Posted on 09/23/2008 9:29:44 PM PDT by tlb
Democrat Takes 52-43 Lead Among Likely Voters, Erases Republican's Post-Palin Pick Gains
Barack Obama has seized the reins of economic discontent, vaulting over John McCain's convention gains by persuading voters he both better understands their economic troubles and can better address them.
In a head-to-head-match-up he's now supported by 52 percent of likely voters vs. McCain's 43 percent, the first significant advantage for either candidate among likely voters in ABC/Post polls.
Add third-party candidates Ralph Nader and Bob Barr and it's essentially the same, 51-43 percent.
The contest has shifted from a 49-47 percent McCain-Obama race immediately after the Republican convention.
McCain's bounce -- on individual issues and attributes as well as in overall preference -- is gone.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
ABC, enough said
ABC = All But Communist
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
People are stupid. They think the current crisis was caused by the “free market.” Barrack is stupid. He thinks the crisis was caused by “trickle-down economics.” They deserve eachother.
52% is largest ever, right? WOW
you have to be kidding....
Sure. Obama’s economic policy: Free lunch, free beer for all. Only the rich must pay their share.
‘tis ABC...
Let’s see how many of them sober up or take the trouble to vote though.
many polls indicate what the democrats
hope
will happen.
obamao is mr. hopeless.
Partisanship has not significantly changed. Among registered voters 38 percent in this
poll identify themselves as Democrats, 28 percent as Republicans and 29 percent as
independents. That’s very similar to what it was in the last ABC/Post poll – 36-28-32
percent – the previous one, and indeed the average all year, 38-28-30 percent. What’s
changed, instead, is the preference among independents, one of those swing voter groups
to watch closely in the next 40 days.
METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone
Sept. 19-22, 2008, among a random sample of 1,082 adults, including an oversample of
African Americans (weighted to their correct share of the national population), for a total
of 163 black respondents. Results among the 916 registered voters surveyed have a 3-
point error margin; among the 780 likely voters, 3.5-points. Sampling, data collection and
tabulation by TNS of Horsham, PA.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
38% D, 28% R, the rest Independents....also stated that they “oversampled” blacks to better represent their percentage in the voting population ( I don’t have a clue as to what this means)....
Sample with 28% GOP? lol.
Look at the dates the poll was taken 9/19-22. This is old news from last week when Obama got a bump from the economic news. That has pretty much dissipated, plus it’s an ABC/WP poll. 38% Dem, 28% Rep and 29% Ind????
The debates can’t get here fast enough. McCain needs to do well to shift the momentum back in his favor.
Is this supposed to be a national poll? Hilarious. Where do they get these numbers? Battleground has John McCain +1 and Rassmussen tie. This polling reminds me of the exit polling in 2004. LIES, LIES, LIES. I take Rasmussen’s polls seriously, most everyone else is posturing for Obama.
Too bad the Republicans are too weak and cowardly to fight back properly.
So he is slightly over 50%, that lead can diminish quickly especially if McCain does well in the economic debate happening in October. If I am correct this is nothing special. This is what the polls, for better or for worse, have been telling us about how people think the economy should be handled for a while, I think that was even claimed in 2004. I think that there is sort of a psychology that explains it but only 9 points ahead? Than the MOE accounts for at least three points, so it might be only 6 points ahead shifting Obama back to the 40%. It also seems like 5% are undecided if this isn’t an even 100% when adding the two. So in all details, this lead can be utterly destroyed.
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