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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: dougherty

The difference between a watch and a warning is that a watch is when conditions are favorable for the development of a tornado, the warning is that either one has been spotted or radar shows a hook echo, which is a classic tornado signature.

I’m not sure what is meant about the alert but my guess is that one was spotted.

I’d rather be in the watch area if I had to choose.


1,221 posted on 09/12/2008 3:40:21 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: jdub; All

It has stalled; hasn’t moved for over 30 minutes....


1,222 posted on 09/12/2008 3:40:46 PM PDT by harwood (Ann Coulter: Future SCOTUS nominee!)
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To: nwctwx; dirtboy

Agree... it appears to be organizing.

That means the waves will be even higher. Surge itself won’t change much, but the floating houses, or what is left of them, are going to be driven further inland.


1,223 posted on 09/12/2008 3:42:07 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys

10 knots at those wind speeds? Nobody would even notice the difference.


1,224 posted on 09/12/2008 3:44:08 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: AFPhys
"Agree... it appears to be organizing."

Dang it, someone call Rove and tell him to turn off that dang EVILBUSH Weather Machine.

1,225 posted on 09/12/2008 3:44:31 PM PDT by Mad Dawgg ("`Eddies,' said Ford, `in the space-time continuum.' `Ah,' nodded Arthur, `is he? Is he?'")
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To: ishmac

Houstonians are just too cool to board up! I was raised in Spring and my sister married a native Houstonian. He did evacuate to be with his son, yet he didn’t board up! (He was POed he couldn’t surf in Galveston yesterday, but did enjoy Gustav’s waves.)


1,226 posted on 09/12/2008 3:44:44 PM PDT by sweet_diane (Fairhope AL with family in League City TX (evacuating to New Braunsfel (sp?))
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To: MplsSteve

There’s a tornado warning in my area, too. I’m in Kansas City, though. Stay safe everyone!!


1,227 posted on 09/12/2008 3:45:55 PM PDT by samiam1972 ("It is a poverty to decide that a child must die so that you may live as you wish."-Mother Teresa)
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To: Mad Dawgg

They have grounded all the helicopters flying in the Galveston area. Wayne Delcifino said they rescued/evacuated 94 people.


1,228 posted on 09/12/2008 3:47:23 PM PDT by Jaded ("Eloquence is no substitute for experience" -Joe Lieberman)
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To: Jaded

Oy. Hope they have some life vests.


1,229 posted on 09/12/2008 3:47:48 PM PDT by lainie
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To: AFPhys; nwctwx; dirtboy; NautiNurse

Galveston mayor says stay put for Ike
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/tx/5998272.html

GALVESTON, Texas — Galveston officials say it’s too late to leave before Hurricane Ike blasts ashore because it’s no longer safe to leave the island city.

Mayor Lyda Ann Thomas said Friday that many residents had left the city after the mandatory evacuation order, but that now the winds are too strong for anyone trying to drive over the causeway to the mainland. She advised residents still there to stay in their homes and ride the storm out.


1,230 posted on 09/12/2008 3:48:06 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Mad Dawgg; All
50 Foot is just waaay too high. I would think we would have to be Cat 5 or above for that kind of surge

Correct me if I am wrong. I had read St. Bernard Parish had a 64 ft wave during Katrina. Surge along with waves could do this. It is not about Cat 2 or Cat 5, it is about the pressure.
1,231 posted on 09/12/2008 3:48:48 PM PDT by mstar
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To: metmom
She advised residents still there to stay in their homes and ride the storm out.

She might also want to suggest writing their social security numbers on their arms.

1,232 posted on 09/12/2008 3:49:30 PM PDT by dfwgator ( Go OSU, beat USC!)
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To: deport

That 2nd picture was listed as a ‘joke’ on yahoo photos. The photographer was in a specific point to make it look bad and the guy was holding himself up.


1,233 posted on 09/12/2008 3:49:42 PM PDT by Patriotic1 (Dic mihi solum facta, domina - Just the facts, ma'am)
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To: sweet_diane

I don’t know how to board up. So, what if I get some broken windows? THings get wet. I have to block it off as best I can. I think I will not get broken window. And, like I say, I don’t know how to do it. I just got amazing siding and andersen replacement windows put in. How would I attach boards without damaging them? I’m serious, I don’t know how to do it. I don’t think I have the tools. And it looks like an awful lot of work.

If anybody wants to hold forth on the joys of boarding up, it might be good for me.


1,234 posted on 09/12/2008 3:49:51 PM PDT by ichabod1 (It's all fun and games until Russia starts invading Eastern Europe (pete))
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To: Patriotic1

KPRC showing flooding in San Leon, near Texas City with residents wondering what they should do...never seen flooding like this.


1,235 posted on 09/12/2008 3:50:30 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: metmom

They are committed by now. I believe that sections of the bridge off the island is under water at 10 ft ... the discussion at 5PM said it was already up to 9ft.


1,236 posted on 09/12/2008 3:52:13 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Xenalyte

All’s quiet on the San Felipe & Nantucket front.

Will keep you posted if anything changes.

Off to oil the guns now.


1,237 posted on 09/12/2008 3:53:07 PM PDT by bayouranger (The 1st victim of islam is the person who practices the lie.)
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To: BurbankKarl

Hooters Galveston has had roof blown off.....pier footings underneath are loosening from surf.


1,238 posted on 09/12/2008 3:53:35 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: 1066AD

Thanks for the Link to story on Hurricane Camille. It is a good read.


1,239 posted on 09/12/2008 3:54:27 PM PDT by topher (Let us return to old-fashioned morality - morality that has stood the test of time...)
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To: BurbankKarl
Hooters Galveston has had roof blown off

The first topless Hooters!

1,240 posted on 09/12/2008 3:54:42 PM PDT by JennysCool (A man who served his country well vs. a walking Che poster. Is it really that tough a choice?)
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