Skip to comments.Scott Brown looking strong in initial special-election polling (For John Kerry's seat)
Posted on 12/20/2012 9:46:29 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Maybe Scott Brown will become the Manny Mota of politics — the guy who excels at pinch-hitting. After having just lost a statewide election to hold onto the seat he won in a January 2010 special election, Republicans want him back as their nominee if John Kerry gets his expected Secretary of State appointment. And according to a new poll from Boston’s NPR affiliate WBUR, Brown leads all of the expected Democratic candidates, too (via Sarah Rumpf):
WBUR poll of 500 registered voters finds U.S. Sen. Scott Brown is in a strong position should there be a special election to fill U.S. Sen. John Kerrys seat.
Kerry is believed to be President Obamas choice to replace Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
The poll, conducted by the MassINC Polling Group on Monday and Tuesday, finds voters view Brown favorably, despite the fact that in November they chose to elect Harvard law professor Elizabeth Warren in his stead. Fifty-eight percent of those polled say they have a favorable view of Brown, compared with 28 percent who view him unfavorably. Rounded off, 12 percent say they are undecided, and 1 percent say they have never heard of him. …
We matched him up theoretically against (U.S. Reps.) Ed Markey, Mike Capuano, Steve Lynch and (former U.S. Rep.) Marty Meehan, and in each one of those cases, he led by between 17 and 19 points, Koczela said.
Meehan, now the president of the University of Massachusetts Lowell, has already said hes not interested in running.
The poll also pits him against his 2010 opponent, Martha Coakley, who doesn’t fare any better in a rematch. Brown actually pulls a majority in a head-to-head against Coakley, winning 51/36. The only other majority he gets comes against Steve Lynch, beating him by more than 2:1 at 51/24.
What about Deval Patrick? I doubt that Patrick wants to trade the governorship for a seat in the US Senate midway through his second term, but even if he did, he might not get it. Brown edges Patrick in this poll by seven points, 47/40, the closest any Democrat gets to Brown in this survey. Patrick is the only Democrat to get to the 40% level. Coakley actually does better than anyone but Patrick.
Clearly, Brown remains popular in Massachusetts, and without Barack Obama on the ticket and in a special election, he has a good chance to make a triumphant return to the US Senate in mid-spring. That may have Massachusetts Democrats dialing the 213 area code to look for a candidate.
— Philip Klein (@philipaklein) December 20, 2012
He won’t be getting any money from me this time.
As we say in Texas “Better than a sharp stick in the eye”...
He’s toast after his support of gun control.
Look for the democrats in the state house to change the rules so that the appointed senator stays until the next regular election.
It seems every time there is a vacancy, they change the rules to help the democrats. And the state voters are OK with that.
So, that explains why he just came out in favor of gun control. It didn’t seem to make much sense if he was dropping out of politics. Doesn’t make much sense, anyway, but that’s Taxachussets for you.
He’ll be our new Olympia Snowe.
About the best you can possibly expect from mASSachussetts.
Need to take into account turnout.
Brown can win a special election with low turnout; he obviously cannot win a presidential with the higher turnout.
He is more a politician and no conservative, but any seat from MA needs to be strategic - keep Reed (sicK!) from a filibuster-proof senate (presuming that matters).
So, why didn’t he win the election for the seat in 2012? Is it possible that election fraud contributed to Warren’s election, or are the people in MA really that stupid? No, he isn’t a conservative, but like you said - he’s probably the best one can expect from that state.
I really don’t understand why Brown just doesn’t run as a democrat.
As many times as the mASSholes have changed their rules pertaining to replacing departing Senators, I’m surprised they haven’t simply enacted a rule that only a Kennedy can fill it.
I wonder if Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-Hell) has phoned in his endorsement yet...
Scott brown comes out in support of gay marriage and Freepers say he’s just saying that to get elected.
Scott Brown comes out in support of abortion and Freepers say he’s just saying it to get elected.
Scott Brown comes out in favor of gun control and the same FReepers say he’s just saying that to get elected.
Its no wonder the GOP is dying.
Good news! There is an alternative.
Ted Kennedy Jr is being “urged” to run.
Ah, yes... birthright.
“Brown can win a special election with low turnout; he obviously cannot win a presidential with the higher turnout.”
How do you conduct a serious poll without including Vicki Kennedy and Ted Kennedy Jr.??? -tom
Now that he’s outed himself as a bonafide gun grabber, I hope he loses. We have no use for an anti 2nd amendment republican. They just let the enemy of the constitution claim bipartisanship for their diabolical agenda. Might as well just give dark blue states to the Dims rather then have these Linguine spine RINO’s gumming up the works.
If you are going to vote for a dimocrat... vote for a DEMOCRAT! Screw brown.
Because only an outright Communist can win a MA Democrat party primary. Same goes for why the Maine twins. Socialists are too right-wing for New England Democrats.
That is exciting news for those who miss Arlen Specter!!!!
They’re that stupid!!!
That won’t happen according to just about every hack watcher in the state.
The RINO gets blown out by the Kennedy twerp!!
The RINO gets blown out by the Kennedy twerp!!
Lower amount of voter fraud should help
Let the democrats elect him...
I see people here who don't like the politics of MA no matter what's at stake or who the candidate. They're refusing to help ensure a senate seat returns to the GOP "this time" as if they lifted a finger last time. It's sure and certain path way to permanent minority status, self-marginalization and sure irrelevance.
Yes. Plus presidential elections have the habit of turning out the stupidest of the stupid. Especially when their Santa Claus boy king is on the ticket.
Why should I care if a progressive puts an R or a D after her name? Probably better if the progressive calls himself a democrat. Progressive Republicans just stink up the brand.
The GOP establishment loves a good loser though
Scott Brown embarrassed himself in the last election with advertising that stressed he was an independent who could work both sides of the street. When he first ran I worked for him along with thousands of other disaffected conservatives. As a Senator he almost immediately sided with the Dem side of the street. Good luck Scott, I’m done with you. In the next election cycle I’m voting with my feet, Arizona here I come.
Still trust polls, now, do ya? BTW, Ted Kennedy Jr. is interested in running for this seat, too, and, if Ted Kennedy Jr., officially, gets into this race, then he will win it by a lot! The majority of Massachusetts voters are scary and strange, whenever it comes to voting for anybody from the Kennedy family running for any political office in Massachusetts.
Well many people on this thread are less than enthusiastic. Hey we need 6 to dethrone Reid, add Brown to Rounds and hopefully Capito and we are halfway there. Capito does not enthuse me and Brown even less so but they are the best options in their respective states at this time.
If anyone would really rather have a Kennedy in there, whatever I won’t argue, I can’t say that Brown is a conservative.
The turnout is key, POTUS turnout, forget it I guess. He won in low special election turnout.
I believe he can win again and win a full term in the 2014 midterm election. Several Senators have served and then lost and came back and lost again. Chapman Revercomb of WV comes to mind.
They may try to change the law so an appointed Senator can serve till the 2014 election.
Either way it is likely Deval will not appoint another placeholder and Brown would be facing an incumbent appointed Senator, possibly Deval himself.
“If anyone would really rather have a Kennedy in there, whatever I wont argue, I cant say that Brown is a conservative.”
He’s not. I suspect if he runs for anything again, he’ll run as an IND. I’ve said that before.
The thing is, just when you forget the clustrf*cks he’s voted for in the past, he lobs a new one out there with this assault weapons ban garbage. It’s REALLY hard to support a “Republican” when they mimic RAT talking points. Case in point on a personal level: In 2010 I donated time and money to his campaign. Last month, I voted; no extra efforts given. He really has supported some truly asshat legislation.
“The turnout is key, POTUS turnout, forget it I guess. He won in low special election turnout.”
Yes, the 2010 special election had ~600,000 less voters than last months POTUS election, IIRC.
The RATS have not lost a statewide race in MA since Brown’s win in 2010.
ok, count me in for scottie. Got people to visit in the town of Harvard, MA. But i will jus be visitin’ the Scott campaign. No heavy lifting.
meant to ping junkey for above, guess there are 2 of ya.
Harvard, MA has an AWESOME sportsmen’s/gun club. My friend joined ~1 year ago.
should I visit the gun club wearing my Scott Brown T-shirt?
Sure, you’ll be welcomed.