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Democrats hold 7 point advantage ahead of midterms as Trump's base comes back home: NBC-WSJ poll
CNBC ^ | 11/03/2018 | John Harwood

Posted on 11/04/2018 10:58:21 AM PST by SeekAndFind

President Donald Trump's late campaign blitz targeting immigrants has rallied the Republican base of white working-class voters, helping to curb the Democratic advantage heading into Tuesday's midterm elections for Congress.

The election-eve NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading by seven percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters. That's down from a nine-percentage point lead last month.

That slightly narrowing reflects rising interest in the election from the foundation of Trump's support: White men, especially older, less educated, less affluent ones in small towns and rural areas. Most noteworthy for a mid-term election, the 2018 campaign has seized the attention of voters at presidential-campaign levels — and Trump has helped Republicans wipe out the advantage Democrats held earlier in the campaign.

"There has been some method to his madness," said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducts the NBC/WSJ survey with his Democratic counterpart Peter Hart. "The base is coming home."

The results presage the possibility of a split verdict on Tuesday. With many battleground House races taking place in more affluent suburbs, the unusual Trump-era advantage Democrats continue to maintain among college-educated whites — especially women — represent a strong sign for their prospects of gaining or exceeding the 23-seat gain they need to recapture the majority.

But in the less-populated, more conservative states that will decide control of the Senate, the late campaign trend brightens Republican prospects. Needing a two-seat gain to recapture a majority, Democrats must defend incumbents in states such as Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota where the Trump base looms larger.

"Republicans have clearly made progress," McInturff said. One key indicator: the Democratic edge among independent voters has dipped to nine percentage points from 14 percent last month, reflecting fresh uncertainty among less-affluent white men.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2020election; anotherpoll; cnbc; cookedthebooks; democrats; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2018; election2020; fakenews; fakepolls; incometaxes; johnharwood; mediawingofthednc; midterms; nbcwsj; partisanmediashills; poll; presstitutes; romneyrinos; smearmachine; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; zogbyism
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To: KitJ

“white,old,poor,uneducated bumpkin....”


“I resemble that remark”—The Three Stooges in film Idle Roomers.

God must have loved us ‘cause He made so many of us. And all voting for the GOP to help Trump Tuesday.
MAGA


81 posted on 11/04/2018 12:18:01 PM PST by frank ballenger ("End vote fraud,noncitizens & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
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To: goldstategop

Does that include Don Lemonade’s boyfriend?


82 posted on 11/04/2018 12:19:06 PM PST by Fresh Wind (Trump: "In the meantime, I'm president and you're not!")
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To: goldstategop
A national lead is meaningless.

The Liberal Media, the pollsters, and the Democrats should have learned this lesson in 2016. Just ask President Hillary Clinton.

83 posted on 11/04/2018 12:19:28 PM PST by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: Junk Silver

If those expert pollsters weren’t good then Hillary wouldn’t be President today.

Uh, wait, let me recheck the World Almanac about that result.


84 posted on 11/04/2018 12:20:51 PM PST by frank ballenger ("End vote fraud,noncitizens & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
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To: golux

While I’m old and live in a metropolitan area, I have 4 college degrees, 9 children, own a couple million in real estate and have two homes; I’m just a country bumpkin. Yep, I’m definitely one of those Trump voters clinging to my guns and scriptures.


85 posted on 11/04/2018 12:25:15 PM PST by JAKraig (my religion is at least as good as yours)
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To: Fresh Wind

Don Lemonade said they are terrorists....


I guess that makes it a fact. Especially if fact checked first to be allowed on CNN, a trusted source.

Unless, of course, Don is an empty headed incompetent fool who should never have been hired and promoted due to affirmative action over someone with a mind. Then it’s BS.


86 posted on 11/04/2018 12:26:14 PM PST by frank ballenger ("End vote fraud,noncitizens & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Can’t wait for John Harwoods tears Tuesday night. To the extent republicans consent to be polled, many lie, specifically to inflate democrat confidence. It keeps them from manufacturing votes and “finding” uncounted ballots in car trunks. Plus, it makes democrat despair even sweeter.


87 posted on 11/04/2018 12:30:04 PM PST by Sgt_Schultze (When your business model depends on slave labor, you're always going to need more slaves.)
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To: Regulator

seeya on Tuesday, Commies


Great line.
As Bill Cunningham says “That really puts the cheese on the cracker.”


88 posted on 11/04/2018 12:33:51 PM PST by frank ballenger ("End vote fraud,noncitizens & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
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To: goldstategop

Maybe we bumpkins for Trump should accidentally forget to pay any taxes or do any farm work, drive semis or show up for full time jobs.

How long would the metrosexuals and sophisticated mama’s boys playing video games in the bedroom in mom’s basement last?

48 hours later:”Mom, I said what’s for dinner? Didn’t you hear me? I’m hungry.”


89 posted on 11/04/2018 12:41:54 PM PST by frank ballenger ("End vote fraud,noncitizens & illegals voting & leftist media news censorship or we're finished.)
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“White men, especially older, less educated, less affluent ones...”

uhh huh...keep telling yourself that...

besides we may have the “uneducated vote” (meaning highly skilled tradesman, that didn’t get a useless fluff degree), but that is infinitely better than having the illiterate vote which the dhimmicrats have a 99.9% lock on.


90 posted on 11/04/2018 12:53:25 PM PST by dsrtsage (For Leftists, World History starts every day at breakfast)
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To: KitJ

Yeah they are trying to paint Trump supporters as old uneducated white racists. Well I may be old and white, but I have a lot more education than these snowflake reporters and poll takers. And I got my education when they actually taught students to think.


91 posted on 11/04/2018 12:59:52 PM PST by P-Marlowe (Freep mail me if you want to be on my Fingerstyle Acoustic Guitar Ping List)
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To: SeekAndFind

Propaganda is neither good nor bad just effective or ineffective. People should be able to see the propaganda in the headline. The headline leaves the impression that Trumps base is abandoning him, returning home to the democratic party, resulting in a 7 point lead for the democrats. Their propaganda is ineffective; the author of this tripe should give up propaganda and start writing fantasy fiction.


92 posted on 11/04/2018 1:07:24 PM PST by radmanptn
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To: dp0622

Well, the “Trump tax cuts” haven’t helped us at all, frankly.


93 posted on 11/04/2018 1:12:53 PM PST by golux
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To: Morpheus2009

WTF is a generic ballot???? the media is talking about a fart in the wind


94 posted on 11/04/2018 1:13:33 PM PST by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yeah, and all of the fake news and fake polls in 2016 ensured that the Hildebeest won. Right?

I’ve had a lot of polling calls this time around. I usually try to cut to the chase when they go down the list of candidates by telling the caller that there is no democrat living or dead for whom I would ever vote.

Keep the MAGA train moving. Vote red all the way down the ballot on Tuesday.


95 posted on 11/04/2018 1:24:26 PM PST by RJS1950 (The democrats are the "enemies foreign and domestic" cited in the federal oath)
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To: SeekAndFind; All
"Democrats hold 7 point advantage
ahead of midterms....:
NBC-WSJ poll....


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96 posted on 11/04/2018 1:32:01 PM PST by musicman (The future is just a collection of successive nows.)
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To: Fresh Wind
The New York Times, to their credit, will tell you how many calls were made to get a certain number of responses.
They seem to want about 500 responses, and to get that they have to make anywhere from 10,000 to 50,000 calls.


In their poll of the Texas Senate race, N.Y.T./Siena called 51,983 people around the state, and just 800 people responded. Among 18-29 year olds, they contacted 7,219 voters, and just 66 responded.
97 posted on 11/04/2018 1:39:10 PM PST by Colinsky
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To: SeekAndFind

The Trump base never left!


98 posted on 11/04/2018 1:45:10 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: SeekAndFind

national generic polls are completely meaningless for Congressional elections ...


99 posted on 11/04/2018 1:58:34 PM PST by catnipman ((Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!))
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To: SeekAndFind

The Democrats are trying to wipe out free-thinking whites.


100 posted on 11/04/2018 2:03:04 PM PST by Crucial
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