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CA Conservatives Race to Romney. SurveyUSA: McCain 39%, Romney 36%.
Survey USA ^ | February 4, 2008

Posted on 02/04/2008 1:22:53 PM PST by Plutarch

CA Conservatives Race to Romney, But Is That Enough To Leapfrog McCain on Primary Eve? 24 hours till votes are counted in the California Republican Primary, Mitt Romney has pulled close enough to John McCain that the contest should best be characterized as too-close-to-call, according to SurveyUSA's 12th pre-primary tracking poll. Among all likely Republican Primary voters, it's McCain 39%, Romney 36%, others in single digits. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago, conducted before Rudolph Giuliani withdrew from the contest, McCain is up 2, Romney is up 11. McCain had led by 12, now by 3, within the survey's 4.4 percent margin of sampling error. Among Conservatives, Romney now leads by 10. Among Moderates, McCain leads by 16. Romney has tied McCain among men. McCain leads among women, as he has for all of January.

McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco. Romney leads by 6 in the Inland Empire. The two are effectively tied in Greater Los Angeles and in the Central Valley.

Among Pro-Life voters, Romney has a slight edge. Among Pro-Choice voters, McCain leads by 15. Romney has leapfrogged McCain among gun owners. McCain maintains a double-digit advantage among those who do not own a gun.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: ca2008; mccain; romney; surveyusa
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SurveyUSA California GOP Primary
1 posted on 02/04/2008 1:22:54 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

oh nice.


2 posted on 02/04/2008 1:24:40 PM PST by VU4G10 (Have You Forgotten?)
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To: Plutarch
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

Knock me over with a feather.

3 posted on 02/04/2008 1:24:41 PM PST by Zevonismymuse
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To: Plutarch

Zogby has Romney up by 8.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1964557/posts


4 posted on 02/04/2008 1:25:04 PM PST by rightinthemiddle (The Mainstream Media Controls Our Party. Go, RINOS!)
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To: Plutarch

Among those who have already voted, McCain leads by 5.


5 posted on 02/04/2008 1:26:14 PM PST by Petronski (I didn't leave the GOP. The GOP left me.)
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To: Zevonismymuse
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco. Knock me over with a feather.

The good news is that a lot of the folks who said McCain over the phone, might not actually be registered to vote Republican. They'll find out at the polls that they can't request a Republican ballot if they're not pre-registered. A high-interest Democratic race takes even more of them away.

6 posted on 02/04/2008 1:27:43 PM PST by Azzurri
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To: Plutarch

Survey had to rush this out to skew RCP.

LLS


7 posted on 02/04/2008 1:27:48 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (Support America, Kill terrorists, Destroy dims and vote for?)
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To: Plutarch

I live in Duncan Hunter’s district, I guess his endorsement will carry a lot of weight in this conservative district, did he endorse Romney?


8 posted on 02/04/2008 1:29:00 PM PST by ansel12 (The conservative boat sailed long ago, it is every man for himself now.)
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To: VU4G10
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

But how many Republican voters live there? Pelosi gets maybe 85% of the vote in her congressional district there.

9 posted on 02/04/2008 1:29:05 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: ansel12
No. He endorsed Huckabee.
\
I wonder, if Romney did take California ... would McCain go nuclear?
10 posted on 02/04/2008 1:30:40 PM PST by K-oneTexas (I'm not a judge and there ain't enough of me to be a jury. (Zell Miller, A National Party No More))
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To: VU4G10
McCain leads by 21 in greater San Francisco.

But Romney's tied it up in L.A.!!

11 posted on 02/04/2008 1:33:16 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: rightinthemiddle
Regardless of who you support, please vote in the FR poll:

"Which GOP presidential hopeful do you want to see win the most delegates on Super Tuesday?

Member Opinion
Mitt Romney 75.4% 1,477
Ron Paul 11.6% 228
Mike Huckabee 7.5% 147
John McCain 5.4% 106
99.9% 1,958

12 posted on 02/04/2008 1:35:36 PM PST by icwhatudo (The National Right To Life founder endorsed Romney-So did the GOP's Pro-life "plank" writer.)
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To: Plutarch
Among Pro-Life voters, Romney has a slight edge. Among Pro-Choice voters, McCain leads by 15.

Interesting that the pro-choicers like McCain more than they like Romney. Hmmmm....

13 posted on 02/04/2008 1:39:40 PM PST by jan in Colorado ("It's easier to believe a lie one hears 1,000 times than to believe a fact that one has never heard)
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To: LibLieSlayer

I wonder how much of that has happened. It seems all the MSM has now adopted the “averaging” report so any outlyer can easily conceal a true poll.

For example Rasmussen actually shows Romney within three nationally. Also all the state by state surveys are generally 4 DAYS old except for californai and GA.


14 posted on 02/04/2008 1:41:56 PM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: K-oneTexas

“would McCain go nuclear?”

I suspect he would be a little tense. LOL!

The fuse is lit, he’s been ready to go off for a while.


15 posted on 02/04/2008 1:54:12 PM PST by wolfcreek (The Status Quo Sucks!)
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To: ansel12

Duncan Hunter endorsed Huckabee — but I’m wondering with Huckabee’s actions recently (if not prior) how many will see through him and vote for Romney anyway, as things stand now. Seems to me it should be even clearer now. What’s your take on that in your district?


16 posted on 02/04/2008 1:55:22 PM PST by cyn
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To: wolfcreek

(( Please, *please* let him go off sooner rather than later. We know it’s going to happen. ))


17 posted on 02/04/2008 1:57:26 PM PST by cyn
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To: Plutarch
Will California Buy Romney Time to Stay in the Race?
Last-minute polls send both candidates scrambling to the Golden State.

By Byron York

Phoenix, Ariz. — Since John McCain’s win in Florida, the conventional wisdom has been that he has nearly locked up the Republican presidential nomination. But now, just hours before Super Tuesday voting begins, a new factor has entered the equation: California. Polls, both public and those taken privately by the Romney campaign, show Mitt Romney with unexpected strength in the nation’s biggest state, sending both Romney and McCain rushing to make unscheduled stops there on Monday night and Tuesday. If Romney could win California, people in both campaigns say, the race could go on for several more weeks. And if that happens, conservatives who are trying to organize to stop McCain would have more time to work. At this late moment, California means everything.

(snip)
18 posted on 02/04/2008 2:00:34 PM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: cyn

Yeah if he loses California and the delegate count it close, expect him to go nuts like he did in 2000 and scream at someone. He did this to Maria Shriver.


19 posted on 02/04/2008 2:01:30 PM PST by lone star annie (Two more days to save the Republic from Invasion)
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To: Plutarch

Conservatives race to Romney! Why? Because opposites attract?


20 posted on 02/04/2008 2:08:00 PM PST by lmc12
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