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Stupid Intelligence
Front Page Magazine ^ | Friday, December 07, 2007 | Alan M. Dershowitz

Posted on 12/07/2007 8:58:47 AM PST by MizSterious

Stupid Intelligence

By Alan M. Dershowitz
FrontPageMagazine.com | Friday, December 07, 2007

The recent national intelligence estimate that concluded that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 is just about the stupidest intelligence assessment I have ever read. It falls hook, line and sinker for a transparent bait and switch tactic employed not only by Iran, but by several other nuclear powers in the past.

The tactic is obvious and well-known to all intelligence officials with an IQ above room temperature. It goes like this: There are two tracks to making nuclear weapons: One is to conduct research and develop technology directly related to military use. That is what the United States did when it developed the atomic bomb during the Manhattan Project. The second track is to develop nuclear technology for civilian use and then to use the civilian technology for military purposes.


(Excerpt) Read more at frontpagemagazine.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: ahmadinejad; alandershowitz; dershowitz; intelligence; iran; iraniannukes; irannukes; nie; nuclear; nucleariran; nukes; roguestatedept
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1 posted on 12/07/2007 8:58:48 AM PST by MizSterious
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Thought this one might interest you...


2 posted on 12/07/2007 9:05:08 AM PST by MizSterious (Deport all the illegals to sanctuary cities.)
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To: MizSterious

Dershowitz isn’t bad for a Clinton defending liberal


3 posted on 12/07/2007 9:05:49 AM PST by Captain Pike
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To: MizSterious

D is absolutely correct. Iran with all that enriched uranium, which they are “hiding” in plain sight, is a significant threat to the United States and our allies.


4 posted on 12/07/2007 9:09:27 AM PST by Williams
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To: MizSterious
"this report may well go down in history as one of the most dangerous, misguided and counterproductive intelligence assessments in history."

I think this statement underestimates the left's hatred of GWB and those who support him. I'm sure this report can be topped. :-)

5 posted on 12/07/2007 9:13:33 AM PST by Falcon4.0
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To: Williams

It is srange to see Alan lining up with the President. Who’s agenda is Alan pushing here?


6 posted on 12/07/2007 9:18:59 AM PST by nederlan
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To: nederlan
“It is strange to see Alan lining up with the President. Who’s agenda is Alan pushing here?”

America’s agenda.

I don’f often agree with Alan, but he does recognize that Iran is a real threat. To attribute that to some other secret hidden agenda is asinine.

Your comment is even more blindly stupid than NIE’s assessment. Go back to DU where you belong.

7 posted on 12/07/2007 9:25:24 AM PST by dirtymac (Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of their country)
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To: nederlan
It is srange to see Alan lining up with the President. Who’s agenda is Alan pushing here?

Apparently, even some libs don't like the idea of fallout in their pool.

8 posted on 12/07/2007 9:26:39 AM PST by polymuser (In the twinkling of an eye...)
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To: nederlan

The fact is that Dershowitz is a staunch supporter of Israel, and a supporter of an aggressive war on terror. o while he is disgustingly liberal on many issues, he has, for example, supported the use of torture against terroorists in order to thwart their plans. Plus he’s just right on this, Iran is a threat and Iran with enriched uranium is a huge threat.


9 posted on 12/07/2007 9:27:34 AM PST by Williams
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To: nederlan
“It is srange to see Alan lining up with the President. Who’s agenda is Alan pushing here?”

Sorry for the necessity of posting again but in my haste to point out your most obvious bias, I neglected to mention that you have joined FR just today. Is that so you can start your own misinformation campaign. DU is where you came from and DU is where you belong.

10 posted on 12/07/2007 9:29:45 AM PST by dirtymac (Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of their country)
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To: MizSterious
There is a third track as well - purchase them from someone insane enough to sell them.

The Iranians may well be playing this out the slow, reliable way - enrich uranium and wait until you have enough for an entire program's worth of devices, not just one "here I am" shot. With uranium you can construct simpler gun-and-target designs. If I were trying this under the nose of international observation that's how I'd to it. But I'd try purchasing materials at the same time.

11 posted on 12/07/2007 9:33:59 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: All

In the several decades during the run up to the war in Iraq, France under Chirac, either as PM or Pres, made scores of billions selling Hussein dual use technology and equipment, which could be put to use for peaceful industrial purposes, or for military weaponry. The trade was based on Hussein’s assertion that the stuff bought was for peaceful purposes. French commercial interests, in addition to simple greed on Chirac’s part, motivated the trade.

With this NIE, it appears the door may be opened to similar commerce with Iran, as long as it is “guaranteed” that the materials and technology sold is for peaceful nuclear energy. I wonder if American Bernard Schwartz-like personalities and businesses weren’t a force behing the estimate?


12 posted on 12/07/2007 9:52:52 AM PST by DPMD
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To: MizSterious

Dersh for SecState!


13 posted on 12/07/2007 9:59:18 AM PST by Hawthorn
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To: MizSterious
Seems like a good day to talk about the result of bad intelligence.
14 posted on 12/07/2007 9:59:53 AM PST by CrazyIvan (If you read only one book this year, read "Stolen Valor".)
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To: nederlan

Welcome to FR! - even tho’ you’re either a fool or a troll.


15 posted on 12/07/2007 10:11:03 AM PST by green iguana
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To: Williams

I believe, although my memory may be faulty on this point, that Dershowitz also holds correct views re the Second Amendment as well as the mutually supportive relationship between government (the State) and religion, broadly construed, that the First Amendment prescribes.


16 posted on 12/07/2007 10:11:07 AM PST by Elsiejay
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To: MizSterious
The Dersh is right. Its an ESTIMATE - GUESSWORK - for crying out loud. There is no reason to trust the peaceful professions of Iran's leaders. A nuclear armed Iran is a mortal threat to our own survival.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

17 posted on 12/07/2007 10:13:22 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: nederlan

Dershowitz is one of a number of prominent liberals who have broken ranks to oppose the global jihad. Christopher Hitchens is another.
Given the nature and magnitude of the threat, it is a remarkable demonstration of the power of the 60s anti-war meme that more don’t do so.
At least during the Vietnam war, the enemy were communists, so lefties were only being consistent (if depraved) in siding with them. Today, nothing but cultural inertia seems to drive the liberal anti-war meme.


18 posted on 12/07/2007 10:17:56 AM PST by atomic conspiracy (Rousing the blog-rabble since 9-11-01)
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To: MizSterious

I love the opening line.


19 posted on 12/07/2007 10:36:26 AM PST by karnage
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To: Hawthorn

Easy there big fella...


20 posted on 12/07/2007 10:37:35 AM PST by karnage
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