Posted on 08/06/2016 7:48:11 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
Jazz blogged it this morning but it’s newsy enough to warrant a follow-up, as it represents the first strong sign that Hillary’s convention bounce — and/or the backlash from the Trump/Khan dust-up — is fading. Jazz makes two good points for why we should believe the result. One: Reuters did detect a big lead for Hillary a few days ago. If it hadn’t, you could challenge the poll as an extreme outlier given that every other survey this past week captured a spike in her numbers. Reuters captured it too, though. And now they see it going away. If you’re looking for evidence that she got a dead-cat bounce and the race is soon to tighten again, this is it. Two: This is a poll of likely voters, not registereds or adults. A tighter voter screen should produce a poll that more accurately reflects what the vote will actually look like on Election Day. Every other poll this week, with Clinton piling up big leads in survey after survey, has been a poll of registered voters, not likely voters. Except one: The LA Times daily tracker is also a poll of likely voters, and that one also has the race much closer than everyone else (Clinton leads by just four-tenths of a point). There is reason to believe that this data is closer to the true state of the race than the ones showing Hillary up double digits.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Totally expected.
Wasn't that when they were caught cooking the books?
I just looked very quickly, but it seems from looking at the poll that they oversampled DEMS by 7 percent this time. The party ID in Gallup is dead even now. So in reality, I would say it is probably a 3-5 point Trump lead.
If Reuters could manufacture a big Hillary lead, then receive a s***-storm of bad press for it, they could just as easily cover their tracks by manufacturing a tightening race.
Totally.
This poll panic is cracking me up...
Big Brother: “Now for a two minute poll panic.”
The only poll that counts is Tuesday Nov 8, 2016 ...
polls are garbage ... anti-democratic, designed to suppress voting. it won’t work this election.
Kermmy!!
They weed out the opinions they don’t want before getting to the actual poll question. It happened to me during the Lewinsky debacle. I answered a call requesting my answers to a survey that would take no more than 10 minute. I said yes, first question I answered with a more neutral stance (I used to be less conservative regarding environmental issues-I’ve since seen the light!!) so I was asked a second question about abortion. My answer was strongly pro life. They said thank you and immediately hung up. Obviously, there were more questions but I wasn’t going to give them the pro Clinton response so it was ended.
"The Reuters/Ipsos polling team announced Friday that they are dropping the “Neither” option from their presidential preference polls after their tracking polls showed a 17-point swing in favor of the Republican nominee Donald J. Trump, exposing the “Secret Trump Voters” Democrats fear."
I absolutely do not care at all about polls. You can’t trust them to reflect anything other than what the media wants them to reflect.
Trump moved to within 3 in the 2-way race and 2 in the 4-way race through 8/4.
It’s about time that Reuters adjusts their methodology again to give Hillary! another double-digit lead.
If the Pothead from NM and the Greenie take 3 states,
OR CO & NM, no one reaches 270.
2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map
http://www.270towin.com/maps/JRg4Q
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