Trump, Cruz running away with Iowa Caucus, Quinnipiac Poll finds (Jeb at 3%)

WSLS ^ | 1/11/16 | WSLS.com Staff

[jimbo123]

Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz are locking in their lead among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with Trump at 31 percent and Cruz at 29 percent, while U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida trails with 15 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Monday.

-snip-

The biggest loser today is former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who gets only 3 percent support from Republicans, while 26 percent say they "would definitely not support" him.

[SmokingJoe]

You claimed Giuliani did not compete in Iowa(after abysmal poll numbers no doubt)

So I asked you a question: Just how did Giuliani do in the states that he competed in after leading in the GOP primary polls for over a year?

[samtheman]

Giuliani s strategy was to skip the early states and do well in Florida.

By the time Florida rolled around, he was already a footnote in the campaign.

If you see a parallel in that to what Trump is doing right now than you are either purposely lying about what you see or truly, truly blind.

[jennychase]

Cruz is on his bus tour for last one week, result is 2%. Trump made 2-3 rallies result is 6-7%. After one week Trump and his sons are planing to work on Iowans. Gov. is wearing Trump campaign hat.

[SmokingJoe]

The parallel is that they are both lifetime liberals from New York who support gay marriage, and they were both in the lead of GOP primary polls for long periods of time.
Yes Trump is competitive in Iowa while Giuliani wasn’t. Giuliani wasn’t competitive in Iowa cause he was a liberal.
Fact remains that Iowa has gone for the most conservative candidate in the last two cycles. Cruz is a heck of a lot stronger and more conservative than Huckabee or Santorum who won in Iowa the last two cycles.Cruz will win.

[SmokingJoe]

Trump made 2-3 rallies result is 6-7%.

Ummmmmm...no. Check the Last Quinnipiac poll.

[Hugin]

Cruz is actually up 2 points from the same poll from mid December. Cruz is still going up.

Or he went up more than 2% and came down some. Looking at all the polls it looks that way. A month between polls is a long time. It only means he is up 2% over a month ago, not any indication of how he has fared since the eligibility issue came up in the last week.

[VRWC For Truth]

There’s always Mehico for senior !Yeb

[SamAdams76]

Make sure you ping us to your victory party on the evening of Feb 1.

[GeaugaRepublican]

I’ve got kids in that age group and they and their friends are fired up for Trump.
____________________________

Perhaps someone can explain this to me. Has anyone here ever participated in the Iowa caucus? Regardless of polls, the talking heads keep talking about how difficult it is for first timers. Will newbies get run over in this process? I am originally from a state that was non-caucaus.

[SmokingJoe]

It only means he is up 2% over a month ago, not any indication of how he has fared since the eligibility issue came up in the last week.

This poll covers the entire period of Trump going birther on Ted Cruz and Cruz is still up from the same poll from mid-December. So we know Trump going birther has NOT sent Cruz's numbers down. If anything, Cruz's numbers have kept going up both in this Iowa poll, and in yesterday's IBD/TIPP national poll where Cruz was up 5% from the same poll in December.
Trump is going to have to come up with even more crazy far left stuff.
Meanwhile, expect Cruz's numbers to get a further boost after Thursday's debate, like his poll numbers have after everyone of the last 3 debates.
Cruz is going to smash Trump like a guitar if he goes after Cruz with his crazy birther talk at the debate. Let's just see who actually knows the constitution shall we?

[Hugin]

But you can’t know from two polls a month apart everything that happened in between. If you look at all the polls, it suggests Cruz went up during that period and has come down. By your assumption Cruz never had a lead at all. To me it looks like he had a small lead and then lost some ground.

[cornfedcowboy]

Who comes in 3rd might be the biggest story out of Iowa. I am predicting Chris Christie. This would be big news.

[Billthedrill]

Hot dang! My man Yeb is at 3! Is it time yet for the Picking Up Steam stories?

He's really tall, you know.

[jimbo123]

You called it:

Struggling Jeb Bush enjoys larger crowds (Jebmentum!)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3382444/posts

[VinL]

I’ll be here- if the Lord wishes— one way or t’other.

[SmokingJoe]

By your assumption Cruz never had a lead at all

Did I say that? Nope
Cruz is still leading in the Fox News and other polls that be was leading in last month. He is behind in the Quinnipiac poll now just like he was last month. Overall, Cruz is still leading in the RCP average in Iowa, just like he was before.
What more ya got?

[SmokingJoe]

And Cruz is shooting up the polls in New Hampshire, despite all Trump's birther bluster. From Hot air today:

Cruz’s net favorables have gone from +14 in November to +33 now, the best of anyone in the field. And this isn’t just a “New Hampshire thing”; as I noted on Friday, it’s true nationally among Republicans as well.

hotair.com/archives/2016/01/11/poll-kasich-now-tied-for-second-with-cruz-in-new-hampshire-as-rubio-drops-to-fourth/comment-page-2/#comment-10398009

[Rennes Templar]

Ah, the turtle people....