I got some Micro Polling from Pennsylvania.....

[Bushite]

These were conducted Oct. 23,24,25

Bucks County: O: 49 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 51 B: 48

Allegheny: O: 52 M: 42 2004 Results: K: 57 B: 42

Erie: O: 50 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 54 B: 45

York: M: 57 O: 39 2004 Results: B: 63 K: 35

Montgomery: O: 51 M: 39 2004 Results: K: 55 B: 44

[jveritas]

You are reciting Michael Barrone article. My question is do you really believe that upper middle class people are that stupid not to know it was government pushing bank to give loans for low income people that caused the credit and financial crisis that effected homes and 401(k)?

[NYC Republican]

Wrong bud... Need to look at the gap... The O/M numbers have a lot of undecideds.

[truthfreedom]

Another thing to consider is that, if we’re a little closer than 2004 or not quite as close as 2004, either way, we’re about 2 or 3 points behind according to the polls, not 10 behind, like the media polls and other polls would have us think.

[af_vet_1981]

Not good. M trailing Bush everywhere.

Not really; difference between solid support in poll with undecideds not listed and actual results from 2004; poll indicates Hussein will underperform Kerry though

[GCC Catholic]

Living in Erie, I don’t buy that poll. I think McCain will take Erie county and I daresay he may even take Allegheny county.

Though I've only been in Erie for college (my second year here), from driving around town, and even from talking to a few people, I'd have to agree with you. But I suspect part of the difference between poll and reality here is PUMA/Bradley effect. Especially in the City.

[latina4dubya]

i notice that you tend to look for the negative... the B/K numbers are the final numbers, which means, no undecideds... the O/M numbers do not include the undecides because we won’t know those numbers umtil after the election...

[snarkytart]

No I don’t.
My post was stating McCain is doing better than Obama is doing in PA. Compared to Kerry/Bush.

[fatima]

Good point ccmay.

[Ravi]

Thank you for this information. It is very useful in comparing Kerry’s margins in 2004 to Obama’ margins now. Explains why Obam’s there today. This does tend to make one cautiously optimistic. McCain has kept results hidden I suppose so they are probably very accurate. This is the kind of polling that we should be paying attention to.

[HamiltonJay]

Bucks County: O: 49 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 51 B: 48

Allegheny: O: 52 M: 42 2004 Results: K: 57 B: 42

Erie: O: 50 M: 43 2004 Results: K: 54 B: 45

York: M: 57 O: 39 2004 Results: B: 63 K: 35

Montgomery: O: 51 M: 39 2004 Results: K: 55 B: 44

Yep, Fauxbama is underperforming Kerry all across the state. The Fauxbama camp is claiming victory because they believe that McCain is underperforming Bush by a larger margin. Don’t bet on it folks... McCain’s taking PA.

[1035rep]

If true, these are very good numbers. Obama is trailing Kerry except in York. When you factor in undecideds and the Bradley Effect, I think McCain ultimately outperforms Bush.

 This is good news! Obama under preforming in early voting as well.  

[unspun]

Remember the pressured union worker and the PUMA.

The first are afraid to say they’re voting McCain; the second want it to be a surprise.

[MaryAnne]

I live in Delaware County - it went for kerry. What about Chester County? They are not in the poll?

[Purrcival]

Bush and Kerry from the 2004 election.

[1035rep]

Because mainstream Democrats find Obama unacceptable. Not all Democrats are moonbats.

Talk a look at the internals of a state like Oklahoma where McCain is winning 41% of the Democrat vote, Obama is just unacceptable to mainstream America.

[La Enchiladita]

These polls cost MONEY. just be happy that you have them in an anonymous fashion.

LOL. And maybe change your name to 'bushleague'.

[1035rep]

Makes sense that’s why Hussein is back in Pennsylvania AGAIN.

McCain and Hussein both campaigning in a blue state :)

[Bushite]

I feel honored to have attracted a troll.

[mainerforglobalwarming]

I think over the next week that 3 point lead that Obama has will be gone.

[La Enchiladita]

Ooooooh, clever.
What else does ‘anonymous’ have to say today...?