Global Warming on Free Republic
Posted on 08/19/2008 10:10:46 AM PDT by Kenny Bunk
An expert from the National Autonomous University of Mexico predicted that the Earth will enter a "Little Ice Age" which will last from 60 to 80 years and may be caused by the decrease in solar activity.
Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at the Institute of Geophysics at UNAM, showcased his theories during an international conference he led at the Centre for Applied Sciences and Technological Development. Velasco, a specialist in remote sensing systems, said that the recent rupture of the Perito Moreno glacier on the border of Chile and Argentina, unusual for having produced a full austral winter, was not due to global warming. He theorizes that the event was caused during a drought by falling water levels in the river, coupled with colder temperatures.
Dr. Velasco described as "erroneous" predictions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), of a gradual increase in temperature, the so-called global warming. The models and forecasts of the IPCC "are incorrect because they are based solely on mathematical models and do not include, for example, solar activity," said Velasco, who is also a specialist in predictive image processing. "The phenomenon of climate change," he added, "should include both internal and external factors. Internal would include volcanic activity,while external causes include solar activity."
"Curiously, the Sun never has been seen as a cooling agent, but as a cause of warming. It clearly has roles in both cooling and warming," he said.
At present, Velasco holds that the world is going through a transition phase of considerably diminished solar activity, "so that in two years or so, there will be the beginnings of a small ice age that lasts from 60 to 80 years,and the immediate consequence of this" he added, "will be drought."
Analyses by the IPCC concluded that the "Little Ice Age",a cold period that lasted since the beginning of the fourteenth century until the mid-nineteenth century. was a regional phenomena or accentuation of local effects. But Velasco disagrees. He says that, "Current evidence does not support globally synchronous periods of abnormal heat or cold in this timeframe," and that it must have been caused by other factors.
Highlights and Dates
According to Velasco, effects will be clearly observable within in approximately two years. However, in early July, Velasco Herrera said that satellite data indicate it is possible that this period of global cooling may have even already begun as early as 2005.
He has predicted that cooling would fully arrive within 30 or 40 years.
Global Warming on Free Republic
Bad link. No link to this article. I googled and did not find an article with this title.
But think of the upside.... there will be plenty of ice for the mixed drinks.
So that’s why it’s so dang cold in the office, they are just trying to prepare us for something that was predicted in the 70’s.
From James Hansen, current GW guru: "Yawn, been there, done that......"
Bump for later read.....C
First it was Nuclea winter that the scientists were predicting.
Then in just a few years, it was Global Warming with the land masses under water from the deluge caused by melting icecaps.
Now its another Little Ice Age with droughts and deserts.
STOP IT! I CANT TAKE IT ANYMORE.
cool
cool
All we need is a flu pandemic to make him a seer.
stupid crappy IE browser.
anyhoos, the sun has something to do with this....amazing.
doesn’t this kind of line up with what that australian scientist showed on that you-tube “is CO2 to blame for MMGW?”, where we have ‘peaked’ and are headed into a long, cool, cool period?
WOW That is a crisis that I can get excited about. Come on global cooling.
cool
Hmmm. If it gets too cold here, we might need to use Mexico for awhile.
I didn’t read the article.
I know the idea that man is the sole reason for global warming is preposterous. The sun has more of an effect on our climate than carbon emissions ever could.
I may have taken too long to complete Earth Science in high school, but I still enjoyed it.
Hear hear! The only thing worse than a “Little Ice Age” would be a "Big Ice Age". Last time that happened, most of Canada was buried under a couple of miles of ice. It probably got unseasonably cool in parts of the U.S. too.
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