Posted on 11/05/2018 7:09:09 PM PST by yesthatjallen
80% chance Republicans keep the senate in the majority. lololol thats all you need to know about this guy’s predictions.
Apparently some of them are triggered by cold rain, so they should stay home tomorrow and smoke their weed.
The fact is no matter how good your polling there's still an element of good luck.
If polls were accurate, they would all report the exact same numbers.
As I said, every election cycle, ONE pollster gets lucky.
‘What am I missing?’
the Blue Wall of PA, MI and WI, 46 EV’s, crumbled unexpectedly; thus, when FL went against her, she had no buffer...
Nate Silver = Horse Manure
With Nate Silver’s predictions, you have to use a Hillary Clinton-fudge factor of minus-40 to reach a more accurate Silver number.
Nate needs to take a year off...just tour the country and talk to regular people.
Rasmussen was the closest pollster last time around, and has been in other elections as well. You do understand that Nate Silver is not a pollster. He is a “statistician”. He uses data from multiple sources to come to his conclusions. But it was a garbage in garbage out situation the last time around and probably is the same this time around as well.
“Apparently some of them are triggered by cold rain, so they should stay home tomorrow and smoke their weed.”
I wonder if dems have shot themselves in the foot with legalized marijuana. Their potential voters are now all a bunch of “Towlies” (worst character ever from Southpark). Whatna get high?
He actually gave her only a 71% chance of winning the Electoral College in his final projection.
I don’t even bother to read what Silver puts out.
He’s a damn joke.
Yep, snowing in Bozeman, MT right now and supposed to snow tomorrow. Hopefully, it will keep the libs/Tester voters away tomorrow.
> What is it with “win the popular vote” Democrats are claiming?
It’s the most blatant last-minute moving of the goalposts you’ll ever see. They must know things are really really bad.
I give him a 99% chance of being the village idiot
That’s crazy. That’s a one in five chance of total Democratic Party domination of every remotely contested seat. The only thing they could leave on the table would be Texas.
I wouldn’t give a one in 500 chance of that actually occurring.
They are communists. They don’t understand the constitution
Red tide rolling
Because each race is a discreet entity
The guy can manage a decent hair cut?
at 7:06 pm Nate says:
Final Election Update: Democrats Aren’t Certain To Take The House, But They’re Pretty Clear Favorites
The range of outcomes is wide and includes the GOP holding on.
Same organization predicted Hitlery’s 96% chance to be in the Whitehouse right now.
How can Nate Silver say these things with a straight face? Trump is several points higher than Obama at the same time in his administration. Trump has a 51% approval rating among likely voters as does the Republican Party.
Nate Silver is either a fool or a liar. I do not think he is a fool.
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