabee is and to vote for him. From what I remember, the email had been sent to quite a few people. It seems to me that Gov. Huckabee’s campaign has wisely used an internet resource to spread the word into many American households. The email seemed to have been written by an individual who was extolling the virtues of the governor without it appearing to be a campaign pitch.
The problem is that a large chunk of the GOP electorate is more impressed with a guy who smiles and talks about Jesus a lot, than a man who understands our Constitution and the threats we face from invasion and terrorism.
You’ll be seeing a lot of Al Bundy commentary about Huck from me here. As Al would say “He’s a wheenie.”
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.