Rasmssun: Romney 26% McCain 25% Huckabee 17%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 01/12/08 | Rasmussen Reports

[GOPGuide]

The seven day campaign leading up to Michigan’s Republican Presidential Primary began with a toss-up between Mitt Romney and John McCain.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found Romney with 26% of the vote, McCain with 25%, and Mike Huckabee with 17%. The survey was conducted on Wednesday night, immediately following the New Hampshire Primary.

Those results reflect a substantial turnaround since the last Rasmussen Reports survey in the state. In early December, it was a three-way race with Huckabee, Romney, and Rudy Giuliani all within two points of each other. At that time, McCain was a distant fifth, attracting just 8% of the vote.

The current election poll finds that Giuliani has slipped from 19% support in early December to 6% today. In addition to the frontrunners, he now trails Fred Thompson who is the top choice for 9% of voters and Ron Paul who attracts 8%.

As was the case in both Iowa and New Hampshire, the race in Michigan is likely to be quite fluid during the final week of campaigning. Just 57% of Likely Republican Primary Voters are certain they will end up voting for their current favorite. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of McCain voters are certain they will vote for him along with 55% of Romney supporters. As for those who support Huckabee, just 41% are that certain.

McCain and Huckabee are leading in the South Carolina Primary which will be held just four days after Michigan votes.

In Michigan, Romney is viewed favorably by 71% of Likely Primary Voters. Sixty-nine percent (69%) have a favorable opinion of McCain. For Giuilani 64% offer a positive assessment, Huckabee gets good reviews from 59%, Thompson from 57%, and Paul from 33%.

McCain is seen as the most electable candidate. Seventy-two percent (72%) say he would be somewhat or very likely to win the White House if nominated. That figure includes 30% who consider McCain Very Likely to win if nominated.

Romney is close on the electability front—67% think he would be at least somewhat likely to win including 25% who rate his prospects as Very Likely.

Electability used to be the strongest suit for Giuliani among Republican Primary voters. However, in Michigan, just 49% think he would be even Somewhat Likely to win if nominated.

Forty-six percent (46%) say Huckabee would be at least somewhat likely to win in November, 33% say the same about Thompson, and 17% believe Paul would have a chance.

Following a pattern seen in other places, Romney has a slight lead among Republican voters while McCain leads among Independents and others. If Independent voters make up a larger share of the Primary voters, that will help McCain and hurt Romney’s prospects. The current survey estimates that 76% of the voters will be Republicans.

[redgirlinabluestate]

I am confident Mitt will do the right thing on the border. Tom Tancredo believes it and so does Sheriff Joe too. I believe it because Mitt took tough actions against illegals before most of America was even paying attention. He denied illegals driver's licenses and tuition breaks back in 2003 -- before the illegals marched in our streets demanding amnesty.

But, although by LAW he had zero authority to do anything about those cities, he vetoed a plan to allow in-state tuition for illegal aliens, opposed granting illegals drivers’ licenses, and encouraged state troopers to enforce immigration laws. All this while Rudy defended, encouraged and welcomed illegal immigration into New York City.
http://777denny.wordpress.com/2007/08/21/giuliani-defends-romney-condems-sanctuary-city-policies/

And whether you choose to believe his commitment to follow through or not, his positions and his record on this issue are exceedingly better than that of any of the other viables -- Huck, McCain and Rudy (or any of the dems).

[barryg]

I love the argument that Mitt is a good candidate because he is unable to get Independent’s votes.

I want someone who can get independent votes, it’s the only way we can win in November.

[redgirlinabluestate]

We want conservative Reagan independents to vote for us, not liberal independents who are playing games in our primaries trying to skew the outcome.

[Goreknowshowtocheat]

It is easy to deport 12 million. You dry up the benefits like a place to work and handouts. They are not that dumb. They will hear the sounds of home calling after that.

[barryg]

No,they just go to the welfare office and get survival pay. Then they enlist the ACLU to get a judge to let them stay here permanently.

They will never leave voluntarily.

[jonrick46]

I listened to Judge Bork's serious criticism of John McCain on the Mark Levin Show, Friday Jan. 11th. I doubt the independants even listen to Mark Levin. They also will not read National Review Online. For a good article by Mark Levin on John McCain, here is his article in the January 11th, 2008 National Review Online:

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=YjUzOGY0ODA1YzBmNjFhOWE5NWU0OTY5NTZiOGNhOGQ=

It is my opinion that we have two real conservative candidates who have a chance of getting the nomination: Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney.

If the independents were to listen the Rush Limbaugh or check his website, they would find more insight about John McCain:

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/daily/site_011108/content/01125112.guest.html

There are innumerable conservative blogs out there questioning John McCain's suitability as our nominee. Are the independents tuned in to anything but what the media spoon feeds them? Here is one calling McCain a "suitcase Republican":

http://crystalclearconservative.wordpress.com/2008/01/11/suitcase-republicans-the-case-against-john-mccain/

[ajay_kumar]

But don’t overlook Massachusetts aks taxachusetts is near top of the liberal states list. Romney had to deal with overwhelming democrat legislature. I believe it is 80% democrat or something like that.

Not even a Goldwater would run a state like that with strict conservative agenda. What Romney accomplished inspite of the democrat majority speaks volumes for his executive skills.

[Bushwacker777]

Yes, Huckabee Republicans will be the ones from the trailer court and the Huckabee Democratic crossovers will be from the universities. The smart Democrats will cross over and vote for a fool that will be easy to beat.

[Bushwacker777]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DksofcROmXs&feature=related

Funny

[TheLion]

Gerald Ford barely got in the Michigan Primary in 1976 and won. He was the last candidate to run in Michigan that had been born there. He beat Ronald Reagan by 31% that year.

http://www.michiganhistorymagazine.com/features/remembering_gerald_ford.html

___________________________________________________________

“In 1976, though, the movement of voters was in the other direction. Democratic turnout plummeted to barely 700,000, while the Republican turnout skyrocketed to more than 1 million, as Michigan voters handed native son Jerry Ford a lopsided victory in the GOP primary.”

——snip——

http://rhodescook.com/analysis/presidential_primaries/mi/allabout.html

[TheLion]

Mitt got good marks for how he actually governed, as regards illegal immigration:

Assessment of Past Immigration Actions in Political Office

Based on Congressional, Gubernatorial and Mayoral actions

Rudy bad

Huck bad

McCain abysmal

Fred fair

Mitt good

Paul good

Tancredo excellent

Hunter excellent

Republican Presidential Candidates On Immigration Issues

http://www.betterimmigration.com/candidates/2006/prez08_gop1.html

[WOSG]

“Sixty-nine percent (69%) have a favorable opinion of McCain.”

Sixty-nine percent of those polled have been bamboozled by the media to forget McCain’s instrumental support of several very bad bills: McCain-Feingold CFR, McCain-Kennedy amnesty for illegals, McCain-Lieberman CO2 cap regulations.

I guess the ‘sheeple’ are the ones in charge of this election (sigh).

[CommerceComet]

It is my opinion that we have two real conservative candidates who have a chance of getting the nomination: Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney.

I think that one truly is and one is pretending.

If the independents were to listen the Rush Limbaugh or check his website, they would find more insight about John McCain

I doubt most independents would pay much attention to those sources, any more than a conservative would believe what The Progressive or Mother Jones would say.

[jonrick46]

"I think that one truly is and one is pretending." I suspect that you see Mitt Romney as the pretend conservative. I can understand this. Romney has such a gift of communication and this makes him suspect as one who can talk a good talk like so many politicians. He has also changed his thinking over the years. His ability to communicate reflects his brilliant mind. His ability to change his mind reflects one who learns from his mistakes and changes his ways. I think that is as much one human being can do in the short lifetime they are given. It is called being real. Both Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney are real conservatives. We are lucky that both have a good chance at the nomination.

[CommerceComet]

Romney has such a gift of communication and this makes him suspect as one who can talk a good talk like so many politicians. He has also changed his thinking over the years. His ability to communicate reflects his brilliant mind. His ability to change his mind reflects one who learns from his mistakes and changes his ways.

Were you so gracious toward John Kerry?

Perhaps a trip through the Romney Truth File will remind of his flip-flops. To me, the most damning quote of Romney was his statement that he would not continue the Reagan Revolution. The man can't be trusted.

[jonrick46]

Is this the link to the Romney Truth File?

http://www.politifact.org/truth-o-meter/personalities/mitt-romney/

[rodeo-mamma]

I don’t understand why Democrats are allowed to vote in Republican Primaries. It used to be that only Republicans could vote in Republican Primaries. It should be illegal.