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Immigration Vote Count [Kate O'Beirne]
National Review ^ | June 21, 2007 | Kate O'Beirne

Posted on 06/21/2007 7:45:25 AM PDT by 3AngelaD

Opponents of the immigration bill recognize that the vote on cloture (maybe tomorrow, but probably early next week) will be key. Outside groups are scoring a vote for cloture as a vote for the bill. Cloture will succeed with 60 votes. Outspoken critics of the bill can be expected to vote "No."

Yesterday, Georgia senators Chambliss and Isakson announced their opposition. Given the size of the unpersuadable caucus that will support cloture, opponents are fighting uphill.

Based on talking with well-informed sources, this is the most accurate list I've seen of the Republican senators whose intentions are unknown and whose support will be needed in order to defeat cloture: Richard Burr (N.C.), Lamar Alexander (Tenn.), Kit Bond (Mo.), Pat Roberts (Kan.), Gordon Smith (Ore.), Thad Cochran (Miss.), Mike Crapo (Ind.), Norm Coleman (Min.), Kay Bailey Hutchison (Tex.), Orrin Hatch (Utah), Bob Bennett (Utah), and John Sununu (N.H.). (And opponents hope they can count on about a dozen Democrats).


TOPICS: US: Minnesota; US: Oregon; US: Tennessee; US: Utah
KEYWORDS: aliens; amnesty; immigrantlist; immigration; senate
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Good target list for anti-cloture vote call.
1 posted on 06/21/2007 7:45:27 AM PDT by 3AngelaD
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To: 3AngelaD
She was pretty accurate in her assessments of the first half of the fiasco, for what it's worth.
BTW, wasn't it the Flipping 15? Her list only has 12.
2 posted on 06/21/2007 7:50:15 AM PDT by truthkeeper (It's the borders, stupid.)
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To: 3AngelaD

I can’t see most of the names on this list voting for cloture..I’d worry about maybe a few..Sununu and Smith..


3 posted on 06/21/2007 7:51:29 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: ken5050
I’d worry about maybe a few..Sununu and Smith..

Both Sunnun and Smith are up for reelection in 2008. If they support this bill, they are goners.

4 posted on 06/21/2007 7:53:15 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (Kill Bill II, The Night of the Living Dead Amnesty.)
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To: 3AngelaD

Maybe the American people should do a Confidence Vote on Congress. Their rating is down to about 14% approval right now. But polls just don’t do it. We need a Concidence Vote on Congress. Maybe, just maybe, they would get it. Each state should have a special ballot....nothing on it except the Confidence vote.


5 posted on 06/21/2007 7:53:40 AM PDT by RC2
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To: 3AngelaD

What a minte, Sen. Crapo’s from Idaho - not Indiana.


6 posted on 06/21/2007 7:54:08 AM PDT by RexBeach (Americans never quit. -Douglas MacArthur)
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To: RexBeach

minte s/b minute


7 posted on 06/21/2007 7:54:37 AM PDT by RexBeach (Americans never quit. -Douglas MacArthur)
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To: ken5050

I’d worry about Smith for sure!


8 posted on 06/21/2007 7:55:02 AM PDT by Paperdoll ( Vote for Duncan Hunter in the Primaries for America's sake!)
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To: 3AngelaD

To: WOSG

Do we really need more reasons to call our representatives in Washington, D.C.?

Just say NO to Illegal Alien Amnesty!! Keep calling!! It’s NOT OVER!!

U.S. Senate switchboard: (202) 224-3121

U.S. House switchboard: (202) 225-3121

White House comments: (202) 456-1111

Find your House Rep.: http://www.house.gov/writerep

Find your US Senators: http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm

147 posted on 06/20/2007 2:07:23 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Fred Thompson/John Bolton 2008)
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9 posted on 06/21/2007 7:55:31 AM PDT by rurgan (socialism doesn't work. Government is the problem not the solution to our problems.)
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To: ken5050

Burr has already come out with Dole against the bill and will vote no on cloture according to what I was reading.


10 posted on 06/21/2007 7:56:23 AM PDT by PhiKapMom ( Inhofe for Senate 08 -- Broken Glass Republican -- vote out the RATs in 2008)
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To: RexBeach

I was just going to say the same thing — she cannot even get the right state for Crapo.


11 posted on 06/21/2007 7:57:03 AM PDT by PhiKapMom ( Inhofe for Senate 08 -- Broken Glass Republican -- vote out the RATs in 2008)
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To: ken5050

Bennett and Coleman have indicted they will vote for cloture this time. Kit Bond is sponsoring one if those famous amendments that will give him cover to vote for cloture. I couldn’t believe it. Burr and Alexander are wobbly, with Alexander leaning toward cloture. Our work is NOT DONE.


12 posted on 06/21/2007 7:58:38 AM PDT by 3AngelaD (They screwed up their own countries so bad they had to leave, and now they're here screwing up ours)
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To: NeoCaveman

Smith can be swayed. Contact his office even if you’re not in Oregon. Elections is what this guy is about.


13 posted on 06/21/2007 7:58:50 AM PDT by AuntB (" It takes more than walking across the border to be an American." Duncan Hunter)
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To: AuntB

bttt


14 posted on 06/21/2007 8:00:53 AM PDT by Guenevere (Duncan Hunter for President, 2008!!)
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To: 3AngelaD

Some of these will be talking out of both sides of their mouth (like Hutchison).

Closure is THE BIG VOTE . If that passes the bill will pass.

Many will vote for closure to give the 60 needed but be given a pass on the actual vote.

So they will vote for closure and then when it does not matter vote against the bill. It is a political game.

That way they can say “hey I did not vote for the bill”

It is BS


15 posted on 06/21/2007 8:01:29 AM PDT by ears_to_hear
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To: 3AngelaD

FYI.please see #10...


16 posted on 06/21/2007 8:02:18 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: NeoCaveman

They’re both from blue states..maybe that’s why they’re worried..


17 posted on 06/21/2007 8:03:09 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: ears_to_hear

Bingo..it is also why Reid wants so many GOP senator to support it..that’s so he can let a few Dems, like Pryor and Landrieu, vote AGAINST it..


18 posted on 06/21/2007 8:04:23 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: 3AngelaD
I worry about Kay Bailey Hutchison.
I call her office every day and her staff says that she is not committing until she sees the new bill.
19 posted on 06/21/2007 8:05:02 AM PDT by cryptotech (Remember the Alamo - Remember Goliad)
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To: ears_to_hear
Many will vote for closure to give the 60 needed but be given a pass on the actual vote.

That's why I tell every Senator I call that a vote for cloture will be interpreted as a vote for amnesty. In making this point, I end with the statement "The American people are not stupid." Inform them that we are hip to their tricks.

20 posted on 06/21/2007 8:07:25 AM PDT by jhs80
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