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Zogby: Obama's Slip in Polls Shows True Mood of Electorate
Forbes ^ | 3/14/2012 | John Zogby

Posted on 03/14/2012 1:54:04 PM PDT by presidio9

Just when Barack Obama might have been feeling comfortable about his re-election, two major polls found his approval rating taking a dip and both Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum gaining on him. So what’s going on?

The real aberration may have been the recent rise in Obama’s approval rating and the margins he held over the top GOP candidates. Looking at the Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of polls, Obama’s approval rating went into negative range (more disapprove than approve) in July 2010 and briefly went positive in May 2011 after Navy Seals killed Osama bin Laden. The spread then quickly went to as much as 10 points negative in August. Upward movement began near the end of 2011 and peaked at a positive one or two points last month.

Now, with the CBS/New York Times poll showing Obama’s approval at negative six and the ABC/Washington Post poll at negative four, the RCP average is less than one point to the negative. (Note that Gallup’s daily tracking reported through this past weekend has Obama’s approval at a positive six points and a Reuters/Ipsos poll released yesterday had his approval at 50%.)

In match-ups with Romney, Obama’s lead in the RCP average has dropped from statistically significant margins to less than three points. (ABC/Washington Post has Romney ahead by two.) The President’s lead over Santorum has also slipped, but is still a healthy six points.

Looking at the big picture, realize how closely the nation is divided politically. The 2000 and 2004 Presidential elections were both very close. Each of the last three national elections (2006, 2008 and 2010) turned the party in power out of control of either Congress or the Presidency. Given the state of the nation and the size of the 2010 Republican victory,

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012polls; elections; nobama2012; obama

1 posted on 03/14/2012 1:54:06 PM PDT by presidio9
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To: presidio9

Of course the Republicans are looking bad right now, with the primaries making everyone of them look bad, but I suspect that once a candidate is decided, he will poll even stronger against Obama. Then it will be up to the MSM to bring him down.


2 posted on 03/14/2012 1:59:05 PM PDT by Paradox (I want Obama defeated. Period.)
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To: presidio9

BHOSHRINK


3 posted on 03/14/2012 1:59:17 PM PDT by FrankR
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To: presidio9

One can’t help but wonder somewhat persistently just how many people in these polls say they’re for Obama because it’s politically correct, then hang up the phone thinking, “Another term for that Bozo? Never!”


4 posted on 03/14/2012 2:00:03 PM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: presidio9

If Obama had any sense to begin with, he would have been worried about his reelection before his inauguration. It’s too late now.


5 posted on 03/14/2012 2:02:09 PM PDT by pallis
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To: presidio9

It’s a state by state war.

And while Baraq can accumulate large popular vote margins in NY and Cal, the battle will be won in Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, NC, and Va.

(I’m already putting Indiana in the “flipped” column).


6 posted on 03/14/2012 2:03:36 PM PDT by nascarnation
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To: Jack Hammer
The only way a negative six incumbent wins is if the other side fails to give the electorate a clear choice: Mitt Romney, for example.
7 posted on 03/14/2012 2:03:45 PM PDT by presidio9 (catholicscomehome.org)
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To: presidio9

i continue to shake my head in amazement how such a pathetic human being was elevated to the highest office in the land, and how so many drones will vote to keep him there.


8 posted on 03/14/2012 2:04:07 PM PDT by Marathoner (Obama has his own 9-9-9-plan: $9.99 a gallon at the pump.)
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To: presidio9

My sweetest dream is where I’m transported back to the time when I had to go vote for either Jimmah, or Reagan.

The excitement for Reagan, the level of disgust (utter and pure) with Jimmah, and hearing complete agreement standing in line with virtually EVERY voter.

My most delicious, sweetest dream is that of Obama replacing Jimmah.....the Tsunami, the 1000 foot wave of voter disgust engulfing black racism, white guilt, liberal idiocy, independent selfishness, and MSM treachery...

That’s my dream...


9 posted on 03/14/2012 2:07:27 PM PDT by Gaffer
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To: presidio9

Sigh....

I hope...

Oh, never mind. It’s just too depressing to think about.


10 posted on 03/14/2012 2:07:51 PM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: presidio9; onyx; ntnychik; dixiechick2000

11 posted on 03/14/2012 2:10:40 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hussein: Islamo-Commie from Kenya)
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To: Jack Hammer
I have an aunt in Marin County, California. She is a sweet, lovely lady, but her politics are typical Marin County. She's my mother's younger sister so they talk almost daily.

She's gone from being one of ObaMao's strongest supporters in 2008 to absolutely can't stand the guy now. She tells Mom that she will vote for either Romney or Santorum this year, maybe even Gingrich if it comes down to it.

I pray that there are millions more like her.

12 posted on 03/14/2012 2:16:35 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Vigilanteman

“I pray that there are millions more like her.”

You and me both.


13 posted on 03/14/2012 2:18:42 PM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: Gaffer
From your heart to God's ears . . .

I also pray that Obama has a long life and post presidency just like Jimbo and every time he opens his pie hole, he reminds the current generation of what fools they were. Just as Jimbo does to those of my generation.

14 posted on 03/14/2012 2:20:18 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: PhilDragoo

NEWT, the one to take it to him. The one with the clear message and plan to fix America. The one who already has obama backtracking and dropping in the polls.
NEWT = $2.50 Gas


15 posted on 03/14/2012 2:21:51 PM PDT by duffee (NEWT 2012)
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To: presidio9

I was once interviewed by the Gallup Poll. It was in 1976 and I was living in northern Virginia (suburban D.C.). I remember the year because Carter was running against Ford. I was so pissed off at Ford for being such a RINO (sound familiar?) that I told them I’d vote for Carter even though I had no intention of voting for Carter. I figured I was talking for millions of people and Ford needed a wake-up call.

So, yes, I am partly responsible. I’m sorry. :(


16 posted on 03/14/2012 2:23:47 PM PDT by Da Bilge Troll (Defeatism is not a winning strategy!)
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To: presidio9

The Sheep have realized how badly they got fleeced in 2008.


17 posted on 03/14/2012 2:27:31 PM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: Jack Hammer

I have been tempted to say that I approve of BO’s job just to throw them off but have never actually done it.


18 posted on 03/14/2012 2:31:45 PM PDT by dandiegirl
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To: Vigilanteman

I’m from Georgia..back in 76 before the election, I’d mustered out and returned home after 8 years overseas.

Got a job for $150/week, with a wife and baby. It was hard then. I remember waking up the day after the election and hearing Jimmy won. There was never a time in the military when I felt so deflated.

I also remember scrimping for gas to go to college on the GI bill, my wife working in a bakery for minimum wage and having to be Charlie Hustle for three straight hard years of school. We lived through Jimmy and eventually won - not lucky, we won because of hard work and the votes of my generation against that bastard.

Fast forward a buttload of years - I (we,and my family) do okay - very well - I just bought my minimum wage bride a new Explorer that cost more than I ever thought to make in the military, and then some. She takes our grand daughters everywhere in it.

We’ve got another bastard in charge - it is time to do something about him.


19 posted on 03/14/2012 2:34:28 PM PDT by Gaffer
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To: PhilDragoo

Excellent graphic!


20 posted on 03/14/2012 2:35:27 PM PDT by samtheman
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To: presidio9; All

Today’s RECORD HIGH Gas Prices remind the Sheeple just how stupid and gullible they were in 2008, to have fallen for all the Obama hype and bullsh*t.

They are angry at getting played.


21 posted on 03/14/2012 2:37:58 PM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: tcrlaf
Today’s RECORD HIGH Gas Prices remind the Sheeple just how stupid and gullible they were in 2008, to have fallen for all the Obama hype and bullsh*t.

Just wait and see what happens if Netanyahu decides that he can't wait until the second week of November to strike Iran (and last week he sounded very much like he had no intention of waiting). Even if the attack is successful (a big "if" without our participation), gas prices in this country will certainly double until we are able to take control of Hormuz.

Reports of added jobs and stock market gains are nice, but Israel is the elephant in the room when it comes to forcasting our long term economic fortune.

22 posted on 03/14/2012 2:44:09 PM PDT by presidio9 (catholicscomehome.org)
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To: presidio9

Ok, one more time;

SEALS not Seals. It matters.


23 posted on 03/14/2012 2:44:58 PM PDT by Coastie (CPO retired)
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To: Da Bilge Troll

Apology accepted, but not so fast. Please tell us you didn’t vote for Ross, too. (I’m kidding. But I can’t find anyone who voted for Perot who will admit she or he did.)


24 posted on 03/14/2012 2:49:04 PM PDT by righttackle44 (I may not be much, but I raised a United States Marine.)
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To: presidio9
On election day Nov. 2012, many voters will visit their nearby gas stations and buy some gas before they head on to their voting sites.

If gas prices are $5 or more a gallon at the gas pump on that Nov. 2012 election day, many voters will leave the gas station very angry as they head on to their voting sites and enter their voting booths.

These voters who just spent a lot of money buying a few gallons of gas at their nearby gas stations may take out their anger and frustration in the voting booth by voting against Obama.

25 posted on 03/14/2012 2:56:07 PM PDT by john mirse
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To: presidio9

Who hates which candidate the most will determine the election. So lets start thinking about who to hate.


26 posted on 03/14/2012 3:01:16 PM PDT by FreedBird
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To: Gaffer
Fast forward a buttload of years - I (we,and my family) do okay - very well - I just bought my minimum wage bride a new Explorer that cost more than I ever thought to make in the military, and then some. She takes our grand daughters everywhere in it.

We’ve got another bastard in charge - it is time to do something about him.

*********

How much does it cost you to fill up that Explorer?

I would like to have one, but I think that these high gas prices will kill me at the pump if I had to fill up one of those fine Explorers.

27 posted on 03/14/2012 3:01:44 PM PDT by john mirse
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To: presidio9

I just read on Yahoo that Obama Mohamed beats all of our candidates. Hmm Projection any one?


28 posted on 03/14/2012 3:02:01 PM PDT by crazydad
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To: presidio9
It's the vetting! People are finally starting to understand who they elected.


29 posted on 03/14/2012 3:04:15 PM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Jack Hammer

“One can’t help but wonder somewhat persistently just how many people in these polls say they’re for Obama because it’s politically correct, then hang up the phone thinking, “Another term for that Bozo? Never!””

Methinks you are dreaming.

In 2008 a bunch of people on FR claimed that people were lying to pollsters and BO would lose big.


30 posted on 03/14/2012 3:05:14 PM PDT by webstersII
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To: Paradox

What are you talking about? What do we look bad? Why put a negative comment like that on one of the few ‘feel good’ threads going? Help - I really don’t understand.


31 posted on 03/14/2012 3:16:02 PM PDT by GOPJ (Democrat-Media Complex - buried stories and distorted facts... freeper 'andrew' Breitbart)
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To: Paradox

What are you talking about? Why do we look bad? Why put a negative comment like that on one of the few ‘feel good’ threads going? Help - I really don’t understand.


32 posted on 03/14/2012 3:16:38 PM PDT by GOPJ (Democrat-Media Complex - buried stories and distorted facts... freeper 'andrew' Breitbart)
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To: Jack Hammer
just how many people in these polls say they’re for Obama because it’s politically correct, then hang up the phone thinking, “Another term for that Bozo? Never!”

Amazingly, a number of people that SHOULD be intelligent enough to see through this marxist clown, STILL support him!

33 posted on 03/14/2012 3:17:17 PM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Psalm 109:8 Let his days be few and let another take his office. - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: john mirse

You know? I took my wife over to the Ford place here in town because I had a hankering to replace an old BMW that I got tired of spending a buttload on for life-supporting oxygen and such.

I thought the top of the line Taurus was nice - she drove it and said “nice”...she was eyeing this behemoth Explorer that cost a full $10K more and asked the salesman to drive it.

That was it - I was sunk. The Explorer. The most expensive bells and whistles car I ever bought - even the $40K BMW I bought her in 1997.

Gas tank is smaller (24 Gallons vs. my F150 26 gallons)...figure $75/tank for it, I guess. If you have children, or grandchildren like we do, safety and confidence are worth more than cost.


34 posted on 03/14/2012 3:18:25 PM PDT by Gaffer
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To: presidio9

We can’t stand the anti American, country ruining, marxist bunghole.

Sooner this grifter is turned out the back door past the garbage cans, the better.


35 posted on 03/14/2012 3:22:36 PM PDT by dforest
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Comment #36 Removed by Moderator

To: Jack Hammer

I was at a party talking to an elderly woman who kept ranting to me about Obama, what an idiot, worst president ever, etc. Her daughter came up to me and said, “Don’t listen to her, she voted for Obama.” The woman gave me a sheepish look, she actually looked ashamed.


37 posted on 03/14/2012 3:37:31 PM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: presidio9

An article like this from the Democrat Zogby is telling.


38 posted on 03/14/2012 4:18:37 PM PDT by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: GOPJ
Perhaps I came across too negative. MSM coverage of the Republicans as about the infighting, which is to be expected, so the Republicans are going to look as bad as they are ever going to, RIGHT NOW. After we get our nominee, things should actually get BETTER for the GOP. I predict the nominee will eventually poll even better against Obama, at least until the MSM does there thing and tries to drag him down.

What I am saying is this, if Obama looks this bad now, with the Republicans at a low point in the public eye, its going to get WORSE for him in the future. So that is a GOOD thing!

39 posted on 03/14/2012 4:55:46 PM PDT by Paradox (I want Obama defeated. Period.)
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To: Gaffer
Everybody who lived through the Carter years has a story to tell. I got up before 7 a.m. and parked my car six blocks from my downtown place of employment so I could save on parking and get to my first place of employment by 8 a.m. Worked until 1 or 2 p.m. when I drove to campus for classes which ran until 5:30 p.m. The business owner was an alumni of the campus I attended so was flexible to accommodate my afternoon classes-- lucky me! When classes ended, I drove like crazy so I could report to my 2nd job's evening shift by 6 p.m. which ran until half past midnight. I ate out of a paper bag and changed clothes on the way. The only thing which kept me sane was Ronald Reagan's radio show on the drive over. I'd get home at 1 a.m., hit the sack (or eat if I was hungry) and repeat next day.

When these ObaMao morons start whining about how they need more help from the government, I feel like smacking them on their ass.

40 posted on 03/14/2012 7:23:37 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Da Bilge Troll
But Ford carried Virginia in 1976.

Ford lost in the electoral college 297-240. Ohio then had 25 electoral votes and Wisconsin had 11 electoral votes. Ford lost Ohio by 11 thousand votes and lost Wisconsin by less than 36 thousand. So 50,000 more votes in those two states and Ford would have won. And Iran would not be run by an ayatollah and a nut job.

41 posted on 03/14/2012 8:38:28 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Coastie

SEALS not Seals. It matters.

Not to be confused with the "real" Navy seals, who are also pretty badass.

42 posted on 03/14/2012 9:42:06 PM PDT by presidio9 (catholicscomehome.org)
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To: FrankR

Caption to your posted image of The Obamanator:

“DE DRONE! DE DRONE!

Welcome to Fantasy Obamanation!”


43 posted on 03/14/2012 9:49:51 PM PDT by Graewoulf (( obama"care" violates the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND is illegal by the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: presidio9

If “ - - - The economy is on a slow and steady upward swing. - - - , “ then is that because there is hope that The Obamanator will be defeated in November?


44 posted on 03/14/2012 9:55:27 PM PDT by Graewoulf (( obama"care" violates the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND is illegal by the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: dead

” - - - It’s the vetting! People are finally starting to understand who they elected.”

One story is that Bill Ayers Mom introduced her son to Obama as a FOREIGN STUDENT.

Any truth to that story?


45 posted on 03/14/2012 10:04:40 PM PDT by Graewoulf (( obama"care" violates the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND is illegal by the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: Graewoulf
I actually used that same "theme" a while back with this one...


Fantasy


46 posted on 03/14/2012 10:11:35 PM PDT by FrankR
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To: FrankR

Thanks! I somehow missed your original thread.

Never let it be said that The Obamanator has every accepted responsibility for anything that has failed.

Ahhhhhh, life on the Fantasy Obamanation - - - - .


47 posted on 03/15/2012 6:04:37 AM PDT by Graewoulf (( obama"care" violates the 1890 Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND is illegal by the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: Verginius Rufus
But Ford carried Virginia in 1976.

That makes me feel a little better - I've carried this guilt for so long! Alas, though, the media did not know where my response came from and my horrible, horrible lie may have influenced people in other states! :(

48 posted on 03/15/2012 1:03:18 PM PDT by Da Bilge Troll (Defeatism is not a winning strategy!)
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To: righttackle44
Apology accepted, but not so fast. Please tell us you didn’t vote for Ross, too. (I’m kidding. But I can’t find anyone who voted for Perot who will admit she or he did.)

Perot? That idiot? Hell no!

But I know for a fact my looney sister did twice. She even circulated petitions for the jerk.

49 posted on 03/15/2012 1:11:44 PM PDT by Da Bilge Troll (Defeatism is not a winning strategy!)
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