FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics: Zero - 47%, hero - 44%

FoxNews ^ | 10/30/08

[Thane_Banquo]

As the candidates make their closing arguments before the election, the race has tightened with Barack Obama now leading John McCain by 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters, according to a FOX News poll released Thursday. Last week Obama led by 49-40 percent among likely voters.

Obama has a bit more strength of support going into the final week. Among his backers, 88 percent say they support him "strongly" and 12 percent "only somewhat." For McCain, 78 percent of his voters support him "strongly" and 22 percent "only somewhat."

In addition, 66 percent of Obama's supporters say it is "extremely important" to them that their candidate wins compared to 59 percent of McCain supporters.

The race has tightened in part because of changes in a couple of important swing voting groups. Independents back Obama by 5 percentage points today, down from a 9-point edge last week. Similarly, among white Catholics, Obama held an 11-point edge over McCain last week and today they split 46-46.

[perfect_rovian_storm]

This is right on target. We go into election day with these numbers, we’ll win.

[frogjerk]

Similarly, among white Catholics, Obama held an 11-point edge over McCain last week and today they split 46-46.

Thank you Bishops! Please keep firing away now and this Sunday, hard!

[se_ohio_young_conservative]

I believe Gallup and Ras have not changed as much as they have been ROUNDED DOWN. statistical noise. Scott Rasmussen was on FOX this morning and he gave me that impression.

this looks about right. and on track with Battleground, Rasmussen, Gallup, and IBD/TIPP.

we are within 5.

[rwfromkansas]

Other polls are showing a tightening today due to the infomercial. So, I have no doubt if Fox has another poll tomorrow, it will push Obama up again.

But, it should be temporary, at least I hope.

[frogjerk]

VOTE PRO-LIFE!

[goldstategop]

I agree. Obama is getting close to the true numbers. He peaked at 49 and he's down to 47%. Sounds about right - that's less than what Kerry got in 2004 and what he'll get come Election Night.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[LegalEagle61]

MCCain camp is saying that is about in line with their internals...we will win this! We have God watching our backs and a building momentum, we have to win!

[tatown]

Fantastic news!

[Perdogg]

ping

[Oldsailor]

Many of us can take these numbers as some comfort that this is still very doable for McCain.

[bharrin742]

Approximately 10% undecided?? That leaves JSM with plenty of slack to make up the difference down the stretch...

[scooby321]

I still think they are enough PUMA's Reagan democrats to cross the finish line.

These polls are so off base. I see 1 says Pa. is 14 points another 4. Same one has the one up by 9 in Ohio while most have McCain winning Ohio.

[Old Retired Army Guy]

IBD has it down to O by 1.1%.

[RoseofTexas]

post the numbers don’t just tell us Ozero is down1.1%!!

[tatown]

Thanks for the ping!

[perfect_rovian_storm]

I think the spread matters less than where the numbers are. What matters is that Zero is well under 50%.

Even if we’re down 8 points, if he’s at 47%, we will win. It has happened with him over and over again.

I question any poll that has Zero at or above 50%.

[pgkdan]

Weren't they at like 13% last week? It's all Brit and his 'Allstars' could talk about the night it came out. That was the night I decided I'd had it with those losers and stopped watching them. There was good news that night from Zogby, AP, and others and all they talked about was their poll and some other poll taht seemed to validate their numbers.

The proof that they were running bull sh*t polls is that it's closing right on schedule. I expect this crap from ABCNBCCBS but expected more from Fox. Guess I was wrong.

[hoe_cake]

I am hopeful.

I look forward to tuning into FR at the office every morning, just to keep my spirits afloat.

[goldstategop]

They will break for McCain. If Obama had the election wrapped up, there would be very FEW undecideds. The opposite is the truth here and they're just not sold on him.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus