Posted on 10/25/2016 11:54:47 AM PDT by oblomov
Q: The candidates in the General Election for President of the United States are the Republican
Donald Trump, the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Libertarian Gary Johnson or someone else. If the
election were held today, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE)
Donald Trump: 46% Hillary Clinton: 42% Gary Johnson: 4% Someone else: 2% Undecided: 6%
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Another key state reported on twitter. Trump winning in NV.
“NEVADA POLL TRUMP +3 10/20-10/22 Trump 47% Clinton 44%”
https://twitter.com/bradTmusic/status/790995924877271040
No this morning posted
Trump is going to take OHIO and take it big... that I have no doubt, and I expect him to take a good many more of the Rust Belt states as well....
With 6% undecided, if this poll is accurate, Trump will take OH by 7 or 8 points on the low end.
I’d expect him to take other rust belt states as well, but not by such big margins... but I think in this election, its Ohio that will be the Keystone state not PA... with it, so too will go the states around it... dominoes will fall, and Hillary will lose.
MN and IL are the least likely to go D... Philly fraud MIGHT hold PA.. but I doubt it.. I’ve never seen such lack of enthusiasm for a D in PA ever... and Trump’s enthusiasm is through the roof, everywhere....
I really think Hillary will be lucky if she gets Al Gore numbers in PA... (about 2.5M) and in the last 2 elections even with lousy candidates, R’s have shown they can consistently put 2.6-2.7M votes in the box... with Trump.. I truly expect him to be at or above 3M... To put that in perspective that’s right about where Obama was in 12, and he dropped 300k votes between 8 and 12.. Hillary won’t get anywhere near Obama 12 numbers... and I think Trump will meet or beat them.. 2.7ish 2 elections in a row with lousy candidates.. Trump should easily add another 300k to that... and Hillary should easily be down 400-500k from Obama 12 numbers.
Sorry, that should be least likely to go R.
If either one of them go R... it is going to be a VERY VERY bad night for Hillary.. if she can’t hold MN or IL a lot of other places are going to drop away from her that no one saw coming.
Well maybe MN is a draw but the rino establishment here are against trump so I expect they will get with al Frankenstein and get the rigging all worked out by the 8th.
It looks like they did not weight by party id. They weighted the weighted the sample by demographics, sex,age,race, and location, but not party id. This is better in that it allows the poll to pick up ‘change’ type voters. There are probably more than a few registered Democrats, who probably still vote Democrat for local elections, who in the Presidential poll, stated Independent, or Republican when asked for party identification.
Of all the battleground states, Ohio and Iowa seem to be Trump’s best. I think he’s ahead in Ohio and I’m praying he’ll be ahead in Florida and other places by Election Day!
Go Trump!
9% more Republicans sampled than democrats? Am I reading this right?
I would LOVE to see Trump take Michigan. You really think he will?
I went to a Phillies game once. Tough crowd. Booing their own team more than you might think! I just don’t see them voting for the weakness personified in Hillary. Of course, the real story in Philly has always been the voter fraud. We’ll have to see how THAT turns out.
But nobody can win without Ohio. Right MSM?
Unless of course your name is Xlinton!
I have been saying in a number of threads that the surprise of the night is that Trump will take PA. I grew up there, and all my extended family is from there. Trump is going to get huge turnout in rural areas and with blue collar union workers in the Pittsburgh area. That, combined with lack of enthusiasm in Philly, will put PA in the Trump column. Once that happens, the election is basically over, assuming FL and OH go to Trump as well.
The Trump signs here outnumber the Clinton signs by about 500-1.I’ve seen as many Clinton signs in cemeteries as I have seen here in Ashland yards.(Yep,somebody did put her signs at gravesites.)
lol
I love your certainty.
yes, I went out this past Sat for Trump canvassing, first time ever; after I got my map, the young turk at the RNC office handed me a bunch of Trump AND Toomey door hangers; I said nope, I won’t be needing these, and handed back the Toomey stuff...
I don’t know what the polling there says, but YES, I think ever state in the rust belt, beyond IL and MN is absolutely in play for Trump... I am in PA.. and I can tell you I moved here in 86, and I have never seen the pure enthusiasm for an R here, ever, and it went Bush in 88.
Here is PA history by the numbers:
1996 D 2.21 R 1.8 3rd party about .43
2000 D 2.48 R 2.28 about a 200k difference...
2004 D 2.94 R 2.79
Then comes 2008 and 2012:
2008 D 3.3M R 2.65
2012 D 3.0M R 2.7
R’s have shown, even with lousy unpopular candidates they can put 2.7M votes in the box without any issue. They have done it in 3 straight elections, with some pretty big dogs on top of the ticket.
Trump should absolutely blow 2.7 out of the water... and I really don’t see how Hillary gets near Obama 12 or Kerry 04 numbers.... Which were roughly the same.
The enthusiasm just isn’t there, anywhere for her... even the folks who i know are going to vote for her offer no reason or enthusiasm, just well at least she’s not Trump... She lies 25% of the time, Trump likes 100%...e tc etc... I just don’t see her getting more than 2.5/6 M votes in the box of Nov 8th.
I’d expect her to be closer to Gore’s numbers... and I fully expect Trump to be at least at 3M mark. If PA can put up 2.7 for 3 elections in a row, with little if any enthusiasm for any of the candidates... Trump should shatter that thing wide the hell open.
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