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Reading some threads, I see Cruz folks starting to sound like they're starting to buy the Trump Big Lie that Trump "won" the debate, and knocked Cruz out. Don't believe it for a second. I can't be specific what I'm referring to. We'll just have to say it's interesting data from "a friend." What I am seeing is national, not relating to Iowa specifically. And it's not a cross-section of Republicans, but it probably is a pretty good barometer of conservatives. Based on what I'm seeing, Rubio is going absolutely, positively nowhere, and Trump is going downhill. Pretty big. Maybe...

In 2005 the Lord gave me a vision of a mountain range rising up straight down Interstate 5 from Olympia through California . Yesterday I sensed even parts of the Olmypic Peninsula may soon disappear ! There is about to be , A catastrophe , Of human life greater than ever fortold , A separating of the sheep not of my fold , The ones that have gone the way of Cain , Sold their birthright as Esau for a moment of gain, These sheep have already witnessed the wonders of my love , But have rejected the God of...

The Epistle of St. Jude cites the prophet Enoch: 14 Enoch, the seventh from Adam, prophesied about them: “Behold, the Lord is coming with thousands upon thousands of his saints 15 to judge everyone, and to convict all of them of all the ungodly acts they have committed in their ungodliness, and of all the defiant words ungodly sinners have spoken against him.” Wait, WHAT prophet Enoch? The Old Testament certainly does mention an Enoch. He was the father of Methusaleh, the longest-living man ever to walk the face of the Earth. Methusaleh drowned in the flood of Noah. Apparently,...

For a long time I've known of one explanation for the divergence of Matthew's and Luke's genealogies of Jesus: that Luke traces Christ Jesus' genealogy through the Blessed Virgin Mary Mary, while Matthew traces it through St. Joseph. Instead of reading as: being, as was supposed, the son of Joseph, the son of 'Eli, Luke's gospel, it is proposed, should read as: being, even as of Joseph, of 'Eli. This makes more sense than it would seem, since "the son of" is an interpolation which exists only in English, and the Greek word, "'ws," is actually more readily translated as...

It is commonly claimed that we have little idea what Jesus looked like. Some have even gone to such despicable extremes as to describe traditional depictions of Jesus as looking like an "effeminate hippy." The truth is that although some images of Jesus have made him look overly European, we do have a good sense of what he looked like. Jesus had a beard. To shave off one's beard was a great dishonor (see 1 Sam 21, 2 Sam 10:4, Isaiah 50:6). One particular humiliation the Messiah withstood was that the centurions plucked out his beard (Isaiah 50:6); certainly they...

1. Ben Nelson, NE Don't let rising poll numbers fool you: Republicans like Nelson's independence, but would rather a conservative, and Democrats are simply over their hissy fit inspired by Nelson slowing Obamacare down. A real conservative, like Atty Gen. Jon Bruning will win easily. (The latest poll has Nelson back over 50%, but losing by 15 to Bruning.) VERDICT: easy pickup. 2. Jon Tester, MT A radical leftist in Montana? No way. His election was just a fluke in 2006. Denny Rehberg, the sole Montana congressman could run. If not, former Lt Gov. candidate, businessman Steve Daines will. VERDICT:...

Thirteen Democrat candidates for the United States Senate won on Tuesday. Ten of them were from the eleven most indebted states in the union. Not one state in those eleven elected anyone but a Democrat. Those eleven states are, with their per capita debt in parentheses, in order: Connecticut ($4,490) Massachusetts ($4,323), Hawaii ($3,675), New Jersey ($3,621), New York ($2,981), Delaware ($2,128), Washington ($2,087), Illinois ($1,877), Rhode Island ($1,812), California ($1,805). and Oregon ($1,606). (Rhode Island and New Jersey didn't elect any senators; New York elected two Democrats.) The Democratic success runs far deeper than the U.S. Senate races. Although...

If you're district isn't on this list, it doesn't mean the Democrat is ahead, only that there is no polling demonstrating a Republican's lead. I selected the best polling available for each of these races; In many cases, that means the most recent, but internal polls are viewed suspiciously. Internal polls are noted with a "D" or an "R" indicating which candidate paid for them.SIXTY REPUBLICANS ALREADY LEADING Arizona 1: Gosar 39, Kirkpatrick 43 (Lake-D, 8/30); 47-41 (AAF, 8/29); 43-43 (Moore, 8/31) Arizona 5: Schweikert 50, Mitchell 44 (AAF, 8/29) Arizona 8: Kelly 46, Giffords 46 (Ayers, 8/29) Arkansas 1:...

Republicans are now leading in 47 congressional districts held by Democrats. (This is up 8 just since last week.) There are another 5 seats held by retiring Democrats in significantly Republican-leaning districts which have not been polled. That's a total of 52 seats, almost equal to the number gained by Republicans in the 1994 election (54). There are another 20 where Republicans have pulled very close to Democrats, and the Democrats are polling well below 50%, normally a sign of grave danger this early in the election season. And of course, although the media tend to poll the races where...

Polls have been conducted in a small minority of districts, but there are still plenty to show that Republicans are poised to take control of Congress. (The more competitive districts are most likely to have polls taken in them, of course.) After checking Wikipedia, Real Clear Politics and googling the names of every remaining candidate in Republican-leaning districts with Democratic congressmen, I present the poll data to show Republicans already leading in plenty of districts to overwhelm the Democrats' current 39-seat majority. Based only on this data (excluding hundreds of districts with no polling found), I predict 52-60 seats gained....

Republicans are holding all six of their open seats: Florida: Rubio-R, 40; Crist-I 32; Meek-D, 17 (PPP, 8/18) Kentucky: Paul-R, 51; Conway -D, 41 (Rasmussen, 8/17) Missouri: Blunt-R, 54; Carnahan-D, 41 (Rasmussen, 8/23) New Hampshire: Ayotte-R, 51; Hodes-D, 38 (Rasmussen, 8/5) Ohio: Portman-R, 48; Fisher-D, 39 (Rasmussen, 8/16) In addition, they are leading in ten Democrat-held seats: Arkansas: Boozman-R, 65; Lincoln-D, 27 (Rasmussen, 8/18) California: Fiorina-R, 47; Boxer-D, 42 (SurveyUSA, 8/11) Colorado: Buck-R, 46, Bennet-D, 41 (Rasmussen, 8/11) Delaware: Castle-"R", 48; Coons-D, 35 (PPP, 8/8) Indiana: Coats-R, 50; Ellsworth-D, 29 (Rasmussen, 8/7) Nevada: Angle-R, 48 or 50*; Reid-D, 48 (Rasmussen,...

Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is very popular in New York. Governor David Paterson and Senator Kirsten Gillibrand are not... and they're both up for re-election. Conventional wisdom has had it that Cuomo will run for one of their jobs: Paterson's. Amidst unsourced press reports that Cuomo would begin his campaign for governor sometime in March, Paterson even announced he would not be seeking re-election. But now March has come and just about gone, and there's no announcement. Cuomo, in fact, keeps insisting he's running for attorney general. But it's hard to believe the heretofore ruthless politician, suddenly lacks any ambition...

The latest polls suggest the Republicans could pull off a sweep of unprecedented porportion in statehouse races, virtually wiping out the Democrat party. The following data come from the latest Rasmussen poll, if available. Otherwise, the poll source is noted. Results shown compare the Republican who performs best against the Democrats, versus the Democrat who performs best against Republicans. This may bias selection towards well-established candidates, and is not meant to suggest that the selected candidate is more electable or the best candidate. The party indicated is the party of the current leader, who is listed first. Further analysis follows...

Chris Matthews better not forget that Barrack Obama is (half) black; after 2010, Obama might be just about the only minority to have won a statewide election as a Democrat. And the death blows of the most prominent ones may come at the hands of other Democrats. Governor Deval Patrick could well lose to a Democrat-turned-independent, Tim Cahill. Appointed Governor David Paterson is so unelectable, many presume that he will be defeated in a primary to Attorney General Andrew Cuomo. Senator Roland Burris will not be seeking election, due to strong discontent within his own party. The only "minorities" will...

Sarah endorses INCREASING immigration with Glenn Beck: PALIN: Let me address legal immigration and we need to continue to be so welcoming and inviting of those who are represented there by our Statue of Liberty. The immigrants, of course, built this country. And I think republicans, conservatives are at fault when we allow the other side to capture this immigration issue and try to turn this issue into something negative for republicans. I think we need to recognize that again, immigrants built this great country. There are rules to follow if you want to be a part of this great...

Washington was rather shocked by a Public Policy Polling (PPP) which showed Republican Scott Brown with a one point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley in the race for Ted Kennedy's former senate seat. If the poll is accurate, and a subsequent poll by the Boston Herald suggests it is, the internals of the polls ought to send every elected Democrat office holder screaming in terror. PPP shows Obama's approval rating in Massachusetts, one of the most Democrat-dominated states in the union at 44%. That would seem to suggest a 50-state sweep in 2012. But their home page is more in...

Purely on a red-state/blue-state basis, the Republicans should be expected to lose several seats, but instead should pick up several. They'll have a much easier go of it in subsequent elections, since 2006 and 2008 saw outrageous liberal victories in red states. Republicans currently have 5 of the 16 Senate seats which look to be competitive in 2010. They need all 16 to take over the Senate (or 15, if Sen. Joe Lierberman of Connecticut or any Democrat refuses to vote for the Democrat candidate for majority leader.) Polling data and predictions for each of these 16 seats are listed...

The likelihood of outrage seems inevitable this year in college football: The BCS controversy, which even President Obama has issued proclamations about, seems ready to explode, since six undefeated teams - two from minor conferences - survive with only three games left in the season. Two conferences, Mountain West and Western Athletic (WAC) are excluded from automatic participation in the BCS, and must compete for one of two wildcard teams, and both still have undefeated teams. But should a team which has gone undefeated and unchallenged take a slot from Alabama or Florida, which are likely to also go undefeated......

Obama now fully owns the economy. No matter how bad his economic policies hurt the U.S. economy in the Spring, it was very difficult to quantify how much of the recession was his fault, and how much could be blamed on the Bush-Kennedy-Pelosi administration; the faster the economy sank, the lower the bar would be for him to claim credit for its recovery. Now that the recession is "over," however, he must take full blame for another recession. The depression is not over, however. This Spring, I warned Freepers not to be fooled by a 3rd-quarter "recovery." The economy hasn't...