Skip to comments.Romney opens up 7-point lead over Obama, as electoral map begins to shift
Posted on 10/18/2012 2:40:47 PM PDT by Ron C.
Mitt Romney's national lead over President Obama grew even more Thursday, with the latest Gallup survey showing the Republican nominee up 7 points -- as polling in the battlegrounds indicates the electoral map may be shifting in Romney's favor.
In a significant development, the RealClearPolitics electoral map, which offers predictions of which states favor which candidates, for the first time is showing Romney ahead in terms of electoral votes he is likely to win on Nov. 6.
Obama had a big advantage over Romney for months in those projections. But in the past few weeks, states thought to favor Obama like New Hampshire and Pennsylvania were moved into the "toss-up" column. Meanwhile, RCP just moved North Carolina from "toss up" to "leans Romney." The projections -- while subject to change any time of any day -- show Romney with a likely 206 electoral votes and Obama with 201. That leaves another 131 electoral votes up for grabs in the battlegrounds.
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From your lips to the Imam's ears:
NO Cheers, unfortunately.
Let's hope it become much more than that!
shb ‘Let’s hope it becomes much more than that!’
Obama had a big advantage over Romney for months in those projections. But in the past few weeks, states thought to favor Obama like New Hampshire and Pennsylvania were moved into the “toss-up” column. Meanwhile, RCP just moved North Carolina from “toss up” to “leans Romney.”
New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, North Carolina. Why do all these “good news” polls keep ignoring Ohio? Romney loses Ohio, thats it. Game over. Four more years of obama.
I really can't see how Obama is going to win Ohio. A relative of mine lives there and says that all she sees is Romney/Ryan signs - NO Obama signs at all. (But, she's in the 'burbs')
Do a lot of dead folks vote in Cleveland?
More than likely - they do in almost every state - particularly in CA, most prominently in Los Angeles.
“When Romney wins, THERE WILL BE RIOTS. That is a GIVEN!!! I fully and totally expect riots in the black ghetto’s. The bros will be raging that the racists were against the bro. COUNT on it. It is going to happen.”
The irony is that it will occur during Obama’s tenure, and it will be his administration that has to use force to quell the violence of “his own people”.
Then again, in the event of riots, the federal government (under Obama) may refuse to help the state governors from dealing with the violence. If one wanted to be cynical, we might even see subtle cues from the Obammunists to encourage the rioters...
Gallup is polling Likely Voters now. When they were propping The Disaster up they were polling Registered Voters.
This is why R/R is ahead now. The polls are still over-polling Ds and even that doesn’t get a win for The Disaster.
None of us are letting our guards down and are still examining the internals of these polls even when they are the way we like them. However, the pollsters have realized that we are negating their B.S. and are now hiding the D/R/I ratios. So it must be really bad (4-8% more Ds) for The Disaster.
ACORN buses will shuttle the rioters to the hated suburbs...and pay each rioter $11 an hour.
If Romney wins Pa, Mich, Wisconsin Ohio won’t matter. And he will win Ws I am sure and the others quite likely.
Sure, but it could also raise it to 56%.
Libs are starting to claim election fraud and that the election is being stolen because the polls changed so fast and by so much.
Sorry,couldn't allow that error to go uncorrected.
People like this do not care about “his people.” They are simply a means to get where they want to go. They will walk on the bodies of the dead if it gives them the socialist heaven they seek. You really believe they give a rat’s hip pockets how many people are enslaved, killed, harmed, whatever? Not a snowball’s chance. They could give a care less. When his sorry head hits the pillow every night, I seriously doubt that he even gives a second thought too those he has harmed today. No, his kind, like Hitler and Stalin, were thinking of new ways to get power and not give a second thought to who got run over by the truck on the way there.
Two of my daughters voted for Obama (I am not proud of this). One daughter (at this point) is a complete loss; she LOVES and LIVES the liberal life - UGH! One of them however, saw the light, BUT was buying all of the President’s BS about Romney being this evil, woman-hating, misogynistic POS!
However, after these two debates, she has moved into the leans-Romney camp. She said, you know, he is a likeable, understanding person who mostly wants to fix the economy and get people working. DUH!
I truly believe THIS is how Romney is gaining so much ground - he has directly thwarted the onslaught of the Obama ad campaigns which were full of lies and BS.
Instead of using other TV ads to try and change people’s opinion, he got on stage at the debates and simply SHOWED the people that he isn’t some kind of monster! Now that he has started making those in-roads, he is starting to really pour on the TV ads. Knowing EXACTLY when to do this is important and he is peaking at the optimum time.
Once he wins, future Presidential campaigns will DEFINITELY follow this strategy!
Both CNN and Huffington have in their electoral maps Obama winning without question.
Don’t forget Chicago, for sure.
With this kind of position of a 7 point lead, why aren’t we seeing the shift in the battleground states especially like Ohio? Is it possible for Romney to get the poplar vote and not enough electoral votes? Yeah, I know, some will hate on me for asking the question...but I am asking anyway.
“When Romney wins, THERE WILL BE RIOTS.”
Don’t count on it; I live next to Newark NJ, and the blacks there aren’t enthusiastic about Obama anymore. They made history with our first mulatto president, and now they’re looking at their horrible neighborhoods, high unemployment, etc. and wondering when it will end. Many blacks who initially supported Obama now regard him as a wealthy white liberal with no connection to them at all; nothing has improved for them, and everything is a bit worse.
The fact that a small number of blacks are openly supporting Romney on television/radio is a bad sign for him; they are now alloed to publicly repudiate him without fear of repercussion. They’ve broken ranks publicly for the first time in decades because things have gotten so bad; the fact that they now have to “ride in back” while Hispanics take the wheel may play a part in that as well.
From the mouths of the greatest fraudsters ever! LOL
They're desperate, they're losing, and they know it. And, of course, we love to see their agony.
Well, remember that it takes a long time for some kids to really 'grow up' - some not getting there until their late 30's or 40's. And yes, some never do 'make it' because they carefully avoid taking a hard look at history, evidence, facts, and last but most importantly God's Word.
Considering the source, you know they're lying to themselves to keep from crying.
No matter what, I just can't really believe that Illinois can be won by Romney. But hey, in this election I think the 'unthinkable' can and just might be a bit more than possible.
With many 'conservatives' saying they can't vote for a Mormon, and many saying they'll be voting for anybody but Obama and Romney (a vote for Obama, whether they admit it or not,) and liberal media lying about everything they can - and the massive amount of Democrat fraud that is taking place as I write - yes, just about anything is possible.
But in spite of all of that - I think we're about to see a Romney 'landslide.' I could very well be wrong, but my gut, and what I see on the ground, tells me that it is more likely that Obama will be thrown out of office by a huge majority of very angry Americans.
Then why are polls saying that 95% of blacks are for him and will vote for him? If he has no fans and is nothing, why does he have 45-48% of all the polls?
He has some support, but I don’t believe it is near the level portrayed by his media. I work with blacks that had started to make some headway into the middle class and have fallen back (as many whites have); for those forced into the workplace by the 1996 welfare reform, they enjoyed a brief stint of independence and are now being pushed right back onto public assistance. Some bought new cars, some went on crusies, and all are now hurting. They had a bried taste of “normalcy”, which was quickly replaced by the “new normal”.
It is sad, but they have lost their zeal for him; they want to know things will get better, and admit to themselves that this won’t happen with him.
SHIFT, BABY, SHIFT!!!! GO R/R!:)
Wow — that’s a pretty absurd thing for Trippi to say. A southern surge really means something. FL, VA and NC aren’t exactly unimportant to the outcome. Moreover, southern Ohio and the Protestant counties in western Pennsylvania are pretty darn “southern” in attitude and outlook.
so, you experts, what states are the MUST wins for Rom, starting in the east....
I'm hoping that Texas is solid....
Voting for Obama would be like re-upping for a case of genital warts. It’s Romney’s time.
I am thinking Virgina, Ohio and Florida are must wins. Well, Romney HAS to win two of the three. I feel Virginia is good, so it come down to Ohio and Florida.