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Vanity: Early voting statistics (abbreviated tonite - OH, NV, IA); My crack analysis
elections gmu/spreadsheet ^ | 10/24/12 | me

Posted on 10/24/2012 9:57:16 PM PDT by Ravi

above

(Excerpt) Read more at docs.google.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: Nevada; US: Ohio; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2012; obama; romney; ryan; vanity
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To: Ravi

Why the heck are your posting this! Just kidding. Why would anyone have an objection. I find it facinating reading. I must have missed the first act.


21 posted on 10/24/2012 11:02:55 PM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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To: Ravi

bump for later


22 posted on 10/24/2012 11:27:52 PM PDT by Inyokern
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To: Jet Jaguar
Thanks for the ping. Here's a little tidbit...Obama just started a new round of ads in California.
23 posted on 10/24/2012 11:34:16 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: 1035rep; Jet Jaguar

California is in play.


24 posted on 10/24/2012 11:36:46 PM PDT by thecodont
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To: thecodont

It would be sweet to see the Kenyan lose CA.


25 posted on 10/24/2012 11:48:14 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: thecodont

It would be sweet to see the Kenyan lose CA. Either way, I’m glad he has to spend money here.


26 posted on 10/24/2012 11:49:02 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Ravi
Currently as of tonite, dems have been 44% of the early voters and reps 40%. This has closed gradually the past two days and this trend is extremely favorable. Still somewhat early though. We are at 16% of 2008 turnout thus far. Watch this track.

Has there been any discussion of Dem crossover voting to Romney?
27 posted on 10/25/2012 12:19:18 AM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media.)
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To: MamaDearest
wife is supposedly a strong Christian."""".....

Strong Christian!!! Democrat and Christian just don't make sense. Very different platforms that are not compatible.

28 posted on 10/25/2012 12:30:28 AM PDT by annieokie (O)
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To: Ravi

This is cool. I’m pleased there are folks like you who are “all ate up with” the analysis so you can educate those of us who don’t have time or skills to do so.

Electorally speaking the Tick household is split this year: Mrs. Tick voted early for RR, and I’m voting for RR on election day.

Mrs. Tick chose to vote early because she wanted to make sure her vote is counted, in case she gets hit by a bus before 11/6. My competing strategy is to stay out from in front of buses until after Nov. 6. :-)

INTERESTING OBSERVATION: “Cuyahoga has come through for them (high AA population) but Franklin has not (college population).” If ANY SIGNIFICANT PART of Obama’s shaky coalition (Minorities, Jews, silly yutes, gays, public sector unions, trial lawyers, etc) gets lazy on Election Day he won’t make his numbers... maybe the kids’ll come through for us and stay home!


29 posted on 10/25/2012 12:35:32 AM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: thecodont

>> California is in play.

TMI. What goes on in y’alls hot tubs should STAY in y’alls hot tubs. :-)


30 posted on 10/25/2012 12:39:11 AM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: Nervous Tick

So what’s the weather report for Election Day? Only the most motivated people will get out and vote.


31 posted on 10/25/2012 12:42:16 AM PDT by thecodont
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To: PA Engineer

My WAG is 13-15%.


32 posted on 10/25/2012 1:36:21 AM PDT by UltraV (I use the term Leftist not liberal, because a true liberal would not support government censorship.)
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To: Ravi

Let me see if I understand this.

Your spreadsheet shows that even though their total requests are down, they still lead (more Dems than GOP).

From what I understand, Ohio is about 2/5 each of Dem vs. GOP (the rest Independent?).

So if the “enthusiasm gap” is the same at the ballot box as it is at the mailbox, Romney has a good shot at winning there.

That is, ignoring the fraud factor (which could be huge given all the Obama slush money out there).


33 posted on 10/25/2012 1:46:45 AM PDT by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: Ravi

I know this takes plenty of time. It is much appreciated.


34 posted on 10/25/2012 3:21:24 AM PDT by CTGOPPER (Conservative in Connecticut. Really.)
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To: goldstategop

“And the much touted October Surprise is a dud.”

I expect something dirtier than that, like some skank saying the day before the election that Romney fathered a child with her and then retracting it the day after the election.


35 posted on 10/25/2012 3:38:40 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Ravi

Thanks for the updates. I’m particularly interested in Ohio as it is my former home state (in liberal Cuyahoga County, no less). C’mon, Buckeye State, don’t fail us now!

For the record, I voted early yesterday here in TN, across the board R with the exception of the 3 city commissioners which had no party affiliation listed. I just picked the 3 that didn’t want to raise taxes, and didn’t want to build a library. I don’t need a library, dang it!


36 posted on 10/25/2012 4:06:56 AM PDT by meyer (It's 1860 all over again - the taxpayer is the new "N" word)
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To: Ravi

Question on voter ID in Ohio - is it required to show a government-issued photo ID upon voting? I recall the last election when the lib SOS apparently lifted a lot of the rules and there were reportedly busloads of voters voting in Ohio that didn’t necessarily live in the state. As I was transitioning from Ohio to Tennessee at the time, I could technically (but not legally) have voted twice in Ohio as well as here in TN because I had legit utility bills from two addresses from within the prior year and a half.

I still think that massive fraud put Obambi over the top in Ohio in 2008. There just can’t be that many stupid people in the buckeye state.


37 posted on 10/25/2012 4:14:21 AM PDT by meyer (It's 1860 all over again - the taxpayer is the new "N" word)
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To: Ravi
Thanks for the thread.

People are complaining? We are starved for this stuff. Some folks obviously don't get what FR is about.

Cheers and thanks!

38 posted on 10/25/2012 4:59:24 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Ravi

Indeed. 60-30 silly. Good analysis. Adrian. Gray said he’s “bearish” on NV and thinks gap widening. I can’t tell cause Washoe looks so good.


39 posted on 10/25/2012 5:43:02 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Ravi

I am a chaos voter in Ohio but that comes with much harassment I told the person who called I was voting for Obama but voted a Straight Republican ticket so maybe their internals reflect many “democrats” like me boy are they in for an ugly surprise November 6 Romney/Ryan


40 posted on 10/25/2012 6:19:33 AM PDT by Cosevative2theCore
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