Bush Falling in Iowa Electronic Markets

Iowa Electronic Markets ^ | 11/1/04 | Tomahawk

[tomahawk]

In the last 2 hours, Bush has fallen from 55.3 to 51.3 on the winner takes all market.

On the vote share market, Bush is still up 3% on Kerry.

Anyone seeing any news out there that would account for this?

[tomahawk]

Hopefully, it's "noise".

[DM1]

well this is disconcerting

[oceanview]

what the Dow doing? the big players down there surely have access to the internal polls.

[Procyon]

Soros is manipulating the market again.

[truthandlife]

Already posted here http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1264840/posts

[darin2risk]

its up 21 points

[renotse]

Tradesports
Bush 55.4
Kerry 45.0

[bubman]

Bush surging on www.tradesports.com

Bid 55.1

This is HUGE!

[Honestfreedom]

On tradesports it is still 55-45.

[NYC Republican]

Bush dropped to 49.0% a short while ago, he's now at 51.3%

[stocksthatgoup]

George Soros hitting the bid.

[elizabetty]

We do not need folks who are "Day Traders" on the IEM or Tradesports posting it here every ten minutes. How about once per day at the same time everyday? I might not be quite as dramatic as everyone is trying to make it.


NOTE: Reacting this way to the political markets is the same way Kerry reacts to national security. It isn't pretty.

[Bell407Pilot]

Since the IEM has only 3000 registered traders, and most are university professors, my guess is you are seeing a reaction to the slew of polls that show the race tied today. This is exact effect the liberal national media wants by falsely showing that the race is tied.

[AmericanMade1776]

ZOGBY..is to blame They have kerry up by 6 in Iowa...I do not believe it, do you?

[Mister Baredog]

Two words, George Soros.

[SAJ]

This is great. Last chance for a clean arbitrage between IEM and tradesports.

N.B. be SURE to use TS' Bush-Wins-Popular-Vote contract, NOT the Bush-Wins-Prez contract.

[voteconstitutionparty]

The Dow is zooming. Oil is crashing. My stocks are doing well. Oil now below $50 per barrel.

[conservativecorner]

You know what wins elections? Not electronic markets. People getting off their asses, and helping the party and voting win elections. Everything else is just noise. I trade for a living, so manipulation is just part of the bag of tricks that various individuals and institutions use to separate you from your money. Quit sweating over this meaningless stuff.

[the invisib1e hand]

puhleeze...

[Tribune7]

Dow is going up; oil is going down.