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Trump Leads in Arizona, but if There’s an Upset . . . [Trump was right!]
NRO ^ | March 22, 2016 | John Fund

Posted on 03/22/2016 12:22:52 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts

Donald Trump was the clear favorite in today’s winner-take-all Arizona primary, even before the Brussels terrorist attacks. The immigration issue and the flood of early voters favors him, as does the fact that some of those early voters will have cast ballots for Marco Rubio before he dropped out last Tuesday night. If they had known Rubio would no longer be a candidate, many of those voters might have gone with Cruz.

But polls have been tricky and often erratic this year (think Michigan and the surprise win of Bernie Sanders). For example, the latest poll showing a 14 point Trump lead appears to oversample Phoenix voters (59 percent of state’s population vs. 73 percent of those polled). Trump outperfoms his statewide average in the Phoenix area. The Washington Post reports that “Cruz could definitely score an upset in Arizona.” If that happens or Cruz comes very close here will be the relevant factors, according to the Post.

Cruz has a superior ground game. Neutral observers say his team is a lot more organized than Trump. His state director elected many Republican members of the legislature.

It’s a closed primary, meaning only Republicans can vote. Trump has struggled in closed primaries.

Cruz has scored a bunch of late endorsements: Rep. Matt Salmon announced his support last night.

Cruz is still perceived as strong on border security.


(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Utah
KEYWORDS: alieninvasion; aliens; amnesty; arizona; az2016; bombtheshitoutofthem; brussels; buildthewall; cruz; cultureclash; culturewar; deportthemall; elections; endanchorbabies; endsanctuarycities; enforcethelaw; immigration; isis; islam; jihad; jobs; kasich; lyinted; moratorium; muslim; musliminvasion; nationalsecurity; polls; primaries; primary; quidprotrump; reagancoalition; securetheborders; securethenation; sendthemback; sidebarspam; taxes; tdseveningshift; terror; terrorism; trade; trojanhorse; trump; trumpwasright; unipartyops
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To: kabar

Exactly


41 posted on 03/22/2016 12:43:49 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: Suz in AZ

exactly.
It is the swing states we have to look at and how good did the candidates get out the vote there.
When you have cruz coming third in 3 of them and never winning one single county in two of them , then it does not bode well at all in a general election.
I am here in FL and there is no way cruz would ever win this state. No one likes him or finds him as the establishment pick.


42 posted on 03/22/2016 12:44:10 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: DouglasKC

Still waiting for your evidence that Ted Cruz’s 97%-100% conservative/pro-liberty voting record is part of an elaborate conspiracy to fool conservatives into believing that he is really, really conservative so he can deliver them to the GOPe.


43 posted on 03/22/2016 12:45:07 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
FYI, I did not add “[Trump was right!]” to my title.

File a complaint and put it the "T" box. :)

44 posted on 03/22/2016 12:45:31 PM PDT by jazusamo (Have YOU Donated to Free Republic? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: GodGunsGuts
FYI, I did not add “[Trump was right!]” to my title. Someone with the power to do so added that even though it is not part of the article title, and they did so without my permission.




45 posted on 03/22/2016 12:45:37 PM PDT by 20yearsofinternet (Border: Close it. Illegals: Deport. Muslims: Ban 'em. Economy: Liberate it. PC: Kill it. Trump 2016)
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To: Durbin

Unfortunately, no.


46 posted on 03/22/2016 12:46:06 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
Still waiting for your evidence that Ted Cruz’s 97%-100% conservative/pro-liberty voting record is part of an elaborate conspiracy to fool conservatives into believing that he is really, really conservative so he can deliver them to the GOPe.

Is Obamacare defunded?

47 posted on 03/22/2016 12:46:09 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: Lurkinanloomin

[* the stop Trump is really stop the citizens from keeping their country]

Correct


48 posted on 03/22/2016 12:46:15 PM PDT by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: QuigleyDU

Or Virginia for that matter.


49 posted on 03/22/2016 12:47:17 PM PDT by cincinnati65
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To: teppe

Cruz failed to pull 20% with REPUBLICAN voters in Florida, Ohio, and Virginia. How the heck do you think he’s going to win the general election?


50 posted on 03/22/2016 12:49:39 PM PDT by cincinnati65
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To: GodGunsGuts

If they had known Rubio would no longer be a candidate, many of those voters might have gone with Cruz.

...

Cruz is turning out to be a lot like Rubio, in a bad way.


51 posted on 03/22/2016 12:49:40 PM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: DouglasKC

I know the fever dreams of trump fans everywhere make them want to believe that Cruz ‘changed’ at about the same time trump did.
The first from being a principled constitutional conservative into a GOPe hack.
The second from being the very personification of a Chrony capitalist into republican demi-god.

I’m pretty sure this is a form of dementia necessitated by the fan-hood overcoming common sense and reason. A way to cope, if you will, for turning their back on what they know is right in order to vote for a reality TV star. Sadly, I think the only remedy will be the fruition of their dreams and the inevitable crash back to reality that follows.


52 posted on 03/22/2016 12:51:25 PM PDT by 94Revolution (Get it right this time)
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To: DouglasKC

That’s your evidence?


53 posted on 03/22/2016 12:51:50 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: QuigleyDU

Cruz also can’t win the nomination, and the GOPe isn’t going to give it to him. So, all he is doing is helping the GOPe get rid of Trump, and in so doing, elect HIllary. He has joined with the enemy of conservatives.


54 posted on 03/22/2016 12:52:04 PM PDT by Defiant (After 8 years of Chump Change, it's time for Trump Change!!)
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To: Cobra64
No worries for GodGunsGuts. His support for Cruz indicates that he advocates, lies, intimidation, unethical behavior and partnerships with Moonbats like Beck.

FreeRepublic 2016

55 posted on 03/22/2016 12:52:21 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: ScottinVA
And Trump can’t win a national election.

Utter nonsense. Not only will he win, but it'll be a landslide, especially after the first debate when he tells Hitlery she's just scared because once he's in office, he'll prosecute her. Game over.

56 posted on 03/22/2016 12:52:21 PM PDT by dware (Free Survival & Prepper Ebooks Daily: http://www.survivetherockies.com)
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To: DouglasKC
Is Obamacare defunded?

Ted Cruz's fault.

57 posted on 03/22/2016 12:53:25 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: GodGunsGuts

In post 11, is that Underdog?

;-)


58 posted on 03/22/2016 12:53:33 PM PDT by pax_et_bonum (Never Forget the Seals of Extortion 17 - and God Bless America)
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To: dware
Utter nonsense. Not only will he win, but it'll be a landslide

OK... got some survey data to back that up?

59 posted on 03/22/2016 12:55:41 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Defiant

This is the kind of circular reasoning that causes non-trump fans to shake their heads in wonder.

Cruz is establishment because the establishment is helping him! See, he’s owned by them know!

If trump doesn’t get the nomination they aren’t going to give it to Cruz because he’s an outsider so you really should vote for trump.

I’ll give you fan boys credit though - you have a lot of energy and imagination. If you didn’t the logic fails would make your brains twist into really tight knots.


60 posted on 03/22/2016 12:56:33 PM PDT by 94Revolution (Get it right this time)
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