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Uncommon Earth - Simulation shows the solar system could only form under rare conditions
Science News ^ | August 7th, 2008 | Ashley Yeager

Posted on 08/07/2008 9:57:23 PM PDT by neverdem

Goldilocks isn’t the only one who demanded everything to be “just right.” The Earth and its fellow seven planets also needed perfect conditions to form as observed, and those right conditions occur rarely, a new computer simulation shows.

The new simulation, described in the Aug. 8 Science, is the first to trace from beginning to end how planetary systems form from an initial gas disk encircling a baby star.

“The really striking result of the new model is how chaotic and even violent the average story of a planet’s birth is,” says Edward Thommes, an astrophysicist now at the University of Guelph in Ontario, Canada.

The process is typically a big mess. “Planets get into each others' ‘personal space,’ gravitationally scattering each other. They compete with each other for gas from the disk that gives birth to them and lots of planets are lost along the way,” he says. “It's almost like reality TV.”

(Excerpt) Read more at sciencenews.org ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Technical
KEYWORDS: astronomy; astrophysics; catastrophism; cosmology; crevo; donaldbrownlee; peterward; rareearth; rareearthnonsense; simulation; xplanets
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To: BuckeyeForever

Two fleas were sitting on a dog.

One flea said to the flea: “There is no dog.”


21 posted on 08/07/2008 11:10:52 PM PDT by bethtopaz (The U.S. Mail Service published Obama's resume on a new first class stamp.)
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To: bethtopaz

Seriously, does any of that make sense to you? The dark Earth was created first, then light? The sheepherders who concocted the creation myths in Genesis obviously flunked Physics in high school.


22 posted on 08/07/2008 11:13:18 PM PDT by BuckeyeForever
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To: bethtopaz

“Two fleas were sitting on a dog. One flea said to the flea: “There is no dog.”
____________________

Interesting logic. Let me explain to you why it means nothing in this discussion.
We see the flea conversation as amusing, because we know there IS a dog, even though the fleas are unaware of it. We have the perspective to know the dog is there, even if the fleas don’t. If necessary, we can prove the dog is there, even if the fleas don’t see it.

Do I need to explain to you why that has nothing to do with your speculation that there is an invisible, supernatural deity?


23 posted on 08/07/2008 11:25:54 PM PDT by BuckeyeForever
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To: BuckeyeForever

God created the Universe, as a means of creating an ever growing, and ever changing host for the expression of his spirit, which is to live, to know, to do.

This universe has an innumerable variance of different environments, and the key to cellular life is to survive.

The Sun is the real host life form. It is created by the Universe. If you want to see life, go look at the Sun. Without it, there would be none here.

Look up at the sky at night. Is there life out there?
Well, every point of light you see is one, or ten, or 20 million ‘suns’ , in every flavor imaginable.

God didn’t limit the life he was creating, nor the length of time it would go on. That’s what infinite is supposed to mean.

So there is life everywhere in the universe. The Stars are the hosts of life. The cellular life that grows on a planet, as a result of the ‘vibes’ the ‘sun’ puts out, are parasites.


24 posted on 08/07/2008 11:28:37 PM PDT by UCANSEE2
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To: CurlyDave

The biggest surprise in finding extra-solar planets are the large number of “hot Jupiters” (giant planets in close to the sun). Granted we should be finding these most given the techniques being used, but statistics have shown that the sampling bias does not account for this large number unless such formation is more typical than our formation.

We are also seeing systems with much more eliptical orbits than we experience in our Solar System. Both hot Jupiters and elliptical orbits would be an issue for life to develop in the same fashion as it did in our Solar System.

These factors make scientists conclude that our type of Solar System (rocky interior planets with large screening gas giants to the outside) is rare.

I think most scientists believe that simple life can readily take form, but multi-cellular organisms will be extremely rare (not to mention the additional improbability of developing intelligence capable of technology). It took 3 Billion years to go from single cell to multi-cell organisms on Earth according to the fossil record.

It should also be remembered that a generation of star formation and death had to occur before the formation of our Solar System.

Our moon which plays an important part in our life cycles is very unique when compared to the other moons in the Solar System.

The gas giants (in particular Jupiter) screens us somewhat from asteroid and comet impacts (another unique feature).

I think we understand enough physics to appreciate how unlikely faster than light travel and communication are. If that is the case I suspect we live in a very lonely corner of a galaxy with few if any other technologically advanced species in it. No Federation or Galactic Empire for us.


25 posted on 08/07/2008 11:32:40 PM PDT by exhaustguy
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To: CurlyDave

“In a few more years we will be able to detect earth-like planets, and will discover that there are a lot more of them than anyone suspected...”

I’d venture a guess that the number of Earth-like rocks vs. non, is the same as the number of humans vs. non-human life, on Earth.


26 posted on 08/07/2008 11:32:45 PM PDT by UCANSEE2
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To: ModelBreaker
"...it points to a creator who did the tuning--"

Did he actually admit that, or is that just what you observed?

27 posted on 08/07/2008 11:35:08 PM PDT by oprahstheantichrist (The MSM is a demonic stronghold; please pray accordingly. 2 Cor. 10:3-5)
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To: BuckeyeForever

I don’t pretend to know the mind of God, whose ways are past our finding out. Someone touting physics so, should know better than to ask such a question. It is the essence of relativity. Time is relative to the observer (you and I) and God is not subject to the physics of tiny minds who know only an infinitesimal amount of what there is to know. As a matter of fact, they don’t even know, what there is to be known, that they don’t know.

You observe only the terrestrial, but God the celestial. You state times relative only to your observations. The Creator is not subject to time and knows no time except that which he has used for the understanding of men.


28 posted on 08/07/2008 11:45:47 PM PDT by WildcatClan (Duncan Hunter isn't opaque.)
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To: BuckeyeForever

“The dark Earth was created first, then light? “

First, you are correct. The story in Genesis of the creation of the Earth, does seem a bit simplistic.

Because it is. No one back then had the advanced scientific knowledge we have today to describe the unfolding of the entire universe and eventual evolution of the Earth and the parasites that grow on it.

There are planets in our solar system, that still are dark.

But, to get a planet to where the electromagnetic shield, and greenhouse gases provide a relatively stable and hospitable environment for life, takes a long, long time.

Those sheepherders had no high school, nor Physics class available.

It is we, who should be smarter, who can interpret the intent of Genesis, instead of the literal description of an ancient sheepherder.

Regardless to whether we accept the sheepherder’s dictation, or current scientific concepts on the creation of Earth, or the Universe, there is no proof either is true, or that they both don’t amount to the same thing.


29 posted on 08/07/2008 11:51:01 PM PDT by UCANSEE2
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To: neverdem

Man, they sure seem to know a lot for a bunch of ‘scientists’ who have never gone anywhere. Pretty easy to set up your own models and your own conditions and then ‘discover’ what you wanted to find in the first place. Sociologists and psychologists do this all the time but the physical sciences can do it too if they put their minds to it.

It’s interesting stuff but in the end it’s conjecture.


30 posted on 08/07/2008 11:59:27 PM PDT by Seruzawa (American Government: Providing Middle Class Incomes to Unemployables for Over 200 Years!)
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To: onedoug

“Conditions for technological life might well be a lot rarer than we once thought. “

Actually, it was pretty rare here on planet Earth, until very, very recently.


31 posted on 08/08/2008 12:08:30 AM PDT by UCANSEE2
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To: UCANSEE2
You surrender too easily.
Physics says that planets were forming before there was light!
As the gaseous nebula began to collapse and spin, becoming a spinning disc, aggregations or proto planets began to form. Long after that, the core of the spinning disc system contracted and heated until the point was reached where first it became incandescent and then became a sun with the ignition of thermonuclear fusion. With that ignition, the interplanetary gas was blown away, leaving the planets much as we have them.
So the sequence was, first the planets formed, the core became incandescent (a weak source of light through the haze,) and then the blowing away of the interplanetary dust (the sun appearing and there being night and day on the planets.)
So not only were the planets created before the light, but the first light came before night and day, just as you read in Genesis.
32 posted on 08/08/2008 2:16:13 AM PDT by broncobilly
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To: neverdem

er, like one God?


33 posted on 08/08/2008 2:57:58 AM PDT by Waco
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To: onedoug
"...Conditions for technological life might well be a lot rarer than we once thought..."

We are alone.

34 posted on 08/08/2008 3:09:17 AM PDT by Does so (...against all enemies, DOMESTIC and foreign...)
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To: neverdem
From the macro to the micro, this stuff doesn't 'just happen'. It has all be fearfully and wonderfully made.
35 posted on 08/08/2008 3:21:13 AM PDT by tbpiper (NObama '08 - Unfit in any color)
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To: neverdem
It is so silly wasting time on this stuff. Don't you know the entire universe is just an illusion?
36 posted on 08/08/2008 4:07:43 AM PDT by mosaicwolf (Strength and Honor)
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To: LiteKeeper
To expand on your point: the apparent fortuity in planetary formation is a subset of the 'weak' Anthropic principle - which (broadly speaking) concerns the chances of human life and civilization ever appearing on Earth.

In contrast: the 'strong' Anthropic principle is about the chances of the Universe having the right parameters to support life in any shape or form. The idea here is that the elements of the periodic table, the existence of atoms, the existence of baryonic matter itself, and many other life-critical platforms - are all either the result of incredible fluke or a sign of intent by a Divine Creator.

37 posted on 08/08/2008 4:38:15 AM PDT by agere_contra
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To: BuckeyeForever
I hate to cast aspersions on your deity, but your god is one slow and inefficient creator.

Why would you believe that? 16 Billion years is only a long time to us. How can even a Trillion years be a long time to the Being that created time and space?

Like any artist creating a masterpiece, God has made sure the Frame is worthy of the Picture. The majesty of created time and space does honour to us, who stand at the focal point of His great work. Time and Space are part of His creation, not a constraint under which He must work.

38 posted on 08/08/2008 4:52:40 AM PDT by agere_contra
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To: BuckeyeForever

There was no Physics, and there was no high school at that time. Genesis is not a Physics manual. It is a story with a religious meaning. Does any of that make sense to you?


39 posted on 08/08/2008 5:04:15 AM PDT by BooksForTheRight.com (Fight liberal lies with knowledge. Read conservative books and articles.)
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To: ModelBreaker
He is intensely uncomfortable with the observed "tuning" of the constants of the general model BECAUSE it points to a creator who did the tuning--the tuning is way too improbable to have happened by chance.

It sounds as if your physicist friend was engaging with the Strong Anthropic principle, which I'll try and do some justice to.

The Strong Anthropic principle

First, we should distinguish the “strong” Anthropic Principle from the “weak” one.

The weak one is roughly along the lines of “isn’t it lucky we live just far enough away from the Sun to live”. And similar arguments, like “lucky that humans got a chance to evolve when the Dinosaurs cacked it” etc. It’s weak because this argument can be countered by the “humans are simply self-selecting observers who live on one lucky ball of rock” argument.

The strong version of the Anthropic Principle is the observation that this Universe appears to have been designed to allow life to exist. In any form. At all.

Out of all the infinitely variable boundary conditions of the Universe (the Gravitational constant, the relative strength of the Strong and Weak forces, and many others) the Universe just *happens* to have, or to embody, the exact set of parameters which make matter, space and life itself possible.

Note the emphasis on “possible”. We are not talking about there being a universe which happened to give rise to humans, baboons and bacteria. That would be the weak Anthropic principle.

We are talking about there being a universe where life is possible in any form whatever. If one of the Universe’s constants were to change by a few decimal places then the Universe would consist only of hydrogen, or only of baryons - or it would have lasted only a few millenia before crunching back on itself. The prima-facie odds of getting even carbon-synthesis to work are extraordinarily remote, and everything else has to be “just right” as well

The odds are literally infinitesimal that our Universe just happened to get it right. The religious, supernatural theory that the Universe was designed - and designed for us - is strongly supported by the extraordinary unlikelihood of the Universe being able to support any kind of life.

The usual (materialistic or atheistic) counter-argument against the (strong) Anthropic Principle is the theory that there are quadrillions of parallel Universes, one of which is ours. Ours is only special in that we are in it to observe it’s existence.

This parallel universe theory (apart from being a tired Star-Trek trope) turns out to be a non-disprovable. Any “other” Universe would have to be completely orthogonal to this one, with no interaction of any kind. If a scientist could detect another Universe, he would have - by definition - simply have detected more of ‘the’ Universe. The so-called ‘universes’ of Brane theory, hyperdimensional regions of dark matter interacting weakly with our own - these are part of “the” Universe, which is revealed to be a multiply-connected region.

Strict materialists would therefore have to adopt the position that there exist unthinkable infinities of rigidly unknowable and undetectable Universes covering the gamut of all possible physical constants in order for us to have become self-selected observers of this “one” Universe - the one that happens to have the right conditions for life.

This position “might” be true - but by its very nature it cannot be proven (”Hey! I've detected a Universe which (by definition) is totally orthogonal from this one” is a statement that cannot be true). Materialists have to move to a position not readily distinguishable from religious belief in order to contest the logical consequence of the (strong) Anthropic Principle - which is that this Universe has been extremely precisely tailored to the existence of life.

Hope this is helpful/useful.

40 posted on 08/08/2008 5:04:21 AM PDT by agere_contra
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