Posted on 11/03/2008 6:49:09 AM PST by icwhatudo
Its pretty simple. Assuming McCain wins the states he is currently in the lead or tied in according to RCP averages of state polls, then theses are the states he would have to carry to defeat Obama:
| State | Obama (D) | McCain (R) | RCP Average | RCP Status | 2004 | 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida (27) | 48.5 | 46.0 | Obama +2.5 |  Toss Up |
Bush +5.0 | Bush +0.1 |
| Virginia (13) | 50.0 | 45.8 | Obama +4.2 | Toss Up |
Bush +8.2 | Bush +8.1 |
| Ohio (20) | 48.3 | 44.7 | Obama +3.6 | Toss Up |
Bush +2.1 | Bush +3.5 |
| Colorado (9) | 50.5 | 45.0 | Obama +5.5 |  Leaning |
Bush +4.7 | Bush +8.4 |
|
This would make it a 269/269 tie. The kicker is Maine. Maine has two Congresional districts. It is one of two states that splits its four Electoral College votes, meaning McCain can come away with at least one of them if he wins Maine's northern, rural 2nd District.
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(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
If McCain wins the election and loses the popular vote I fear there will be violence on the streets.
No matter how you slice it, those are not good numbers for The Obama....
CA....
I’m near Chicago, too, and even knowing my vote is dust in the wind in the bluest of shamefully blue states, I will vote for Mr. McCain. And I hope some thug gives me trouble about my vote...
As God made little green apples the Republican base turnout in this election will be the highest in modern political history of the Republican party. In the same spirit that Sarah Palin guaranteed a win in Pennsylvania, I guarantee it. As to the results of the election, I’m holding off to later in the day or early tomorrow.
A rain of fire, blood and frogs couldn’t stop me even though my state will surely go Dem.
Am I crazy?
Probably but I also have hope that *maybe* things will be different this time.
No truer words were ever spoken.
Baltimore/DC and the counties around them own our souls.
If it does it’s all over for Mac & Pubs, as you’ve noticed most states are turning bluer & bluer as time goes by, yes Socialism is on the rise.
Let them burn!
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