Posted on 05/28/2012 4:40:46 PM PDT by neverdem
Thanks for the ping!
Buerkle wasn’t helped but she was already in a rat leaning seat. It’s only about an iota more rat. The POTUS results seem to have changed by less than a % point.
That’s one big 1%, though. There’s a big difference between a 48% Bush 2004 CD and a 47% Bush 2004 CD.
I think that Maffei should be favored over Buerkle in the old NY-25 (I haven’t learned the new numbers yet). However, we’ll definitely pick up the old NY-26, we’ll probably pick up the old NY-23, we have a decent chance of beating Slaughter in the new Monroe Couny CD, and I think we’ll hold the other GOP-held Upstate CDs.
That spreadsheet has the new 2008 %s for every state but Kansas.
Slaughter’s seat is still more rat than Buerkle ‘s but we do have a strong candidate.
We do have a good candidate but, more importantly, Slaughter is an old fart who hasn’t run a competitive race in over a decade.
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