Posted on 10/19/2013 12:26:14 PM PDT by nickcarraway
Voters in the Bluegrass State aren't pleased with the state of affairs in Washington, and they appear to be taking it out on Mitch McConnell.
The Senate minority leader narrowly trails Kentucky's Democratic secretary of state, Alison Lundergan Grimes, in his 2014 re-election bid, according to a new survey conducted by the Democratically affiliated Public Policy Polling for progressive group Americans United for Change.
Lundergan Grimes leads McConnell by a two-point margin (45 percent to 43 percent), which is within the poll’s margin of error (plus or minus 2.8 percent). Twelve percent of respondents remained undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
It seems to me discussion at this point in the game confuses the process a bit. Discussing the Dem challenger as likely or automatically being a win is rather presumptuous at this point.
McConnell has had years of support from Kentucky and it came under the Republican Brand. Because McConnell is a lilly livered power hungry appeasing simp with gravitas and second-banana status points to the obvious to me - that state would not elect a Democrat Senator. I am probably wrong but the history here doesn’t show it.
Now, bring in McConnell’s primary challenger and see what happens. He loses and the challenger rises; it doesn’t automatically follow that Dem candidate wins. Not by a long shot, especially since that 2 or 3 billion in pork is already there and irrevocable in my mind.
No. Leadership seniority is as follows.
Mitch McConnell(KY)
John Cornyn (TX)
John Thune (SD)
John Barrasso (WY)
Roy Blunt (MO)
None of them should be the senate Republican leader.
We can call it the Luger syndrome. Me-before-party. I lose, I will punish the party I represent.
Switch McConnell may have to run as a DemocRAT.
That used to be the case, but we saw Harry Reid victorious despite a horrible rating at home. We saw Bill Nelson here in Florida rocket up from 39% in June 2012 to winning handily in November. We also saw Obama floating in the low-mid 40s a year or so out and cruise to reelection. Enough voters seem to be able to be tricked in the six months before election to forget they are PO’d at their elected official and end up casting another vote for them.
I see it a little different.
While I agree this polling should be taken with a grain of salt, especially with how early it is and how much McConnell is likely to outspend Grimey in the end, he is a serious liability for the same reason Romney was.
The base won’t turn out for Mitch. Kentucky is a red state on the senatorial level. Rand Paul would have no trouble with his reelection. But Mitch is corrupt, and is disliked across all party affiliations.
There isn’t much doubt in my mind at all that if Matt Bevin won the primary, he’d cruise to a 5-6 point victory of the Democrats, and probably a larger margin upon reelection, because Grimes has high name ID, and I think the rats would lack such a challenger next time.
And just to emphasize, Matt Bevin is endorsed by the SCF. He’s a conservative, and an outsider with a lot of spirit. My senses tell me he’d be what Ron Johnson should have been.
“Senator Paul’s win over McConnell’s chosen candidate”
Hold up. You mean incumbent Jim Bunning? The reason Bunning retired was because of McConnell. From what I can tell, Bunning was unpopular in the state (albeit not as unpopular as Mitch right now), and McConnell personally disliked him. He dried up the Kentucky apparatus funds for Bunning and forced him out.
In a weird way, you can thank Mitch that we have Rand Paul.
All I want is that anyone that has the luck, determination - whatever to beat out one of these damned traitorous RINOs goes to Washington DC with a torch to burn down that mess of Country Club Powerati traditions and starts thinking about us out here in the land that Obama and his ilk know nothing about.
Yes, the Reid issue occurred to me as well.
The precedent for party leaders being ousted by losing general elections and not retiring, is not much to look at. They’re just extremely hard to beat, no matter how low they poll. That being said, I do think Grimey could be a spoiler, which is why I back Matt Bevin. He’d win the seat hands down.
They may be the worst politically but PPP finished first out of 28 national polls in predicting the 2012 election result.
That’s what happens, Mitch.
All broke up about this.
Why, this calls for broken glass Republicans to walk the precincts to Save Our Guy.
Oh wait....he doesn’t really like us.
Never mind.
This is one poll i wouldnt worry about
More rationale to ditch the 17th amendment. With a Conservative legislature, mcabominable would be gone.
Yeah, me either.
I guess I don’t understand what the definition of “seniority” is, since McCain has been a senator since 1987 and Cornyn since 2002.
Basically, having a Dim in this spot ain’t much worse than having this slime bag in office. One and the same.
Yeah, I’m not talking about age seniority (otherwise Thad Cochran would be some kind of king), but leadership seniority or rank. McLame for reasons unbeknownst to me has never been part of the leadership to my knowledge, though someone with more knowledge might correct me.
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