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With Mitt in the lead, anti-Romney Republicans weigh their options
The Hill ^ | February 4, 2012 | Niall Stanage

Posted on 02/04/2012 3:31:39 PM PST by Clintonfatigued

Those who continue to believe that Romney can be stopped are focused — as is the campaign of Newt Gingrich — on the possibility of a long delegate fight. They have largely given up hope of anyone winning a knockout victory over Romney, hoping instead that some other candidate can prevent the former Massachusetts governor from wrapping the race up before the Republican National Convention, which is set for Tampa, Fla., in late August.

“We have never gone through a delegate fight like this,” said Bob Vander Plaats, an influential conservative and the head of the Iowa-based Family Leader organization. “You need around 600 delegates to win, and I think that will be very difficult for Gov. Romney.”

Vander Plaats added that the reason Gingrich has been emphasizing that there are 46 states to go in the contest is because “he can do the math”.

Similar themes are sounded by prominent conservatives in the media. Erick Erickson of Red State wrote Thursday that the fact that many states award their delegates proportionally, rather than on a winner-take-all basis, could play to Gingrich’s advantage.

“If Gingrich is serious about staying in till the convention, he could deny Romney a first ballot win and spare the base from the man they don’t like, even if Newt himself cannot get the nomination. He is more of a long shot today than he was a day before Florida, but he can still be the nominee,” Erickson wrote.

(Excerpt) Read more at ...

TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bobvanderplaats; delegates; dothemath; electoralmath; gingrich; math; newt; newtgingrich; plaats; vanderplaats
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To: Clintonfatigued

If Romney wins the nomination I pray that some brave conservative true-blooded American will run as an independent.

41 posted on 02/04/2012 7:09:58 PM PST by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

“If that can be achieved, than maybe a compromise candidate can emerge.”

Possible but unlikely. I think it more likely that 2 or 3 way deal will be made. Try this on for size:

- Mitt gets the nomination.
- Rick gets V.P.
- Ron gets a couple of planks in the platform and either the Fed chairmanship or his choice of who gets it.

42 posted on 02/04/2012 7:13:05 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Rand Paul for President 2016 (FR still rocks!!))
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To: katiedidit1; Clintonfatigued

“...and many Gingrich supporters find Santorum to be almost as bad as Romney.”

And most Paul supporters can’t see much difference between the three of them.

43 posted on 02/04/2012 7:17:57 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Rand Paul for President 2016 (FR still rocks!!))
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To: Fiji Hill
The only way Romney can unite the party if he is the nominee is to pick a genuine conservative as a running mate and then pretend to be a conservative as Nixon did in 1968 and 1972, and as Bush did in 1988.

I would never vote Romney. I don't care who his running mate may be. He represents the embodiment of everything I hate about pandering politicians, not to mention he is a liberal. I despise the man.

44 posted on 02/04/2012 7:24:30 PM PST by EagleInGA (Mittens & the NJ Fat Man? Really?!?!)
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To: BossLady

“...and she said that people forget Ron Paul has quite a few delegates that will NEVER go for Romney and this may swing toward keeping him out. Getting Ron Paul more delegates may be the best way to keep this goofball from the nomination and also a way to let the GOP know Americans want more than Obamney. It’s an interesting idea....”

I’m a Paul supporter. One of the few who openly posts FR these days it seems. And I’ll tell you what I think: I think that they’ll make a deal. Keep in mind that most ideologues are as willing as anyone else to make a deal. It’s just that their price is a lot higher.

I think that supporting Ron Paul makes sense from the strategic perspective of getting a whole heck of a lot more out of any deal if and when one is made. They aren’t going to sell out their base for 30 pieces of silver.

45 posted on 02/04/2012 7:32:17 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Rand Paul for President 2016 (FR still rocks!!))
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To: NavyCanDo
That's what we all need to pray for again this time - a very wise choice of a VEEP.

Because a good VP pick does what in an administration?

46 posted on 02/04/2012 7:38:11 PM PST by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: RKBA Democrat
I am in NV and watching the local count here. We are not a 'winner take all' state so the delgates will be divided up amongst the candidates. I am not a registered 'R' so I cannot vote in the caucus/primary. Unfortunately, there are a lot of Independents and Libertarians here who dont get their say because they wont be forced into registering as an 'R'.

There is talk a lot that people did not even show up to this caucus in NV because of the utter nightmare in 2008.... with the horrible unorganized situation, people waiting around for hours for instruction on what they were supposed to do etc.

Word is too that the Orthodox Jews and the Seventh Day Adventists are holding their caucus right now at the Addleson Center in LV. Since its their sabbath, the caucus decided to let them hold it later in the day.

Just in - Washoe County -

Obamney 42%

Gingrich 28%

Paul 17%

Santorum 9%

47 posted on 02/04/2012 7:59:25 PM PST by BossLady (Where There's A Shill...There's A Pay.......)
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To: Right_in_Virginia; dfwddr; rodneyd; Devman; J. Austin Becton; Tes2fy; republican4sure; slowbeam; ...
Are “write-in” votes counted in Virginia? In Tennessee they are and some other states also. Was wondering if Virginia happens to be one of them.

Newt is not on the ballot in some of the Tennessee counties, but the voters there can help by petitioning their County Sup. of Elections to get him on the ballot...OR getting the word out that “write-in” votes are counted. Then in the counties where Newt is not on the ballot, his name can be written in. That is my understanding, but if I am wrong I hope a TN Freeper will let me know.

48 posted on 02/04/2012 8:01:41 PM PST by seekthetruth (I want a Commander In Chief who honors and supports our Military!)
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To: CommerceComet
"A conservative VP is only for show to those who are dumb enough to believe that he or she would have any influence in a Romney Administration."

This says a lot about the typical voter who uses such pitiful superficial reasons to support a candidate for President. What give me so much concern is how easy it is to throw out misinformation and how many eat it up as fact. There is so much misinformation out there on both Newt and Romney and I am worried that both have not yet been able to figure out how to counter it before the dim-wits eat it up and call it manna. This situation will be worse when the Obama machine starts blowing it out with $billion horse power with the American voter so willing to lap up that swill off the ground.

Whether the nominee is Newt or Willard, they had better get their communication techniques ready for prime time. Their performance in this area has our freedom at stake.

49 posted on 02/04/2012 8:07:30 PM PST by jonrick46 (Countdown to 11-06-2012)
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To: Clintonfatigued

If Romney is the Republican candidate, I will stay home on election day. There is no difference between him and Obama.

50 posted on 02/04/2012 8:09:47 PM PST by Library Lady
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To: Clintonfatigued

Don’t support Newt. He would lose big among women voters.

51 posted on 02/04/2012 8:21:31 PM PST by Paleo Conservative
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To: lwoodham
One way to look at we want Obama for four more years and teach the GOP elites that the voters matter, or do we want Romney for 8 years. We are F’ed either way.

As Yogi Berra would have put it, this seems like Déjà vu all over again.

In 1986, California's über-liberal Democratic Senator Alan Cranston seemed vulnerable. But of the 12 or so Republican candidates, 11 were conservative, and only one, Rep. Ed Zschau, was liberal. Although conservatives dominated the California GOP at the time, the 11 conservatives split up the vote, and Zschau (as in Mao) won with about a third of the votes. Because there was no runoff, Zschau got the nomination.

This placed conservatives in a dilemma. Much as they hated Cranston, Zschau's voting record was very similar--for one thing, he was pro-abortion and rabidly anti-military. Another factor was that Cranston, due to his age, would likely serve only one more term, whereas Zschau, being young, would likely become a liberal fixture in the Senate--like Clifford Case (R-NJ) or Jake "the snake" Javits (R-NY)--and being a Republican, he would face no serious GOP challenger. We conservatives found ourselves screwed either way. I wound up voting third party, and a friend whose views are to the right of my own voted for Cranston.

In the end, Cranston narrowly won.

52 posted on 02/04/2012 8:26:39 PM PST by Fiji Hill
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To: Clintonfatigued

The only way to stop Romney is for Santorum to drop out, endorse Newt, and get the VP nod in exchange. Additionally, massive amounts of money needs to flow into his campaign.

53 posted on 02/04/2012 8:33:52 PM PST by MattinNJ (I will not vote for Romney)
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To: Regulator

“Just think. The first American presidential race in history where neither candidate is a Christian.”

If it’s Romney against Obama it will be and the media will inform us that a poll has been taken and only thirteen percent correctly answered that BOTH Obama and Romney are Christians. At the same time they will tell us that unemployment is down to six percent and pink Unicorns are almost as plentiful as pink plastic Flamingos.

54 posted on 02/04/2012 8:44:11 PM PST by RipSawyer
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To: Fiji Hill

Barbara Boxer and Diane Feinstein thank you. You should add that Republicans have never stood a better chance in California since. About 26 years ago. Hey lets do this on a national level, that way we can also lose them all for a quarter of a century. It seems we are determined to bite off our nose in order to spite our face. I have a better idea, why don’t we just win this November with whoever wins the nomination and then take it from there.

55 posted on 02/04/2012 8:59:30 PM PST by gusty
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To: Regulator

Just think. The first American presidential race in history where neither candidate is a Christian.

Just think,(first time also),that we have a man whose running that thinks he is going to become a god vs. a man who thinks he is a god. Dear God help us.

56 posted on 02/04/2012 9:06:07 PM PST by make no mistake
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To: Fiji Hill

WE FELL FOR THAT LAST TIME!!!!! Sarah is the ONLY reason we

57 posted on 02/04/2012 9:27:50 PM PST by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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To: Paleo Conservative

I am a woman and Romney makes my skin crawl, he is a sleazy car
salesman PLAIN AND SIMPLE!!!! I am not that crazy about Newt
but I lived through the media destruction of Newt. GO NEWT!!!!!!

58 posted on 02/04/2012 9:35:11 PM PST by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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To: Sola Veritas

Not even if Sarah Palin was his VP? Hmmmm That’s the kind of logic that got us Obama in the first place. The kind of logic that had my Precinct Committee Officer Write-In his own name on the 2008 ballot.

59 posted on 02/04/2012 9:41:02 PM PST by NavyCanDo
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To: Right_in_Virginia

RP will get my vote in VA.

60 posted on 02/04/2012 9:45:52 PM PST by gathersnomoss
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