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Cruz leads in new Texas Senate poll (52-42)
The Politico ^ | July 30, 2012 | CHARLES MAHTESIAN

Posted on 07/30/2012 1:11:04 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

A Public Policy Polling poll released Sunday evening reports Ted Cruz has a 52 percent to 42 percent advantage over Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst on the eve of Tuesday’s Texas GOP Senate runoff.

From PPP’s analysis:

Cruz's victory is driven by 4 things: the Tea Party, the enthusiasm of his supporters, a generational divide within the Texas Republican ranks, and the lack of regard the party base currently holds for Rick Perry.

Cruz is ahead by a whooping 75-22 margin with Tea Party voters, more than making up for a 56-39 deficit to Dewhurst with voters who don't consider themselves members of that movement. There has been too much of a tendency to ascribe any Republican primary upset over the last few years to Tea Party voters, but this is one case where it's well justified.

Cruz has a 63-33 advantage with voters who describe themselves as 'very excited' about voting in Tuesday's runoff election. He also has a 49-45 advantage with those describing themselves as 'somewhat excited.' The only reason this race is even remotely competitive is Dewhurst's 59-31 lead with voter who say they're 'not that excited' about voting. It's an open question whether those folks will really show up and if they don't it's possible Cruz could end up winning by closer t0 20 points.

The greater excitement among Cruz voters can also be measured by their eagerness to get out and cast their ballots during the early voting period. Cruz leads 55-40 among those who say they've already voted, so Dewhurst will likely need a huge advantage among election day voters to overcome the deficit. But Cruz has a 49-44 lead with those who have yet to vote too.

POLITICO’s Dave Catanese, reporting from Texas, also notes.....

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatism; dewhurst; runoff; senatecontrol; teaparty; tedcruz; tx; tx2012; ussenate
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To: AuH2ORepublican
Who is Garrison?

Sorry, my brain broke traction there for a moment. My apologies to Garrison. Roger Williams is indeed Riddle's opponent, supported by the same crowd as Dewhurst. Garrison was one of the primary candidates who didn't make the cut but has endorsed Riddle in the runoff.

I've met Wes. He founded Central TX Tea Party. I don't read him as a hardline Paulista but the southern end of TX25 seems heavily Paul country so I don't think it hurts to have his endorsement.

41 posted on 07/30/2012 9:38:49 AM PDT by Paine in the Neck (Socialism consumes everything)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Go Ted Go!


42 posted on 07/30/2012 9:39:43 AM PDT by pogo101
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To: All

I guess the most addled-brained smear campaign in the history of Texas politics isn’t going to work out for Dewhurst ...did any of you Texans’ hear that Ted Cruz is a Lawyer? A TRIAL LAWYER?


43 posted on 07/30/2012 9:53:31 AM PDT by thestob (Vote or P. Diddy will kill you)
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To: coconut47
"...can anyone give me info on anyone else I should vote for tomorrow..."

Vote for Devine for Justice Supreme Court, Place 4. Devine is a strict constitutional constructionist who received national acclaim by refusing to remove a painting of the 10 Commandments from his courtroom and defeated a related lawsuit by liberal activists. Vote for Craddick over Chisum for Railroad Commissioner. When Chisum was asked about the wasteful $2.4 billion demonstration project in Ector County to sequester CO2 to help "global warming", instead of condemning the boondoggle, he replied that “we might as well get the project otherwise it would go to someone else.” Parker is preferred for Railroad Commissioner, unexpired term.

44 posted on 07/30/2012 10:07:05 AM PDT by JeepersFreepers (The heart of the wise inclines to the right but the heart of the fool to the left. (Eccl 10:2 NIV))
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To: thestob
I guess the most addled-brained smear campaign in the history of Texas politics isn’t going to work out for Dewhurst ...did any of you Texans’ hear that Ted Cruz is a Lawyer? A TRIAL LAWYER?

LOL, there was someone on here yesterday that posted a thread supporting Dewhurst, and that is the only thing he had to defend his support. His post started out like a radio seminar caller, and I am not quoting directly, just paraphrasing ... "At first I was going to vote for Cruz .... but OMG, I found out he was a trial lawyer!!!!" It was a pathetic attempt, and nobody bought it.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2912068/posts

45 posted on 07/30/2012 10:08:45 AM PDT by RedWhiteBlue (Mama tried)
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To: Socon-Econ

In Texas, anyone can vote in either primary. However, when you vote in a primary, they stamp your voter registration card with either Republican or Democrat. In run-offs, you have to vote in the same one you voted the first time. You get a new card every year, so you can change in the new year, but once you are stamped, that’s it for the year. I used to vote in the Dem primary because whoever won that was elected in the fall. Thank goodness that no longer applies.


46 posted on 07/30/2012 11:08:30 AM PDT by texasbear
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To: Happy Rain

You are very right. I just about screamed at the TV set when I heard Cheney say rotten things about Sarah Palin this weekend on FOX. I don’t know why these old “has beens” have to shoot off their nasty mouths when no one wants to hear from them.They had their time now it’s time for someone else.


47 posted on 07/30/2012 12:07:13 PM PDT by Maryhere ("HE comes to rule the earth")
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To: Maryhere

Maybe he consulted Mary Cheney’s “wife” before he ripped Sarah. Overall, he was a good VP, but like Bush, he never defended America against the assaults of the left. Sarah always does, to her great credit. Bob


48 posted on 07/30/2012 1:03:34 PM PDT by alstewartfan ("Bedroom eyes and boardroom faces, Oh where will it lead?" from "Red Toupee by Al Stewart)
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To: texasbear

The voter reg. card is for two years, but there is usually no election in the odd year except for constitutional amendments or maybe city elections in some localities.


49 posted on 07/30/2012 1:10:09 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: JeepersFreepers

I voted for Chisum and Smitherman in the primary? Why should I switch? I think Craddick and Smitherman will win the nominations.


50 posted on 07/30/2012 1:12:33 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: Reddon

Also, I can’t follow what this pitiful ad is actually claiming.


51 posted on 07/30/2012 1:14:52 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: deport

Luckily we both got the GOP mark on our cards @ the Primary. Voted Cruz then and will do the same Tuesday.

The original question related to the scummy TexDem liberals wanting to vote in GOP runoff and voting for DewHurts. Unless they had ESP and if they voted in DEM Primary we don’t have to worry bout em. Sorry DewHurts, desparate again..... what a downer.


52 posted on 07/30/2012 2:30:21 PM PDT by X-spurt (It is truly time for ON YOUR FEET or on your knees)
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To: texasbear

You are correct. I early-voted for Ted Cruz in the primary and when I returned last Thursday to again vote for him, I was told I was limited to voting in the Republican Primary, which was fine by me!!


53 posted on 07/30/2012 3:36:20 PM PDT by beccisue (This is the day that the Lord has made.)
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To: Paine in the Neck

I hope Riddle wins today!!!


54 posted on 07/31/2012 6:34:37 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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