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Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz
Rothenberg Gonzalez Political Report ^ | 10/16/15 | Stuart Rothenberg

Posted on 10/16/2015 7:29:38 AM PDT by ghost of stonewall jackson

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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

Number 2. Screw the GOPe. Why would we WE want to desert Trump, the winner we already have, even for Cruz, who will be a better fit for from 4 to 8 years, somewhere else? And even if we did that, why would we saddle him with Jindal?

And Number 1. We already have it halfway in the bag with Trump. What insanity would cause us to toss THAT aside?

No thanks. We don’t need any free advice from the democRATS. Judging by the surnames of the writers, that’s probably where THEY come from; if not from the RINOs.


21 posted on 10/16/2015 7:45:17 AM PDT by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
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To: Signalman

Don’t blame me, I’m not the one pimping a liberal like Trump.

If you’re that hot for a liberal, you’re going to get one no matter what I do.


22 posted on 10/16/2015 7:46:12 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

which obama 2012 states does cruz turn red?


I have no idea. Nor do you. Polls are meaningless to a point. If you are a staunch conservative, do you answer pollsters who call? I don’t. Many, many conservatives simply do not answer them because we don’t trust them, don’t trust the poll’s sponsor, and don’t know what is done with such information about me. Oh, sure, no punishment from the establishment for expressing my opinions.


23 posted on 10/16/2015 7:46:31 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Some Animals are more equal than others.)
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To: CincyRichieRich
No, we learned all these myths about polling were just that---myths in 2008 and 2012. There were NO "4 million conservatives" who stayed home in 2012. That myth is all based on a single article about a single district in IN. If you look at the data, Romney had MORE voters in 2012 than McCain. I have pored through these numbers, and I can't even find a small fraction who "stayed home."

But a good test of whether OH would go for Cruz is is poll number in OH. (Quinnipiac) He is at a pretty respectable 11%, but 6% say they would definitely not vote for him. But Q is really high: PPP has Cruz at 5 in OH, down one from his previous 6.

24 posted on 10/16/2015 7:50:06 AM PDT by LS (YSess"Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: CincyRichieRich

The establishment always offers us their expert knowledge that a conservative can’t win for President.

But since RINOs McCain and Romney couldn’t win either, do we have to draw the conclusion that no Republican will ever be elected President again?

I don’t think so.

Cruz would win and win handily.


25 posted on 10/16/2015 7:52:25 AM PDT by JediJones (The #1 Must-see Filibuster of the Year: TEXAS TED AND THE CONSERVATIVE CRUZ-ADE)
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To: CincyRichieRich

I refuse to take part in any polls outside of the ones here at FR (unless its to mess with a democrat poll)

As far as electability is concerned, the people who pimp that crap don’t have a great track record these days.


26 posted on 10/16/2015 7:52:47 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: Signalman

Trump would be President Clinton II. He would govern purely by polls just as Trump’s whole platform and campaign have been set up and managed by polls. He’s obsessed with polls and will do anything to keep his numbers up. Trump will move to the “center” in the general election so fast your head will spin.


27 posted on 10/16/2015 7:53:54 AM PDT by JediJones (The #1 Must-see Filibuster of the Year: TEXAS TED AND THE CONSERVATIVE CRUZ-ADE)
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To: cripplecreek

Trump is a populist conservative. Yes, he’s not a pure idealogical conservative like Cruz. But a populist conservative AND a proven leader is what the country is looking for after 8 dreadful years of Obama.

2016 will be another 1980 for the GOP but only if Trump is the nominee.


28 posted on 10/16/2015 7:55:20 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

Too funny to see some people’s thinking:

“I’m not voting for Romney, he is not conservative enough”.

“I’m not voting for Cruz, he is too conservative.”

When Cruz ran for senate in Texas we heard all of these same arguments. Yet he surprised everyone and won, beating RINO Dewhurst in the GOP runoff and whipping the dem in the general.


29 posted on 10/16/2015 7:55:34 AM PDT by Ironfocus (Texas! Cruz 2016!)
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To: Ironfocus

Texas yes. But Texas is not the entire country.


30 posted on 10/16/2015 7:58:30 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

If we put up another GOPe and they win what have we won? Nothing. If we are circling the drain and need a flush I want the dims in charge when the flush happens so it is obvious who the culprit is.


31 posted on 10/16/2015 8:00:55 AM PDT by Resolute Conservative
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To: Hawthorn

If a GOPe wins we really do not win. I am tired of the uni-party.


32 posted on 10/16/2015 8:01:31 AM PDT by Resolute Conservative
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To: Signalman

That southeast Texas area is not as conservative as the rest of Texas.


33 posted on 10/16/2015 8:01:33 AM PDT by Ironfocus (Texas! Cruz 2016!)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

I’m sure this genius also told us that the Dems would hold the Senate in 2014 because of Tea party, yada yada yada, government shutdown, blah blah blah.

You can expect this from Rothenberg. What’s discouraging is the number of posts on this forum that agree.

Yeah we need a moderate to win swing states lie OH, PA etc. worked well in ‘08 and ‘12


34 posted on 10/16/2015 8:01:52 AM PDT by almcbean
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To: LS

Bush had 62,040,610 votes in 2004. Romney had a bit more than McCain, but still only 60,933,500. So the difference between 2004 and 2012 is either explained by people staying home, switching to Obama, going to jail or dying.

Still, that difference would not have been enough to make McCain or Romney beat Obama. Obama’s victories have been based not on Republicans staying home, but on Barry accumulating 5 to 9 million voters who seem to have never voted before.

If the Democrats hold on to at least Obama’s 2012 number, there is no way for Republicans to win without doing the same, finding voters who probably have never voted before. If they’re out there, then they have been staying home for a long time.

The only other possible strategy is to make the Democrat voters stay home or switch parties.


35 posted on 10/16/2015 8:07:55 AM PDT by JediJones (The #1 Must-see Filibuster of the Year: TEXAS TED AND THE CONSERVATIVE CRUZ-ADE)
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To: JediJones
Just a few of the things that Trump supports.

Obamacare on steroids.

Normalization with Cuba. (Props up the Castro boys)

Anti Free Market renewable fuel standards and ethanol subsidies.

Eminent domain property seizures to give to cronies.

Funding the "good parts" of Planned Parenthood.

In this thread, one of Trump's biggest supporters at FR happily declares Obamacare to be good and will be even bigger and better under Trump. He also doesn't care about abortion.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3348010/posts?page=53#53

Its pathetic the way some "conservatives" angrily slap their gums together about GOPe betrayal then immediately demand that all of us betray conservatism to support their guy. They are the Boehner Republicans and don't even know it.
36 posted on 10/16/2015 8:08:36 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: LS

There was some bad analysis early on after the 2012 election that claimed Romney got less votes than McCain. But it eventually proved false and only looked that way at the time because all of the vote counts hadn’t officially come in yet and the total recorded counts were a lot lower.


37 posted on 10/16/2015 8:10:27 AM PDT by JediJones (The #1 Must-see Filibuster of the Year: TEXAS TED AND THE CONSERVATIVE CRUZ-ADE)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

He would not win. Most Americans have had their brains palinized against him. He will win after serving as veep and everything that comes out of his mouth is right on for four years.


38 posted on 10/16/2015 8:10:38 AM PDT by Yaelle
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson

Cruz needs Rubio as VP to pick-up Florida support.

It will still be Cruz policy that carries the day, so get off of the “but Marco’s a .....”

The objective is to broaden national support and Electoral votes....AND WIN!


39 posted on 10/16/2015 8:13:10 AM PDT by G Larry (Vote Hillary! Pro-Abortion Socialist)
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To: ghost of stonewall jackson
and if he loses badly?

No matter who is the nominee, that red herring can always be waved.

40 posted on 10/16/2015 8:17:13 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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