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Supernova poised to go off near Earth
New Scientist ^ | Eugenie Samuel

Posted on 05/28/2002 4:52:08 PM PDT by vannrox

NewScientist.com

 
 

Supernova poised to go off near Earth

 
10:30 23 May 02

Eugenie Samuel

 

A student at Harvard University has stumbled across the terrifying spectacle of a star in our galactic backyard that is on the brink of exploding in a supernova. It is so close that if it were to blow up before moving away from us, it could wipe out life on Earth.

 (Photo: SPL)
(Photo: SPL)

Most supernovae occur when large stars run out of fuel and then collapse under their own weight. As atoms in the star are squeezed together, they rebound outwards, blowing off energy in a dazzling and dangerous display lasting several weeks.

But this one is different. Called HR 8210, it is a humble white dwarf, a star that has run out of fuel and should be too small to produce a supernova. But it may not stay that way. First, it is not alone, but is orbiting a companion star in a typical binary system. And it is 1.15 times the mass of our Sun, which for a white dwarf is a whopper.

The system was first logged in 1993 but little attention was paid to it. Then when Harvard student Karin Sandstrom investigated HR 8210 for a college paper this year, she discovered that it is only just shy of the Chandrasekar limit - the mass at which it would be big enough to go supernova. That makes it the best and by far the closest supernova candidate discovered so far.

The crunch will come when HR 8210's companion begins to run out of fuel. As it expands to form a red giant star, its outer layers will be dumped onto HR 8210, pushing it over the Chandrasekar limit. "Our initial idea was that this might happen very soon," says Sandstrom's supervisor Dave Latham.


Too close for comfort

But do not panic yet. "Very soon" could mean hundreds of millions of years in the future. And that is just as well, because we are only 150 light years away from HR 8210 at present - well short of the 160 to 200 light years thought to be the minimum safe distance from a supernova. If it did let fly, the high-energy electromagnetic radiation and cosmic rays it released would destroy Earth's ozone layer within minutes, giving life little chance of survival.

This would not be the first time a supernova has changed the course of life on Earth. In 2001, Jesus Maiz-Apellaniz and colleagues from the Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore, Maryland, found a "smoking gun" supernova remnant, in the group of stars known as the Scorpius- Centaurus association.

The timing of the supernova corresponds to an otherwise mysterious deposit of heavy isotopes in deep Earth cores and to a mass marine extinction two million years ago. At the time, Scorpius-Centaurus was around twice as far away from Earth as HR 8210 is now.

Fortunately, it will take time for HR 8210 to accumulate the mass it needs. Preliminary calculations by Rosanne di Stefano at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center suggest this may take hundreds of millions of years. By that time it will be much further away, she says, though she still needs to confirm exactly how far. "I want to be sure I'm right."

But will similar stars threaten us before then? "The fact that there's such a system so close to us suggests maybe these objects are not so rare," says Latham.

 
10:30 23 May 02
 


TOPICS: Front Page News; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; davelatham; doom; end; explosion; goliath; hr8210; nasa; nova; planet; space; star; supernova; whitedwarf; world
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To: jimtorr
Sorry about the previous, incomplete reply. I hit "post", rather than "preview" while trying to figure out how to spell "Chandrasekar". I kept thinking Chandra Levi, and I knew that wasn't right.
21 posted on 05/28/2002 5:24:39 PM PDT by jimtorr
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To: vannrox
Mr Samuels somehow either ignores or overlooks that it would be 150 years before we even know there has been a supernova and/or we feel the effects, if any.
22 posted on 05/28/2002 5:28:05 PM PDT by DaGman
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To: montag813
It is so close that if it were to blow up before moving away from us, it could wipe out life on Earth.

Let's hope so. Mankind has outlived its usefulness.

Yes indeed. We all know that the planet is being destroyed by mankind, particularly white North Americans.

This should please the fine members of Earth! First!

23 posted on 05/28/2002 5:31:58 PM PDT by Ole Okie
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To: vannrox
Well at least I know what the topic for tonight's Art Bell show will be.
24 posted on 05/28/2002 5:35:22 PM PDT by Dialup Llama
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To: vannrox
>A student at Harvard University has stumbled across the terrifying spectacle...

Someone reading a Bible in the student union?

25 posted on 05/28/2002 5:36:14 PM PDT by Dialup Llama
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To: The Raven
Kudzu Seeds - 1 ounce (180-200 seeds) $7.00 postage paid

Can you at least smoke the leaves?

26 posted on 05/28/2002 5:38:14 PM PDT by michigander
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To: callisto
Now THAT was one of the BEST, MOST REASONED technological rebuttal posts I have EVER SEEN on FR!!

KUDO's!!

Doc

27 posted on 05/28/2002 5:39:54 PM PDT by Doc On The Bay
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To: callisto
I have heard reports that Earth is already on the road to becoming uninhabitable by humans due to the CO2-O2 cycle breaking down.

The short version is that plate tectonics combines with weather to keep temperatures between boiling and freezing points of water over the very long term. In Earth's early history, when the sun was much more feeble, there was much more CO2 in the atmosphere.

According to the article I read, or heard, the sun was already hot enough that critical amounts of CO2 will have to be removed from the atmosphere just to keep temps from soaring and oceans from boiling away. Soon, the Earth will remove so much CO2 that plant life will be reduced. Long before the sun goes to Red Giant stage, advandced life on Earth will be blotted out. The article said this was already beginning to happen, and that we don't have 4.5 billion years, but much closer to 4.5 THOUSAND years, before this becomes a noticiable and increasingly serious problem.

28 posted on 05/28/2002 5:42:06 PM PDT by Ahban
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To: Poohbah
"2. How come Tom Ridge hasn't raised the alert condition to Orange? "

LOL!

29 posted on 05/28/2002 5:44:40 PM PDT by PatrioticAmerican
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To: philman_36;Fred Mertz
Interesting. Thought you might like it.
30 posted on 05/28/2002 5:45:46 PM PDT by AtticusX
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To: Thud
"This is also hundreds of millions to billions of years in the future."

Oh, I see! Billions, not millions.
Whew! You had me worried for a moment there.

31 posted on 05/28/2002 5:51:45 PM PDT by avg_freeper
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Comment #32 Removed by Moderator

To: vannrox
"But do not panic yet. "Very soon" could mean hundreds of millions of years in the future"

The "Nike" wearing Y2K nutjobs that didn't jump aboard Hale-Bobbit might find use for their freeze dried foods yet!!!! Just have them make sure the shelf life is a couple of million years. :-)

33 posted on 05/28/2002 6:33:22 PM PDT by MJY1288
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To: vannrox
I just hope it goes off at night, I want to see the light show!

Eastern time, mind you...

34 posted on 05/28/2002 6:41:25 PM PDT by RaceBannon
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To: callisto
Thanks for setting the record straight, in other words this is cheese.

Or A KORANS DR MINTS, which is what Karin Sandstrom's name comes out to playing with the anagram server. ;)

35 posted on 05/28/2002 6:47:26 PM PDT by DemoSmear
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To: vannrox
And that is just as well, because we are only 150 light years away from HR 8210 at present

If its 150 light years away it could have gone Supernova during the Civil War and we wouldn’t know it yet

(and some freepers will blame that on Lincoln too;)

36 posted on 05/28/2002 6:47:46 PM PDT by tophat9000
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To: Ahban
Soon, the Earth will remove so much CO2 that plant life will be reduced.

What, no more salad bars? What will the veg heads do then?

37 posted on 05/28/2002 6:49:49 PM PDT by DemoSmear
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To: Salgak
"high-speed gases, moving at significant fractions of the speed of light. Just the thing to rip the atmosphere off of a seared planet."

Aw heck,that happens around here ever time Ah makes chili>

38 posted on 05/28/2002 7:00:02 PM PDT by philetus
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To: vannrox
If it did let fly, the high-energy electromagnetic radiation and cosmic rays it released would destroy Earth's ozone layer within minutes, giving life little chance of survival.

Isn't it a coincidence that Harvard published this article on the very same day that we find out:
Ozone Hole to Mend itself by 2040 according to Japanese Scientists...hmmmm? (^:

39 posted on 05/28/2002 7:00:26 PM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl
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To: jimtorr; vannrox
I tend to think that the letter from Karin deploring the bonehead reporter is genuine. I especially liked her last note of ignoring reporters. That's how I know she is still a student.

Once she is a full professor she'll understand that reporters are very useful in keeping the grant money flowing. A typical feminist sociologist would correctly understand that this problem will keep her in grant money for 300 million years.

40 posted on 05/28/2002 7:03:45 PM PDT by texas booster
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