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Clinton-Trump Race Narrows on the Doorstep of the Debates (Clinton +2 despite D+10 electorate)
ABC News/Washington Post ^ | 9/25/2016 | GARY LANGER

Posted on 09/24/2016 9:40:51 PM PDT by NYRepublican72

In all, 44 percent of likely voters say they’d vote for Trump if the election were today, numerically his best since spring. Forty-six percent prefer Clinton, unchanged from an ABC/Post poll early this month and virtually unchanged since June. The 2-point gap between them is not significant, given the survey’s margin of sampling error. The race has closed from an 8-point Clinton lead in early August.

Support for third-party candidate Gary Johnson slipped to a new low, 5 percent in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, with the biggest departure among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents -- thus mainly benefiting Trump.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; elections; hillary; polls; trump; trumplandslidecoming
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To: 4Liberty

God don’t like ugly hope he has some fun Monday with her


61 posted on 09/25/2016 4:27:38 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: Voluntaryist

It looks like they sauced it by replacing Republicans with “other” (i.e. libertardians and greenies).


62 posted on 09/25/2016 5:05:19 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
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To: NYRepublican72

Who knows what the polls really are. The media has to have their horse race. This is about ratings.


63 posted on 09/25/2016 5:48:59 AM PDT by virgil (The evil that men do lives after them)
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To: Simon Foxx

Naturally, Old Glory flies 24/1 atop my 25’ flagpole in the front yard. Just above it is a solar powered light that keeps her illuminated at night. Usually either the Army banner flies below it or the Gadsden. Since before the end of the primaries, it has been a 3x5 white Trump fag that is now showing a bit of wear but it will stay showing the battle scars with pride.

Three other Trump signs in my neighborhood and none for her. I have started to see an uptick in Trump bumper stickers and every so often will see a little H-> window sticker but nothing even remotely close to the Obama/Biden stickers of 8 and even 4 years ago.


64 posted on 09/25/2016 5:51:25 AM PDT by mazda77 (The solution: Vote Trump)
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To: Owen

Of course it was weighted, Jesus H Christ...


65 posted on 09/25/2016 5:54:41 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (PS - Vote Trump. Vote Coal.)
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To: Owen

That would depend if there really are more democrats than republicans in the country.

Actually, that’s a good question that I’ve never seen the answer to.

But what only matters is the EVs.


66 posted on 09/25/2016 6:01:38 AM PDT by CottonBall
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To: NYRepublican72

There is no “other” category. It has to add up to 100%. So which 8% did they leave out? There mere fact they don’t account for the “other” is significant. D+8 plus 8% unexplained. It is creative but doesn’t pass the smell test.


67 posted on 09/25/2016 6:21:56 AM PDT by DrDude (This poll)
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To: Simon Foxx

I created a virtual yard sign, I turned on my WIFI router ‘guest’ channel and named it Hillary for Prison ‘16

Everyone near my house will see it when they search for wifi to connect to but they won’t know who’s it is. I’ve been asked a couple of times about it and denied it. LOL


68 posted on 09/25/2016 6:39:28 AM PDT by bigtoona (The media, GOPe, dems, commie Pope, hate Trump. He is the destroyer we've been waiting for!)
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To: NYRepublican72
Most Americans say they are following the campaign diligently, but a higher percentage of Trump supporters appear to be paying close attention than Clinton backers. Also, more Clinton backers say they are not registered to vote, which adds to pressure on her team to get them registered and to the polls.-------------Big worry for the Rats!
69 posted on 09/25/2016 7:39:42 AM PDT by mandaladon (It's always good to be underestimated. ~Donald Trump)
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To: NYRepublican72

Sadly there are more democrats out there. But plus 10? I don’t think so. I would guess maybe plus 6.

Anybody know what the number was for polls that predicted previous elections correctly?


70 posted on 09/25/2016 10:25:03 AM PDT by Cubs Fan (Liberalism is a cancer that destroys everything it gets a hold of.)
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To: Helicondelta

Mid-terms only have the most “die hards” go vote typically which usually favors Republicans. Presidential elections get a lot of the “softer” voters which typically lean democrats. I believe the average over the last 4-5 elections in a presidential election is +3-4D but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was 0-+2D this time.


71 posted on 09/25/2016 10:26:32 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: All

Yes, many pollsters do have a credible turnout model where they make phone calls and force the calls to conform to a D/R/I, young/old, black/hispanic/white model. Yes, they do exist.

But there are those who try to geographically weight their area codes by strictly population, ask a self identification of likeliness of voting and report the raw results, with no screen at all. BUT . . . they may ask the D/R/I question in the call and report it in the results. THAT would be bad were it D+10. I believe Gallup uses no partisan screen at all.


72 posted on 09/25/2016 10:46:28 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

I would like to remind ppl in the context of this partisan mixture in samples thing that Romney’s pollsters thought he had an excellent chance to win right up to the final days. I think his official pollster had him ahead 1 pt.

His turnout model was wrong. Simply that. Wrong.


73 posted on 09/25/2016 10:49:07 AM PDT by Owen
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To: NYRepublican72

The sources should scare Hillary with these results.


74 posted on 09/25/2016 10:52:38 AM PDT by Lumper20
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