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Sick tanker crew headed for SARS-hit Hong
Kong
Reuters ^
| May 3, 2003
Posted on 05/03/2003 10:04:25 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Judith Anne; All
It would really be very striking and important if there is an Indian immunity... Especially if, as the article suggests, the immunity is not hereditary, but a result of exposure to some (relatively harmless) disease. It suggests that the equivalent of a cowpox can be found for SARS.
To: Judith Anne
The Deputy Prime Minister of Singapore, B-Gen. Lee had just released a press statement a few days ago, dispelling some myths and misconceptions about SARS, one of them is that India Indians are immune to SARS
He released statistics from the S'pore SARS cases to point out that of all the cases , 10% are Indians, although Indians account for only a few percent of Singapore population
To: The Pheonix
Thank you for that information. I didn't think there was any significant amount of genotype immunity. Still, aristeides has a good idea, is there a relatively mild virus that will help boost SARS immunity?
To: Judith Anne
Your're welcome
Yes, I also think that Aristeides's idea is good and it may just work.
To: Dog Gone
SARS Mortality Rates [reflects treatment] Based on World Health Organization daily tables (Revised: 5/04am) |
Area |
Recoveries to date |
Deaths to date |
Recent** Death Rate |
|
Active Cases still in Danger |
Projected Future Deaths |
Projected Cumulative Mortality |
Hong Kong |
898 |
179 |
17.9% |
|
544 |
97 |
17.0% |
Singapore |
147 |
25 |
16.0% |
|
31 |
5 |
14.8% |
China |
1406 |
190 |
36.0% |
|
2375 |
854 |
26.3% |
Canada |
94 |
22 |
19.0% |
|
33 |
6 |
18.8% |
elsewhere [26 countries] |
157 |
19 |
17.4% |
|
114 |
20 |
13.4% |
World-wide [all 30 countries] |
2702 |
435 |
|
|
3097 |
982 |
22.7% |
** ( Deaths in the last 7 days) / ( Deaths + Recoveries in the last 7 days) |
Observations - Treatment:
- Most areas had small improvements, resulting in the
projected Mortality being improved to 22.7%.
Trend - Active Cases Still in Danger [reflects containment] |
Date |
Hong Kong |
Singapore |
China |
Canada |
elsewhere 26 countries |
World-wide all 30 countries |
Apr 19 |
914 |
61 |
307 |
62 |
|
1616 |
Apr 20 |
893 |
64 |
497 |
65 |
|
1694 |
Apr 21 (est.) |
872 |
66 |
686 |
66 |
|
1771 |
Apr 22 |
874 |
60 |
708 |
61 |
80 |
1783 |
Apr 23 |
831 |
58 |
968 |
62 |
86 |
2005 |
Apr 24 |
812 |
55 |
1058 |
58 |
76 |
2059 |
Apr 25 |
781 |
50 |
1209 |
51 |
78 |
2169 |
Apr 26 |
774 |
51 |
1346 |
47 |
86 |
2304 |
Apr 27 (est.) |
738 |
45 |
1415 |
47 |
98 |
2336 |
Apr 28 |
709 |
39 |
1484 |
47 |
108 |
2387 |
Apr 29 |
663 |
38 |
1833 |
40 |
108 |
2682 |
Apr 30 |
641 |
38 |
1969 |
41 |
132 |
2821 |
May 1 |
604 |
33 |
2117 |
40 |
117 |
2911 |
May 2 |
563 |
32 |
2246 |
34 |
119 |
2994 |
May 3 |
544 |
31 |
2375 |
33 |
114 |
3097 |
(includes new daily cases... excludes cases resolved by death or recovery) |
Observations - Containment:
- The 'elsewhere' (26 countries) may have plateau'ed.
- China is the only area still in the red with increasing ACTIVE casecounts.
- Singapore and Canada seem to be in a horserace to get to ZERO active cases.
(Canada had 7 new cases this week, Singapore +5 cases, maybe
more if this tanker crew gets credited to Singapore.)
To: blam; Judith Anne; jonathonandjennifer; Mr. Mulliner; Prince Charles; thinktwice; eggman; ...
SARS - Treatment/Containment tables - update with Saturday numbers
here
To: FL_engineer
Thank you very much. Lots of sick people still in danger...projected total mortality rates of SARS sufferers at 22%--yikes!
To: FL_engineer
You are to be commended for the effort you put into this. It's quick and easy to grasp. Thanks.
48
posted on
05/04/2003 11:56:09 AM PDT
by
Dog Gone
To: FL_engineer
"SARS - Treatment/Containment tables - update with Saturday numbers here. Why do you think we're not hearing/seeing these percentage numbers in the mainline press?
49
posted on
05/04/2003 12:01:48 PM PDT
by
blam
To: blam
Why do you think we're not hearing/seeing these percentage numbers in the mainline press? my opinion- partly denial, partly numerical handicaps in the press
To: FL_engineer
"my opinion- partly denial, partly numerical handicaps in the press." Thanks.
Now, does anyone know what became of the anthrax ship that was quarantined off the coast of Canada. The one where the first mate died in (I think) Brazil?
51
posted on
05/04/2003 12:33:37 PM PDT
by
blam
To: aristeides
A study released in Hong Kong on Tuesday by Professor Tai Fai Fok of the Department of Paediatrics of Hong Kong University concurs. They found that among children who tested positive, teenagers exhibited more symptoms than young children. The younger the patient, the less infectious he was found to be. I still say if I got this disease I would have my wife hunt for a doctor that would give me GH until I reached the levels of a 3 year old!
52
posted on
05/04/2003 12:56:29 PM PDT
by
Nov3
To: aristeides; Dog Gone; Nov3; per loin
aristeides
Thanks for the bump.
Dog gone; Nov 3; Per Loin-
FYI To anyone interested in discovering how the system works, good or bad parts, in India, this is the story to read
To: Petronski; InShanghai; Ma Li; backhoe; tallhappy; flutters; blam; grizzfan; Brian S; iceskater; ...
Pinging more people on this Indian article, which strikes me as important.
To: Dog Gone
The vessel left Thailand on April 28, and 10 of its 24 crews -- all reported to be of Indian origin -- were ill with fever, coughs and bodyaches, which are among the flu-like symptoms of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. So much for the internet rumor that indians were immune to SARS.
As Miss Emily Litella would say, "Never mind."
To: FL_engineer
Being in NY and as close to the Canadian border maybe we should be worrying up here. They've got it worse than I realized.
To: FL_engineer
my opinion- partly denial, partly numerical handicaps in the press... but MOSTLY due to lack of hard science on this disease and the controlled studies that could determine if under-reporting on the spread of this disease would, in actuality, water down those mortality stats ...
58
posted on
05/04/2003 7:39:18 PM PDT
by
_Jim
(Guangdong doctor linked as source of SARS in China: http://www.biomedcentral.com/news/20030320/09/)
To: blam
"Now, does anyone know what became of the anthrax ship that was quarantined off the coast of Canada. The one where the first mate died in (I think) Brazil?"
They apparently ruled out Anthrax as the cause of death. There was another recent and mysterious death of a Bulgarian sailor off Brazil....article here:
http://www.cbc.ca/cp/world/030501/w050186.html
59
posted on
05/04/2003 11:43:22 PM PDT
by
TheLion
To: TheLion
"Initial tests showed Ibrahim had died of anthrax, but authorities later ruled that out and said more tests were needed to identify the cause of death. " Thanks.
60
posted on
05/05/2003 8:48:24 AM PDT
by
blam
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