Skip to comments.Scott Brown looking strong in initial special-election polling (For John Kerry's seat)
Posted on 12/20/2012 9:46:29 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Maybe Scott Brown will become the Manny Mota of politics — the guy who excels at pinch-hitting. After having just lost a statewide election to hold onto the seat he won in a January 2010 special election, Republicans want him back as their nominee if John Kerry gets his expected Secretary of State appointment. And according to a new poll from Boston’s NPR affiliate WBUR, Brown leads all of the expected Democratic candidates, too (via Sarah Rumpf):
WBUR poll of 500 registered voters finds U.S. Sen. Scott Brown is in a strong position should there be a special election to fill U.S. Sen. John Kerrys seat.
Kerry is believed to be President Obamas choice to replace Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
The poll, conducted by the MassINC Polling Group on Monday and Tuesday, finds voters view Brown favorably, despite the fact that in November they chose to elect Harvard law professor Elizabeth Warren in his stead. Fifty-eight percent of those polled say they have a favorable view of Brown, compared with 28 percent who view him unfavorably. Rounded off, 12 percent say they are undecided, and 1 percent say they have never heard of him. …
We matched him up theoretically against (U.S. Reps.) Ed Markey, Mike Capuano, Steve Lynch and (former U.S. Rep.) Marty Meehan, and in each one of those cases, he led by between 17 and 19 points, Koczela said.
Meehan, now the president of the University of Massachusetts Lowell, has already said hes not interested in running.
The poll also pits him against his 2010 opponent, Martha Coakley, who doesn’t fare any better in a rematch. Brown actually pulls a majority in a head-to-head against Coakley, winning 51/36. The only other majority he gets comes against Steve Lynch, beating him by more than 2:1 at 51/24.
What about Deval Patrick? I doubt that Patrick wants to trade the governorship for a seat in the US Senate midway through his second term, but even if he did, he might not get it. Brown edges Patrick in this poll by seven points, 47/40, the closest any Democrat gets to Brown in this survey. Patrick is the only Democrat to get to the 40% level. Coakley actually does better than anyone but Patrick.
Clearly, Brown remains popular in Massachusetts, and without Barack Obama on the ticket and in a special election, he has a good chance to make a triumphant return to the US Senate in mid-spring. That may have Massachusetts Democrats dialing the 213 area code to look for a candidate.
— Philip Klein (@philipaklein) December 20, 2012
He won’t be getting any money from me this time.
As we say in Texas “Better than a sharp stick in the eye”...
He’s toast after his support of gun control.
Look for the democrats in the state house to change the rules so that the appointed senator stays until the next regular election.
It seems every time there is a vacancy, they change the rules to help the democrats. And the state voters are OK with that.
So, that explains why he just came out in favor of gun control. It didn’t seem to make much sense if he was dropping out of politics. Doesn’t make much sense, anyway, but that’s Taxachussets for you.
He’ll be our new Olympia Snowe.
About the best you can possibly expect from mASSachussetts.
Need to take into account turnout.
Brown can win a special election with low turnout; he obviously cannot win a presidential with the higher turnout.
He is more a politician and no conservative, but any seat from MA needs to be strategic - keep Reed (sicK!) from a filibuster-proof senate (presuming that matters).
So, why didn’t he win the election for the seat in 2012? Is it possible that election fraud contributed to Warren’s election, or are the people in MA really that stupid? No, he isn’t a conservative, but like you said - he’s probably the best one can expect from that state.
I really don’t understand why Brown just doesn’t run as a democrat.
As many times as the mASSholes have changed their rules pertaining to replacing departing Senators, I’m surprised they haven’t simply enacted a rule that only a Kennedy can fill it.
I wonder if Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-Hell) has phoned in his endorsement yet...
Scott brown comes out in support of gay marriage and Freepers say he’s just saying that to get elected.
Scott Brown comes out in support of abortion and Freepers say he’s just saying it to get elected.
Scott Brown comes out in favor of gun control and the same FReepers say he’s just saying that to get elected.
Its no wonder the GOP is dying.
Good news! There is an alternative.
Ted Kennedy Jr is being “urged” to run.
Ah, yes... birthright.
“Brown can win a special election with low turnout; he obviously cannot win a presidential with the higher turnout.”
How do you conduct a serious poll without including Vicki Kennedy and Ted Kennedy Jr.??? -tom
Now that he’s outed himself as a bonafide gun grabber, I hope he loses. We have no use for an anti 2nd amendment republican. They just let the enemy of the constitution claim bipartisanship for their diabolical agenda. Might as well just give dark blue states to the Dims rather then have these Linguine spine RINO’s gumming up the works.
If you are going to vote for a dimocrat... vote for a DEMOCRAT! Screw brown.
Because only an outright Communist can win a MA Democrat party primary. Same goes for why the Maine twins. Socialists are too right-wing for New England Democrats.