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Latest Survey of Polls: Democrats to Get Crushed in the States
Rasmussen, unless noted ^ | 3/25/10 | Dangus

Posted on 03/25/2010 1:16:33 PM PDT by dangus

The latest polls suggest the Republicans could pull off a sweep of unprecedented porportion in statehouse races, virtually wiping out the Democrat party. The following data come from the latest Rasmussen poll, if available. Otherwise, the poll source is noted. Results shown compare the Republican who performs best against the Democrats, versus the Democrat who performs best against Republicans. This may bias selection towards well-established candidates, and is not meant to suggest that the selected candidate is more electable or the best candidate. The party indicated is the party of the current leader, who is listed first. Further analysis follows the table.

Open Democratic Seats
Colorado: R: McInnis 48, Hickenlooper 42
Kansas: R: Brownback 55, Tolland 33
Maine: R: Mills 43, Mitchell 31
Michigan: R: Hoesktra 41, Dillon 34
New Mexico: D: Denish 45, Domenici 40
New York: No announced Democratic candidate (Likely D if Atty Gen. Cuomo Runs)
Oklahoma: R: Fallin 51, Edmonson 36
Oregon: D: Kitzhaber 40, Lim 38 (R favored: Kitzhaber is former Governor; Lim is largely unknown.)
Pennsylvania R: Corbett 46, Onorato 29
Tennessee R: Haslam 45, McWherter 27
Wisconsin R: Walker 48, Barret 42
Democrats for Re-election
Arkansas D: Beebe (unopposed, so far)
Illinois R: Brady 47, Quinn 37
Iowa R: Brandstad 52, Culver 36
Maryland D: O'Malley 49, Erlich 43
Massachusetts D: Patrick 35, Baker 32, Cahill (Ind.) 19 (Tossup: 3rd part voters likely to break towards an opponent of Patrick's)
New Hampshire D: Lynch 51, Kimball 32
Ohio R: Kasich 49, Strickland 38
Open Republican Seats
Alabama R: No polling, but Republicans are heavily favored.
California R: Whitman 45, Brown 39 (PPIC)
Connecticut D: Lamont 40, Foley 37 (R favored: Lamont is former Senator candidate, whereas Foley is unknown.)
Florida R: McCollum 48, Sink 36
Georgia R: Handel 42, Barnes 39
Hawaii D: Abercrombie 43, Aiona 34
Minnesota R: Seifert 41, Dayton 39
South Carolina R: Barrett 40, Rex 31
South Dakota R: Daugaard 41, Heindepreim 32
Vermont R: Dubie 46, Markowitz 39
Republican Incumbent Facing Difficult Primary
Arizona R: Martin 43, Goddard 38 (Brewer, who replaced Democratic Governor Napolitano, is losing)
Idaho R: (Challenger Rammell or Incumbent Governor Butch Otter would be heavily favored to win general election)
Nevada R: Sandoval 53, Reid 35 (Gibbons, rocked by sex scandal, is losing)
Unelected Republican Incumbent
Alaska R: Parnell widely expected to win easily.
Utah R: Herbert 55, Corroon 32
Republicans for Re-election
Nebraska R: Heineman 61, Lakers 23
Texas R: Perry 49, White 43
Already won in 2009
Virginia R: McDonnell 59, Deeds 41
New Jersey R: Christie 49, Corzine 45

If the latest Rasmussen poll results were used as ballots, the Democrats would win only eight statehouses. But its worse than that:

And yes, there's not likely to be more than six incumbents re-elected... from both parties combined!


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2010; 2010election; 2010midterms; 2010polls; dangus; democrats; elections

1 posted on 03/25/2010 1:16:33 PM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus
Is this counting the 30-million newly-minted Democrat citizens the Democrats are going to legalize before November?
2 posted on 03/25/2010 1:18:05 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Islam is a religion of peace, and Muslims reserve the right to kill anyone who says otherwise.)
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To: dangus

Sweet. Maybe this will lead to the death of the Democrat Party. Couldn’t happen to a more appropriate bunch of leftist thugs.


3 posted on 03/25/2010 1:18:33 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: dangus

Too bad Haslam here in Tennessee appears to be the most RINO of the GOP candidates. He also has the most money.


4 posted on 03/25/2010 1:19:06 PM PDT by Ingtar (Congress: proof that Entropy trumps Evolution)
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To: dangus
Here's what I want to see on the first Wednesday of November, 2010.

All Your Base

5 posted on 03/25/2010 1:20:44 PM PDT by Bush_Democrat (Ex-Dem since 2001 *Folding@Home for the Gipper - Join the FReeper Folders*)
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To: dangus
Numbers like these are why we are in for 7 months of non-stop stories about how violent and dangerous Republicans/conservatives/tea partiers are.

They're about two months away from blowing up their own rural campaign buildings, secretaries inside.

6 posted on 03/25/2010 1:21:30 PM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: dangus

Just in time for ACORN to roll themselves out under a new name.


7 posted on 03/25/2010 1:23:29 PM PDT by historyrepeatz
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To: dangus

A more important battle will be for state legislatures this year since that will determine redistricting and affect the US House of Reps for the next 10 years.


8 posted on 03/25/2010 1:24:49 PM PDT by pb929
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To: Bush_Democrat

That’s funny—I love it!

Let’s just get some good ones in there.


9 posted on 03/25/2010 1:26:36 PM PDT by Nickname (2012 - Yes You're Canned!)
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To: dangus
WipeOut!
10 posted on 03/25/2010 1:27:19 PM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: dangus

Alabama is not guaranteed by any means. Gambling has become the biggest issue of the year and if I were to vote on gambling and gambling alone I’d be voting Democrat given my position on it.

Now of course, I am neither a one-issue voter nor a complete dolt and moron so I’ll be voting Republican. But I’m not so sure about the average voter in this state. I could see them electing a good ole boy Dem like Ron Sparks if he hadn’t run a shoddy campaign.

Conventional wisdom says Davis is unelectable. Yes and No. Against a Republican candidate who doesn’t alienate the party’s metropolitan base the answer to that is absolutely yes. He will be unelectable. Now, if it is someone like Roy Moore, who is hated in the cities, or Kay Ivey, who failed at the one actual responsibility her office had, then I could say Davis actually pulling it off.

On our side Kay Ivey is wholly unelectable unless there was a huge showing from rural lower class (normally Dem) women voting for her because of her gender. Moore I view as unelectable in a partisan election but with him you never know because he could alter voter turnout in ways we don’t know.


11 posted on 03/25/2010 1:28:30 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691
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To: dangus

Let the CONSERVATIVE Republican leadership know that we support Sen Jim DeMint by signing his Repeal ObamaCare Pledge.

Don’t let the RINO’S define us.

http://repealitpledge.com/

159,000 folks have made the pledge!!!!

How about you????


12 posted on 03/25/2010 1:28:50 PM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: dead

...7 months of non-stop stories ...

Then it’s time for the “We Won’t Buy Your Newspaper, Watch Your TV Station, or Visit Your Website” campaign.

With the potential destruction of the Democratic Party, we could also destroy their voice(s).

A Two-Fer, if you will...


13 posted on 03/25/2010 1:28:59 PM PDT by Paisan
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To: dangus
Pennsylvania R: Corbett 46, Onorato 29

This is no surprise.

Dan Onorato is:

A) A flaming lefty
B) A complete lightweight
C) A blithering idiot
D) All of the above

The correct answer is, of course, D.

14 posted on 03/25/2010 1:29:26 PM PDT by THX 1138 ("Harry, I have a gift.")
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To: Bush_Democrat

LOL.........I remember that......too funny!


15 posted on 03/25/2010 1:29:41 PM PDT by LasVegasMac (Islam: Bringing the world death and destruction for 1400 years!)
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To: AzaleaCity5691

And I bring up gambling to make a point. There are many Republicans in the state like me who tend to agree with the general position advocated by the Democrats in the state that gambling should be legal. Having said that, I oppose the efforts by the Democrats in the legislature that aren’t about gambling being legal but about creating a monopoly for one Birmingham businessman.

On the other hand, there are many Democrats out in the country who oppose gambling being legal, in general agreement with most legislative Republicans.

That’s why gambling could really mess up this election.


16 posted on 03/25/2010 1:30:58 PM PDT by AzaleaCity5691
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To: dangus
New Mexico: D: Denish 45, Domenici 40

Why is Domenici listed here? He's polling at 5%. It should be Susana Martinez.

South Carolina R: Barrett 40, Rex 31

Barrett? Meh. I prefer Nikki Haley for Governor.

Arizona R: Martin 43, Goddard 38 (Brewer, who replaced Democratic Governor Napolitano, is losing)

Mr. Joe Arpaio - your nation calls you to step up to the plate!

17 posted on 03/25/2010 1:35:50 PM PDT by Falcon28 (Allen West - 2012 * For a list of conservative candidates in 2010, see my profile)
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To: dangus

We have to control the statehouses so we can ensure free and fair elections!


18 posted on 03/25/2010 1:46:23 PM PDT by chris_bdba
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To: Bush_Democrat

They can call it Obozogeddon: the death of the Democratic Party.


19 posted on 03/25/2010 1:46:39 PM PDT by DarthVader (Liberalism is the politics of EVIL whose time of judgment has come. Judgment Day: Nov 2, 2010)
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To: dangus
D: Denish 45, Domenici 40

Domenici is not going to be the nominee by a long shot. It will likely be Alan Weh or Susanah Martinez... both of whom are more conservative.

20 posted on 03/25/2010 1:48:01 PM PDT by Tijeras_Slim (Live jubtabulously!)
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To: Bush_Democrat

Good times that! LOL!


21 posted on 03/25/2010 1:48:35 PM PDT by Tijeras_Slim (Live jubtabulously!)
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To: dangus

You don’t have your facts put together very well.

Whitman vs Brown in California is gubernatorial race not a congrassional race. The race of interest is Boxer vs???? Right now Campbell leads that three way but I distrust that POS so...

Anyway, because of this glaring error on your part I trust none of the rest of your analysis or reporting


22 posted on 03/25/2010 1:50:38 PM PDT by the long march
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To: dangus

If Republicans do pull off an major upset in states across the nation, they will be in a great position to legislate on Census results and redistricting.

I’m hoping the anger can be sustained and magnified from now until November. No doubt the media and democrats will attempt to throw distractions out one after the other till then.


23 posted on 03/25/2010 1:52:33 PM PDT by Crolis ("Nemo me impune lacessit!" - "No one provokes me with impunity!")
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To: the long march

“The race of interest is Boxer vs???? Right now Campbell leads that three way but I distrust that POS so...”

Actually, I heard that Carly Fiorina has pulled one point ahead of Tom Campbell.

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/03/ppic-poll.html


24 posted on 03/25/2010 1:53:07 PM PDT by wk4bush2004 (PALIN-BACHMANN, 2012!)
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To: the long march

>> You don’t have your facts put together very well. Whitman vs Brown in California is gubernatorial race not a congrassional race.<<

I don’t gave my FACTS put together very well? Every race listed is a GOVERNOR’S race. The article is about the STATES, not D.C.

>> Anyway, because of this glaring error on your part I trust none of the rest of your analysis or reporting <<

I’m so crushed. (/sarc)


25 posted on 03/25/2010 1:53:48 PM PDT by dangus (Democrats: People retardants.)
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To: Tijeras_Slim

To quote the lead paragraph:

“Results shown compare the Republican who performs best against the Democrats, versus the Democrat who performs best against Republicans. This may bias selection towards well-established candidates, and is not meant to suggest that the selected candidate is more electable or the best candidate.”


26 posted on 03/25/2010 1:54:37 PM PDT by dangus (Democrats: People retardants.)
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To: dangus

BUMP


27 posted on 03/25/2010 1:54:52 PM PDT by BunnySlippers (I LOVE BULL MARKETS . . .)
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To: Falcon28

>> Why is Domenici listed here? He’s polling at 5%. It should be Susana Martinez. <<

A fine question. And a fine question deserves a fine answer. And, oo, look! I happen to already have one ready. From the article:

“Results shown compare the Republican who performs best against the Democrats, versus the Democrat who performs best against Republicans. This may bias selection towards well-established candidates, and is not meant to suggest that the selected candidate is more electable or the best candidate.”

I would be interested in seeing your poll data about the race. The ones I saw, from NM St U had Domenici beating Martinez 29-11, as of Feb 13. Is your more current? Is she taking off in the polls?


28 posted on 03/25/2010 1:59:07 PM PDT by dangus (Democrats: People retardants.)
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To: wk4bush2004

That is good news-—— maybe???? I think Carly can beat old ugly Babs not so sure about any of the guys


29 posted on 03/25/2010 2:00:09 PM PDT by the long march
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To: dangus

Hey you are the one who labelled them open republican (or democrat) SEATS not me.


30 posted on 03/25/2010 2:02:12 PM PDT by the long march
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To: AzaleaCity5691

The trick with gambling is, if you don’t want to lose money don’t gamble. Do you really need a governmental body telling you how to spend you money? If Alabama votes Democrat over gambling then it is going to change the way I feel about Alabama voters.


31 posted on 03/25/2010 2:11:16 PM PDT by Sarah-bot (The bloom is off the fart blossum)
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To: dangus
virtually wiping out the Democrat party.

That, my man, is the plan.

32 posted on 03/25/2010 2:15:03 PM PDT by Bahbah (Only dead fish go with the flow)
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To: WashingtonSource

So this points to an 8 seat pickup for Republicans in the senate. That means we need at least one more with a Republican POTUS and VP and a majority in The House in order to undo some of the devastation In 2012. Oh wait, this includes Olympia Snow.


33 posted on 03/25/2010 2:15:30 PM PDT by outofstyle (Anti-socialist)
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To: dangus

Looks like the slimey RAT AG Edmondson of OK is still in hiding trying to decide if he wants to file a lawsuit. Our Republican Governor candidate Mary Fallin is going to win and Oklahoma will be back Red for Governor.

For those who do not know, Edmondson was the RAT AG of OK who went in on the side of Gore in the 2000 FL fiasco after the state went for Bush and then after that he went in on the side of CT against the Boy Scouts and he thinks he can win in OK.

Oklahoma is going red in 2010 to match how we voted for President against ZERO/Biden!


34 posted on 03/25/2010 2:40:31 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Mary Fallin - OK Gov/Rick Perry - TX Gov/Coburn/Rubio - Senate 2010 !)
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To: Clintonfatigued

A good overview of governors races.


35 posted on 03/25/2010 2:44:21 PM PDT by Norman Bates
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To: the long march

Are you under the weird impression that governors don’t have seats?


36 posted on 03/25/2010 3:26:35 PM PDT by dangus (Democrats: People retardants.)
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To: the long march

And did you read the FIRST SENTENCE?

“The latest polls suggest the Republicans could pull off a sweep of unprecedented porportion in STATEHOUSE races (emphasis added)...”


37 posted on 03/25/2010 3:27:40 PM PDT by dangus (Democrats: People retardants.)
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To: the long march
"Anyway, because of this glaring error on your part I trust none of the rest of your analysis or reporting."

Oh my!

I guess that means none of us can trust your ability to read, therefore we cannot trust a damned thing you say.

38 posted on 03/25/2010 4:08:37 PM PDT by diogenes ghost
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To: pb929

Not to mention the fact that we’ll be able to get tough voter ID laws through in all those states. Just imagine what would happen in PA if we could get a biometric voter ID law on the books.


39 posted on 03/25/2010 4:14:38 PM PDT by Windcatcher (Obama is a COMMUNIST and the MSM is is armband-wearing propaganda machine.)
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To: dangus
Is your more current? Is she taking off in the polls?

Well, it's not a statewide poll, but a pre-primary vote from the NM GOP Convention - it has Martinez winning 47% to Domenici's 5%. A candidate that doesn't crack the 20% barrier is required to obtain twice the number of signatures in order to be on the Primary ballot. We shall see.

Pre-Primary Poll

40 posted on 03/25/2010 7:14:05 PM PDT by Falcon28 (Allen West - 2012 * For a list of conservative candidates in 2010, see my profile)
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To: dangus
There will be no elections.

Obama's owners will see to it that there will be a Reichstag Fire. Patriots and Minutemen will be summarily liquidated. A Waffen S.S. will carry it out.

41 posted on 03/25/2010 7:17:32 PM PDT by stboz
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To: dangus

We the People need to be sure none run unopposed.....


42 posted on 03/25/2010 7:18:36 PM PDT by mo
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To: Falcon28

I’m guessing Domenici wasn’t worried about collecting 2,400 signatures, and didn’t bother with their party, and the participants were angry at the snub. From the actual polling I’ve seen, I think Domenici is the heavy front-runner, even if only in the sense Crist was the heavy front-runner last fall in Florida. It sounds like a straw poll, and straw polls mean less than zero.


43 posted on 03/25/2010 7:31:54 PM PDT by dangus (Democrats: People retardants.)
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To: AdmSmith; Berosus; bigheadfred; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; Fred Nerks; ...

Thanks dangus. But just in case...


44 posted on 03/25/2010 8:30:25 PM PDT by SunkenCiv ("Fools learn from experience. I prefer to learn from the experience of others." -- Otto von Bismarck)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

Thanks AngelesCrestHighway.


45 posted on 03/25/2010 8:30:38 PM PDT by SunkenCiv ("Fools learn from experience. I prefer to learn from the experience of others." -- Otto von Bismarck)
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To: the long march
Figuring out how California will vote is ....follow the candidate with name recognition...

Course Moonbeam might have too much recognition.

46 posted on 03/25/2010 11:12:16 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

They won’t be legalized to vote by then or 2012....but 2016 I think is where you’d see the greatest impact.


47 posted on 03/26/2010 3:07:33 AM PDT by mdmathis6
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To: dangus

Crushing is too good for them.


48 posted on 03/26/2010 3:08:44 AM PDT by Rocky (REPEAL IT!)
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