[spetznaz]

Republicans will have to turn out in droves to vote this mid-term. That is imperative, and while i am sure some Freepers will say this poll is 'fake' or something to that effect the fact still remains that Republicans will need to vote as if the poll is gospel truth! Staying at home is not going to help at all!

[spetznaz]

Ping.

[tip of the sword]

Is this the leak of the MSNBC/Newsweak Zogby 'Special Sauce' Poll due out tomorrow?

[mware]

Democrates take lead in mid term elections????

Not in New Jersey they don't.

[Falcon4.0]

Well ya know? Suicide bombs going off in shopping malls, churchs and school yards isn't going to help the economy at all now is it?

[John Jorsett]

Contrast this with:

G.O.P. is seen ahead by nose in House races
Frist confident that GOP will gain Senate control with next election
Republicans Lead in House Races - Barely
One Vote Away

[Quicksilver]

Bush, GOP, up in Harris poll

[Quicksilver]

Oops, screwed up, try this:

Bush, GOP, up in Harris poll

[upchuck]

Why did you excerpt this article?

[Dave S]

True about turnout but two things this article does not address:

1) the poll is among registered voters, not among likely voters. Democrats always do better among registered voters than among likely voters.

2) there is no significant difference in the 40% who say they would vote GOP this poll versus the 43% in the prior wave. Looking at it from the Democrat vote, they are up to 47% from 41%. However the error range is probably at least 4% if the sample is 1100 or higher if the sample base is only 500 or so which is more likely. So the move towards the Democrats is just barely significant and probably is result of the decline in the bump Bush and GOP got after 9/11.

My best guess is the Democrats probably lead by two or three percent nationwide in the generic ballot among registered voters. However, past elections show that the Dems have to be at least five points higher among registered voters for them not to be behind among likely voters. So Republicans are still in this race.

Furthermore, the poll is national while only forty or so congressional districts are competitive and most of those are in states that Bush carried. Personally I think a better indication of how the race is going is the current state of panic among the Democrats.

[linn37]

yup just shut up and vote on election day and take a friend with ya!

[Quicksilver]

"Torricelli looks like toast," Mr. Zogby said ... Democrats fear losing majority in Senate

[KQQL]

!

[Congressman Billybob]

1) Newsweek has a notoriously bad record for accurate projections. The reason is: 2) this is a poll of "registered voters." Any fool knows that "likely voters" poll more Republican than "regitered voters" because Republican groups like older, wealthier, more educated, more religious, and married with children voters all turn out more, and vote more Republican.

The House is safe -- Republicans will gain there. The Senate will flip. Republicans will gain there. Newsweek is, as usual, a birdcage liner, except it uses slick paper that doesn't absorb bird droppings very well.

Congressman Billybob

Click for "Til Death Do Us Part."

Click for "to Restore Trust in America"

Click for "I am almost out of ideas"

[Houmatt]

This is the boys at Newsweek trying to get an early start at convincing those who would vote GOP to not bother showing up in November.

@#$% THAT!! Show up at the polls! Vote Republican! Take back the Senate!

LET'S ROLL!!

[Mudboy Slim]

"While George W. Bush focuses on building support for war with Iraq, voters say they are most concerned about the economy."

This is blatant disinformation timed to counteract the preponderance of polls stating unequivocally that the RATS are gonna git their tails handed to them on the 5th of November!!!

Newsweak's a Washington ComPost enclave, nuff said...MUD

[Mudboy Slim]

"Staying at home is not going to help at all!!"

Staying HOME!! Nobody's staying home, my FRiend...we're too busy gettin' out and convincing our family, friends, and co-workers of the wonderful feeling that goes along with being part of a NationalPurpose...the RATS are dawgmeat!!

FReegards...MUD

[dalebert]

Strange. The Harris poll says pubbies are up in polls.