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Andrew Sullivan: READ THE (WMD) REPORT
andrewsullivan.com ^ | 10/03/03 | Andrew Sullivan

Posted on 10/02/2003 9:33:18 PM PDT by Pokey78

If you think that David Kay's report on Iraqi WMDs can be adequately summarized by idiotic headlines such as: "No Illicit Arms Found in Iraq," then you need to read this report. If you believe the following "news analysis" by David Sanger in today's New York Times summarizes the findings of David Kay, then you need to read this report. Sanger's piece is, in fact, political propaganda disguised as analysis, designed to obscure and distort the evidence that you can read with your own eyes. His opening paragraph culminates in a simple, knowing, well-crafted lie:

The preliminary report delivered on Thursday by the chief arms inspector in Iraq forces the Bush administration to come face to face with this reality: that Saddam Hussein's armory appears to have been stuffed with precursors, potential weapons and bluffs, but that nothing found so far backs up administration claims that Mr. Hussein posed an imminent threat to the world.
That is not what the administration claimed. (The Times has even had to run a correction recently correcting their attempt, retroactively, to distort and misrepresent the administration's position.) The administration claimed that Saddam had used WMDs in the past, had hidden materials from the United Nations, was hiding a continued program for weapons of mass destruction, and that we should act before the threat was imminent. The argument was that it was impossible to restrain Saddam Hussein unless he were removed from power and disarmed. The war was based on the premise that Saddam had clearly violated U.N. resolutions, was in open breach of such resolutions and was continuing to conceal his programs with the intent of restarting them in earnest once sanctions were lifted. Having read the report carefully, I'd say that the administration is vindicated in every single respect of that argument. This war wasn't just moral; it wasn't just prudent; it was justified on the very terms the administration laid out. And we don't know the half of it yet.

THE MONEY QUOTES: If you don't have time, here are my highlights. First off:

We have discovered dozens of WMD-related program activities and significant amounts of equipment that Iraq concealed from the United Nations during the inspections that began in late 2002. The discovery of these deliberate concealment efforts have come about both through the admissions of Iraqi scientists and officials concerning information they deliberately withheld and through physical evidence of equipment and activities that ISG has discovered that should have been declared to the UN.
Translation: Saddam was lying to the U.N. as late as 2002. He was required by the U.N. to fully cooperate. He didn't. The war was justified on those grounds alone. Case closed. Some of the physical evidence still remains, despite what was clearly a deliberate, coordinated and thorough attempt to destroy evidence before during and after the war. Among the discoveries:
* A clandestine network of laboratories and safehouses within the Iraqi Intelligence Service that contained equipment subject to UN monitoring and suitable for continuing CBW research.

* A prison laboratory complex, possibly used in human testing of BW agents, that Iraqi officials working to prepare for UN inspections were explicitly ordered not to declare to the UN.

* Reference strains of biological organisms concealed in a scientist's home, one of which can be used to produce biological weapons.

* New research on BW-applicable agents, Brucella and Congo Crimean Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF), and continuing work on ricin and aflatoxin were not declared to the UN.

* Documents and equipment, hidden in scientists' homes, that would have been useful in resuming uranium enrichment by centrifuge and electromagnetic isotope separation (EMIS).

* A line of UAVs not fully declared at an undeclared production facility and an admission that they had tested one of their declared UAVs out to a range of  500 km, 350 km beyond the permissible limit.

* Continuing covert capability to manufacture fuel propellant useful only for prohibited SCUD variant missiles, a capability that was maintained at least until the end of 2001 and that cooperating Iraqi scientists have said they were told to conceal from the UN.

* Plans and advanced design work for new long-range missiles with ranges up to at least 1000 km - well beyond the 150 km range limit imposed by the UN. Missiles of a 1000 km range would have allowed Iraq to threaten targets through out the Middle East, including Ankara, Cairo, and Abu Dhabi.

* Clandestine attempts between late-1999 and 2002 to obtain from North Korea technology related to 1,300 km range ballistic missiles --probably the No Dong -- 300 km range anti-ship cruise missiles, and other prohibited military equipment.
Would you be happy, after 9/11, if the president had allowed such capabilities to remain at large, and be reinvigorated, with French and Russian help, after sanctions were removed? I wouldn't. But the New York Times and Dominique de Villepin would have happily looked the other way rather than do anything real to enforce the very resolutions they claimed to support.

THERE'S MORE: One of the crazy premises of the "Where Are They?" crowd is that we would walk into that huge country and find large piles of Acme bombs with anthrax in them. That's not what a WMD program is about; and never was. Saddam was careful. He had to hide from the U.N. and he had to find ways, over more than a decade, to maintain a WMD program as best he could, ready to reactivate whenever the climate altered in his favor. Everything points to such a strategy and to such weapons being maintained. The bio-warfare stuff is particularly worrying:

With regard to biological warfare activities, which has been one of our two initial areas of focus, ISG teams are uncovering significant information - including research and development of BW-applicable organisms, the involvement of Iraqi Intelligence Service (IIS) in possible BW activities, and deliberate concealment activities. All of this suggests Iraq after 1996 further compartmentalized its program and focused on maintaining smaller, covert capabilities that could be activated quickly to surge the production of BW agents.
Mustard gas in a matter of months. And concealment all the time:
A very large body of information has been developed through debriefings, site visits, and exploitation of captured Iraqi documents that confirms that Iraq concealed equipment and materials from UN inspectors when they returned in 2002. One noteworthy example is a collection of reference strains that ought to have been declared to the UN. Among them was a vial of live C. botulinum Okra B. from which a biological agent can be produced. This discovery - hidden in the home of a BW scientist - illustrates the point I made earlier about the difficulty of locating small stocks of material that can be used to covertly surge production of deadly weapons. The scientist who concealed the vials containing this agent  has identified a large cache of agents that he was asked, but refused, to conceal. ISG is actively searching for this second cache.
When you read this kind of information, you can see why the president has ordered more money to go to this effort. We need every cent. We have to show to the world - and to the appeasers at home - the extent of the threat that this monstrous regime potentially represented.

FOR THE FUTURE: But Kay makes a more important point at the end. He notes that our ability to examine this entire edifice in a liberated Iraq, to see where our intelligence failed and where it succeeded, is a hugely helpful task in the broader war on terror. Over to Kay:

[W]hatever we find will probably differ from pre-war intelligence. Empirical reality on the ground is, and has always been, different from intelligence judgments that must be made under serious constraints of time, distance and information. It is, however, only by understanding precisely what those differences are that the quality of future intelligence and investment decisions concerning future intelligence systems can be improved. Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is such a continuing threat to global society that learning those lessons has a high imperative.
Of course it has. I've waited a long time for this report, and kept my peace until it came out and we had some empirical data to measure. What we now see may not impress those who are looking for any way to discredit this administration and this war. But it shows to my mind the real danger that Saddam posed - and would still pose today, if one president and one prime minister hadn't had the fortitude to face him down. We live in a dangerous but still safer world because of it. Now is the time for the administration to stop the internal quibbling, the silence and passivity, and go back on the offensive. Show the dangers that the opposition was happy for us to tolerate; show the threat - real and potential - that this war averted; defend the record with pride and vigor; and fund the reconstruction in ways that will make it work now not just for our sake but for the sake of those once killed in large numbers by the weapons some are so eager not to find.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Editorial; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: andrewsullivan; andrewsullivanlist; davidkay; davidkaywmd; iraq; weapons; wmd
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To: Fledermaus
Now that WAS funny! LOL
81 posted on 10/03/2003 6:43:35 AM PDT by MHGinTN (If you can read this, you've had life support from someone. Promote life support for others.)
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To: Pokey78
Bookmarked and bumped. Thanks Pokey, I never doubted that GWB took the correct action.

Listened to him this morning with Bernard Kerrick. Kerrick related what he had seen first hand, and also the video tapes of torture- including a Doberman attacking and killing an Iraqi General whose loyalty was questioned. Kerrick called Saddam himself a WMD. He was.

Pray for GWB and the truth.
82 posted on 10/03/2003 6:59:55 AM PDT by baseballmom
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To: bunnypants
Yes - weep at the extent of the disease that leads millions to see truth where there are lies, good where there is evil, and vice versa.

... such as yourself, bunnypants ...

There is not one iota of what you quote from the State of the Union that has yet been cast in doubt. Of course, it will be difficult for some to recognize this.

Now, if I could just figure out why I bothered to even respond to your flamebait ...

83 posted on 10/03/2003 7:00:51 AM PDT by ThePythonicCow (Mooo !!!!)
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To: Howlin
THAT is the most disgusting and frightening thing about this whole affair: that our own citizens would sell us out for such a low price. Power is nothing, without life and liberty. They might think they will be exempted from the carnage, but of course in the end they will not. It is short-sighted, mean spirited, and downright evil of them. (And by "them" I mean not only the 'rats, but the media who works hand in hand with them.)
84 posted on 10/03/2003 7:01:12 AM PDT by MizSterious (Support whirled peas!)
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To: Howlin
THANKS for the ping, Howlin.....unfortunately most people just read the headlines....I keep thinking FR should start RE-WRITING HEADLINES for articles posted here....at least there might be SOME semblance of objectivity then.
85 posted on 10/03/2003 7:04:48 AM PDT by goodnesswins (Free People are NOT Equal; EQUAL People are NOT FREE.)
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To: nutmeg
It would also be amazing to see the truth ever printed or diseminated by in USA Today, The Gannett papers, Time, Newsweek, US and World Report, the LA Times, SF Chronicle, et al and especially by CNN/CBS/NBC/ABC/NPR with input from Reuters, and the evil AP. All of these leftist Bush haters are wrong-headed, biased RAT supporters.
86 posted on 10/03/2003 7:05:32 AM PDT by Paulus Invictus (RATs are scum!)
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To: ReaganRevolution
"If what Sullivan says is true, and I believe it is, then Roberts needs to get a grip."

For what it's worth, Sullivan is mostly quoting the Kay report. I think Roberts needs to get a grip. :)

87 posted on 10/03/2003 7:07:49 AM PDT by MizSterious (Support whirled peas!)
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To: RaceBannon; Howlin
Thanks for the ping, guys. Don't you know docs like Kay's report are too long for Libs to actually read.
88 posted on 10/03/2003 7:44:20 AM PDT by LisaFab
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To: Pokey78
Thanks for the ping.
89 posted on 10/03/2003 7:53:23 AM PDT by GOPJ
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To: piasa
Thanks for the heads up!
90 posted on 10/03/2003 7:59:52 AM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: Pokey78
Good article and he didn't say anything pro-gay!
91 posted on 10/03/2003 8:05:34 AM PDT by Ann Archy
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Bump!
92 posted on 10/03/2003 8:12:18 AM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: William McKinley; Imal; Nick Danger; Dan from Michigan; JulieRNR21; MeeknMing; AntiJen; ...
Let me know if you'd like on or off the Free Republic blogging ping list!

This definitive post by Andrew Sullivan on the WMD issue is huge. Here's the clip and save link for your blog: http://www.andrewsullivan.com/index.php?dish_inc=archives/2003_09_28_dish_archive.html#106515452491080509

93 posted on 10/03/2003 8:13:33 AM PDT by Political Numbers Guy ("We love freedom -- and we're not going to change." -- Pres. George W. Bush)
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma
marking spot
94 posted on 10/03/2003 8:16:17 AM PDT by Iowa Granny (Conservative women LIKE men!)
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To: Pippin
Ping. This is one of the links with great news.
95 posted on 10/03/2003 9:36:42 AM PDT by Calpernia (Innocence seldom utters outraged shrieks. Guilt does.)
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To: Calpernia
Thanks for the ping Cal!
96 posted on 10/03/2003 9:41:32 AM PDT by Pippin (Please Pray for our President and for our Country!)
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To: Pokey78
Here's a quote from Pelosi in the Times:

Congresswoman Pelosi, Democrat of California, who met with Mr. Kay in a secure room in the Capitol at 8:45 this morning, told reporters after the meeting that "it was clear to me that there was no imminence of a threat for weapons of mass destruction," as the White House had claimed.

Note how the Times injected "as the White House had claimed" - we have no idea if Pelosi was going to say that. The media is in hyperdrive to establish that lie - it's gotten so bad that Bloomberg claimed after Bush's appearance today where he answered a couple of questions about Kay's report that Bush said the report showed that the threat was "imminent" - IN QUOTES - when that word is nowhere in the transcript.

97 posted on 10/03/2003 9:41:44 AM PDT by dirtboy (CongressmanBillyBob/John Armor for Congress - you can't separate them, so send 'em both to D.C.)
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To: Pokey78
...but that nothing found so far backs up administration claims that Mr. Hussein posed an imminent threat to the world.

If I see the words "imminent threat" again as words supposedly coming from Dubya's mount, I'm going to SCREAM!!!!!

When the Dems try to stick this false fact in, the newscasters should stop the speaker...say something like...Did President Bush really say that? I think he said something more like: The United States cannot wait for the threat to be imminent because then it will be too late.

This is just another BIG distortion by the RATs. Remember how they kept repeating "the United States is going it alone"? Tim Russert stopped Dean dead in his tracks when he questioned him on "Are we really going it alone?" After that Dean kept stumbling over it because he's said the lie too many times that he automatically repeats his canned phrase. But, after that rebuke by Russert, he at least tried to correct himself. Even then, Dean himself should have noticed how many times he used the phrase by the number of times he had to correct himself -- over and over again--during the interview.

98 posted on 10/03/2003 10:02:30 AM PDT by BushisTheMan
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To: BushisTheMan
If I see the words "imminent threat" again as words supposedly coming from Dubya's mount, I'm going to SCREAM!!!!!

Well, then, pop your blood pressure meds and mash this link from Bloomberg:

Bush Says Weapons Inspector's Report Shows Threat From Iraq Was `Imminent'

I guess it no longer suffices to misquote Bush's SOTU address - in this case, Bush never even said the word "imminent" but Bloomberg puts it in quotes anyway.

99 posted on 10/03/2003 10:07:23 AM PDT by dirtboy (CongressmanBillyBob/John Armor for Congress - you can't separate them, so send 'em both to D.C.)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Good Stuff ~ Bump!
100 posted on 10/03/2003 10:16:13 AM PDT by blackie
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