Posted on 02/04/2014 1:12:53 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
PPP's newest Alaska poll finds that Mark Begich continues to lead his potential Republican opponents for reelection by small margins, and that third party candidates could play a spoiler role in helping him win this fall.
Voters are closely divided in their feelings about Begich with 43% approving of the job he's doing to 44% who disapprove. None of his potential Republican opponents have great numbers either though. Mead Treadwell has a 33/31 favorability rating, Dan Sullivan's is 31/35, and Joe Miller is incredibly unpopular with a 16/62 spread.
Begich leads Sullivan 41/37, Treadwell 43/37, and Miller 45/25 in prospective match ups. Third party candidates get anywhere from 7-9% in those match ups, with the Alaskan Independence Party candidate in particular getting a decent amount of support at anywhere from 5-6%. That's splitting the anti-Begich vote and helping him to lead overall, a similar dynamic to what we saw in the Montana Senate race in 2012 when Jon Tester won with less than 50% because the Libertarian candidate pulled so much support.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
This looks promising. Barack Obama’s negative rating in Alaska is 58%. How many of those voters will support a candidate who voted for Obamacare?
Begich is only at 41%....bad news for an incumbant with name recognition.
There are few states more susceptible to being “tricked” by a “third party” than AK.
People in AK look at the personality of the candidate, not so much anything else. Most are really uninformed too, just like their compatriots south of Parallel 49.
If they would re-elect Murkowski on a write-in, I wouldn’t put anything past them.
Todd: call your wife.
Bristol: call your mom.
They’re trying the same thing is South Dakota.
Deceptive poll. I also didn’t see whether or not it was registered voters or likely. I will be very shocked if Begich wins again.
You think anyone will vote for that D-bag Pressler in SD?
I don’t think the democrats are behind the Alaska Independence party. They are just true believer idiots who don’t care if they allow a democrat to win.
Sullivan is polling the best, as we all thought. Miller should drop out.
Looks like Sullivan survived that rape case scandal they tried to spring on him. I favored him from the start. Miller should drop out at this point.
The issue I have in SD is that Rounds is only 7 points ahead because the libertarian pulls in 10%. Obviously 7 points is big, but Rounds should be polling better against a frankly crappy Dem.
The liartarian, not Pressler?
10% is a lot. This liartarian seems like a nobody. Might be a hinky poll.
Kurt Evans. He ran for the Senate in 2002 and took votes from Thune. He dropped out and endorsed Thune but his name stayed on the ballot and he got 3000 votes while Johnson “won” by less than 1000.
Googling him, he entered the race in Sept. There are reports dated December that have him changing his mind and not running.
http://sodakliberty.com/2013/12/23/kurt-evans-decides-not-to-enter-us-senate-race-in-south-dakota/
He’s still listed on poltics1 but has no website.
I’m looking at this PPP poll
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/10/sd-senate-race-tightens.html
A Democrat poll from October commissioned by Weiland’s campaign where they polled “voters.”
Yeah, I don’t put too much stock in it, but I remember being blown away by Rick Berg’s loss in ND last time.
Well if he did indeed quit in December (and it looks like he did), it’s a good thing he did.
He will get two no votes from this very local poll.
However, there were warning bells getting sounded about both him and Rehberg in MT. My sole beef with Rounds is that he should’ve run in 2008.
Yeah, and Weiland is no Heitkamp.
SD doesn’t have much of a farm team for Dems. Weiland is a second tier retread loser. If there is any concern, it’s for how much of a bite the flaky liberal RINO “Independent” Pressler takes (if he sticks around to the general). Might turn out he takes more votes from Weiland than Rounds.
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