Maybe THIS will give him the bump..shades of Clinton!
Mitt wept when church ended discrimination
Prepare for the flood of worship from the mittbots. Hip boots at the ready.
| This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
|
Locked on 12/16/2007 8:58:13 AM PST by Lead Moderator, reason:
duplicate: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1940290/posts |
Posted on 12/16/2007 7:54:21 AM PST by Petronski
In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, five candidates are within nine points of the lead. It’s Mike Huckabee at21%, Rudy Giuliani 19%, Mitt Romney at 15%, Fred Thompson at 13% and John McCain at 12% (see recent daily numbers). Ron Paul currently attracts 5% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide.
Rudy 19
Slick Willard 15
Fred 13
John 12
LRon 5
MOE 4
Same story, different day.
Looks like Fred is creeping up a bit.
Where are they finding all these people who love the Huck and hate the Fred?? Probably they are only reaching people who have not yet “graduated” to caller ID?
It’s the “But Huckabee is a Christian” voters. There is a segment of the conservative base that is so fixated on the Christian-ness of the candidate they ignore every other issue.
Too bad Huck’s a shyster in that regard too...
With 4 as the margin of error, you could say 5 guys are at 16-17, within the MOE. Basically, Rudy & Huck are probably a few percentage points above that, Mitt just about there, and Fred & McCain slightly behind...but this is really a very tight 5-way race right now.
What becomes critical is what everyone’s second choice is in the race. Suppose, for example, McCain was everyone’s second choice. Any perceived faltering in the front 4 would result in folks starting to go with their second choice and vault McCain to the front.
I despise McCain - I think he is unstable - but that is an example of how tight this race is.
I think McCain will be finished if he doesn’t do well in NH, and the tightening of the race there between Hillary & Obama limits his crossline potential.
Also, I think Huck will drop a few points as folks begin to comprehend his many weaknesses. He’ll do well in Iowa - as did Robertson - then cave elsewhere.
The race will be won by whoever can capture a few percentage points off of these two, IMHO.
Maybe THIS will give him the bump..shades of Clinton!
Mitt wept when church ended discrimination
Prepare for the flood of worship from the mittbots. Hip boots at the ready.
It will be very interesting to see, as people drop out, what direction their supporters will be directed.
Do not discount the 17% undecided that are not falling for the Rooty Romney Huck three ring circus. It they were going to go that route they would have by now. They will not forget McCain's amnesty push either.
Mmm, that’s a 4 or 5 point jump for Fred in the past few days since the debate.
I still think Willard is going to win Iowa, despite the polling, owing to the slavish devotion of his followers and the eleventy jillion dollars he’s spent on the ground.
Huck slides further and Fred moves up a notch.
The trend continues.
Rooty and Mitt start to slide. These are Rootys lowest numbers ever.
Keep chipping away Fred
My guess is that Huckabee will under-perform in Iowa. He’ll do OK...maybe 20-25%, since a number of his supporters seem to say, “He’s like me!”...and never think about whether somebody ‘like me’ should be President. In my case, you do NOT want somebody ‘like me’ in office!
However, I believe the system in Iowa forces people to talk about who they want and why. Will the Huckabee-ers stay loyal when confronted with his views on immigration, the GWOT, and clemency?
With the buildup, ‘winning’ with 24% will seem like a loss for Huckabee.
Same story, different day.And that story is, one fifth of the Republican electorate are still sleep-walking their way to Cliff Huckabee. The question underlying this story is: is there still time to wake them up before they go over the edge?
I just saw this on CNN while I was reading news at various websites. I thought it would provide all with a laugh.
Who’s your pick for the Republican Presidential Nominee?
Rudy Giuliani 2% 125
Mike Huckabee 10% 583
Duncan Hunter 0% 12
John McCain 2% 98
Ron Paul 82% 4552
Mitt Romney 3% 150
Tom Tancredo 0% 23
Fred Thompson 1% 33
Total Votes: 5576
This is not a scientific poll
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.