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The Odds of Evolution Are Zero
Townhall.com ^ | JUne 15. 2017 | Jerry Newcombe

Posted on 06/15/2017 12:50:19 PM PDT by Kaslin

Zero times anything is zero. The odds of life just happening by chance are zero.

This universe just springing into being by chance is impossible. It takes a leap of blind faith to believe in evolution, unguided or guided. Of course, there are tiny changes within kinds. It seems to me usually when the evolutionists make their case, they point to these tiny changes.

The analogies to the improbability of evolution by a random process are endless.

A hurricane blows through a junkyard and assembles a fully functioning 747 jet.

Scrabble pieces are randomly spilled out on the board, and they spell out the Declaration of Independence word for word. (Source: Dr. Stephen Meyer, author of Darwin’s Doubt).

A monkey sits at a typewriter and types thousands of pages. He types out word for word, with no mistakes, the entire works of Shakespeare.

The odds against our universe, of the earth, of the creation, to have just come into being with no intelligent design behind the grand scheme are greater than all of these impossible scenarios.

Forget the works of Shakespeare. What are the odds of a monkey randomly typing away simply spelling the 9-letter word “evolution” by chance? That doesn’t sound too hard, does it?

Dr. Scott M. Huse, B.S., M.S., M.R.E., Th.D., Ph.D., who holds graduate degrees in computer science, geology, and theology, wrote a book about creation/evolution back in the early 1980s, The Collapse of Evolution. Huse has done extensive study on these questions of random probability. I had the privilege of interviewing him about it for Dr. D. James Kennedy’s television special, “The Case for Creation” (1988). It was a type of Scopes Trial in reverse---filmed on location in Tennessee, in the very courtroom where the 1925 monkey trial took place.

Later, Huse created a computer program to see what are the odds of a monkey typing the word “evolution”? He notes that the odds are 1 in 5.4 trillion, which statistically is the same thing as zero. Any casino that offered such horrible odds would lose customers quickly, because no one would ever win. Forgive my bluntness, but the suckers have to win something before they start losing big.

Here’s what Scott told me in an email: “The typical personal computer keyboard has 104 keys, most of which are not letters from the alphabet. However, if we ignore that fact and say the monkey can only hit keys that are letters of the alphabet, he has a one in twenty-six chance of hitting the correct letter each time.

“Of course, he has to hit them in the correct sequence as well: E then V then O, etc. Twenty-six to the power of nine (the number of letters in the word “evolution”) equals 5,429,503,678,976.

“So, the odds of him accidentally typing just the 9-letter word ‘evolution’ are about 1 in about 5.4 trillion …From a purely mathematical standpoint, the bewildering complexity of even the most basic organic molecules [which are much more complicated than a nine-letter word] completely rules out the possibility of life originating by mere chance.”

Take just one aspect of life---amino acids and protein cells. Dr. Stephen Meyer earned his Ph.D. in the philosophy of science at Cambridge University. In his New York Times bestselling book, Darwin’s Doubt (2013), Meyer points out that “the probability of attaining a correct sequence [of amino acids to build a protein molecule] by random search would roughly equal the probability of a blind spaceman finding a single marked atom by chance among all the atoms in the Milky Way galaxy---on its face clearly not a likely outcome.” (p. 183)

And this is just one aspect of life, the most basic building-block. In Meyer’s book, he cites the work of engineer-turned-molecular-biologist, Dr. Douglas Axe, who has since written the book, Undeniable: How Biology Confirms Our Intuition That Life Is Designed (2016).

In the interview I did with Scott Huse long ago, he noted, “The probability of life originating through mere random processes, as evolutionists contend, really honestly, is about zero…. If you consider probability statistics, it exposes the naiveté and the foolishness, really, of the evolutionary viewpoint.”

Dr. Charles Thaxton was another guest on that classic television special from 1988. He is a scientist who notes that life is so complex, the chances of it arising by mere chance is virtually impossible. Thaxton, now with the Discovery Institute, has a Ph.D. in physical chemistry, and a post-doctorate degree in molecular biology and a Harvard post-doctorate in the history and philosophy of science.

Thaxton notes, “I’d say in my years of study, the amazing thing is the utter complexity of living things….Most scientists would readily grant that however life happened, it did not happen by chance.”

The whole creation points to the Creator. Huse sums up the whole point: “Simply put, a watch has a watchmaker and we have a Creator, the Lord Jesus Christ.”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: evolution; genetics; origins; science
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To: HLPhat

As in which theory - Newtonian(probably not), Quantum or special relativity?

One must ponder the gravity of the situation!


101 posted on 06/15/2017 2:53:39 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$
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To: AndyTheBear

“we mean Abiogenesis, then I think its clear the weight of evidence is against it being feasible (Abiogenesis means life first coming from the inorganic assuming the natural universe did not have outside help in producing life).”

Abiogenesis is evolution, it’s just the earliest form of it.

Really abiogenesis is not a real concept or theory scientifically. Means nothing other than a time before natural selection acts on living organisms and is impossible to define.

Abiogenesis is meaningless at best and is just another type of creationism if taken literally.


102 posted on 06/15/2017 2:53:45 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: mad_as_he$$

Special, of course - E being quantified state.


103 posted on 06/15/2017 2:58:06 PM PDT by HLPhat (It takes a Republic TO SECURE THESE RIGHTS - not a populist Tyranny of the Majority)
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To: dhs12345
Well the balloon image is actually wrong. Any 3d image we play in our mind is wrong...because we use sensory influenced imaginations when so doing. We have to think it the more rigorous terms of what Renee Descartes would call a clear conception.

Our intuitive sensory anticipation is that if space is finite but endlessly expanding there must be a border. But there isn't, at least not one we can reach. Of if you like we are always at it.

Consider 2-dimensional people living on the balloon. The "border" is up or "down" but they have no intuitive notion of up or down. If they move around on the balloon and get back to where they came, it will appear to them that they went in a circle.

Space is "bent" in a way if you like, but not within our dimensions. And the amount of bending is different where there is gravity.

Thinking classically and using your balloon example, as space-time is expanding it is filling the nothingness — the nothingness that existed before the big bang?

The Big Bang model does not tell us of anything "outside" of it or "before" it. Now logically, since our universe seems to be made up of derivative things and any subset of all the things in this universe in aggregate are derivative, even as you get close to and include the entire universe in the subset, then the universe does not have the self existent quality that is called "Aseity" by those studying metaphysics and theology seriously. That is, the property where something itself does not need a "cause" and/or does not derive its existence from something external.

This is a subject, I have gone very deep on....and I don't want to write a book in a free republic post...but to jump to the end the evidence all points to a fully perfect all powerful monotheistic personal God similar to the one of Judaism and Christianity. And I am hardly alone concluding this, but am in the company of the founders of modern science.

104 posted on 06/15/2017 2:59:51 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: ifinnegan

If you reread my original post; you’ll find that I was careful to put in the qualifiers. That was my whole point. Too many people do lump the origin of life in with the origin of species — they’re two very different things. Without consistent definitions of terms; reasonable debate is impossible.

Darwin knew he had no ‘scientific’ answer to the question of the origin of life. Too many of his self-professed acolytes do not know that fact — and, therefore, make outlandish claims in Darwin’s name. Creationism is a Faith-based explanation — and so is every other explanation to date (and, perhaps for all time).


105 posted on 06/15/2017 3:00:15 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: AndyTheBear

>>where there is gravity.

Which is, everywhere.


106 posted on 06/15/2017 3:02:48 PM PDT by HLPhat (It takes a Republic TO SECURE THESE RIGHTS - not a populist Tyranny of the Majority)
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To: AndyTheBear; USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Both of you have mentioned abiogenesis and differentiated it from evolution.

Andy defines it thusly, “Abiogenesis means life first coming from the inorganic assuming the natural universe did not have outside help in producing life.”

Do you agree with this, USFRIEND?

Next, you made a big mistake saying inorganic, that makes no sense. Nonetheless, we can skip that.

The question why do you separate this life coming about from evolution?


107 posted on 06/15/2017 3:03:52 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: Bob434

The odds of there being a God are tinier.


108 posted on 06/15/2017 3:09:33 PM PDT by Misterioso (The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. - Albert Camus)
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To: ifinnegan

If there is life on other planets

this is probably something we will never know; what we do know is that the planets in our own system are completely lifeless, even incapable of supporting life as we know it...this is an argument I hear in contradiction to an intelligent designer, and it is a compelling one...

then again, since nobody can pinpoint the origin of life, I retain an open mind...


109 posted on 06/15/2017 3:09:53 PM PDT by IrishBrigade
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To: mangonc2

“In all fairness, this is simply incorrect. It seems impossible based on your everyday experiences, but that’s because your everyday experience does not encompass processes that span millions or billions of years. So you have no frame of reference from which to analyze the situation. Just pointing out the logical fallacy.”

Thank you. A few still rely on reason.The zero chance malarky is about as correct as climate change.


110 posted on 06/15/2017 3:15:09 PM PDT by Pirate Ragnar (Libs put feelings first and thought second.)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

“That was my whole point. Too many people do lump the origin of life in with the origin of species”

Was the first life not a species?


111 posted on 06/15/2017 3:17:49 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: pgkdan

” believe that’s called Faith.”

For those who choose faith over reason, science and rationality....


112 posted on 06/15/2017 3:18:43 PM PDT by Pirate Ragnar (Libs put feelings first and thought second.)
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To: Chainmail

God created life and that certainly was not accidental


113 posted on 06/15/2017 3:19:17 PM PDT by Kaslin (The harder the conflict, the more glorious the triump. Thomas Paine)
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To: ifinnegan; AndyTheBear

I’ll try not to repeat what I said in other posts.

That definition seems reasonable to me (depending on how you define “inorganic”, which, in this case I take it to mean “not coming from life”).

It’s also important to note (as others here have) that ‘abiogenesis’ is not the only ‘scientific’ theory of the origin of life.

As for why to separate the origin-of-life from evolution (origin of species):
a) Darwin did — you simply cannot have a logical discussion about Darwin’s Theory of Evolution, if you insist on defining ‘evolution’ differently than he did.
b) it opens up the possibility that “life” was created, by the Creator — but, the various forms of life are the result of evolution.
c) The Theory of Evolution is based on the notion of “natural selection” — which Darwin meant to compare with the planned selection used by breeders. Few disagree that selection (natural or planned) can create different breeds of a species (micro-evolution). The creation of different species through selection (macro-evolution) is another matter altogether. As is the creation of any life form from non-living material. IOW, you can believe in natural selection, without believing that it can result in new species. Similarly, you can believe in all of Darwin’s ToE, and simultaneously believe that the Creator created life from non-living matter.


114 posted on 06/15/2017 3:25:41 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: Pirate Ragnar

“...those who choose faith over reason, science and rationality....”

And yet, when confronted with the mathematical improbability of life emerging spontaneously from non-life, do you still insist that life MUST have emerged naturally?

Is that reasonable and rational? Or is it FAITH-based?


115 posted on 06/15/2017 3:29:03 PM PDT by jonno (Having an opinion is not the same as having the answer...)
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To: ifinnegan; AndyTheBear; USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Both of you have mentioned abiogenesis and differentiated it from evolution.

This sure sounds like evolution:

"those molecules which were protected from the elements survived longer and reproduced more."


"One theory goes like this: 

RNA, the compliment molecule to DNA, was the first to evolve naturally from materials already common in the pre-biotic Earth.  Self-replication was achieved through catalytic actions in RNA-based molecules, called ribosomes, or possibly through an intermediary molecule.  

This step still remains unverified to science as of this writing."

{ and after that miracle }

"Once self-replication had been achieved, the forces of Natural Selection took over.  For example, those molecules which were protected from the elements survived longer and reproduced more.  So, any molecules which found themselves with a lipid bubble (which also forms naturally) would have a better chance of reproducing.  After many incremental steps, the lipid bubbles eventually became cell membranes, and the molecules DNA.

For more information on the probability of life forming this way, please see this article."

http://evolutionfaq.com/faq/how-could-dna-have-evolved

 
116 posted on 06/15/2017 3:29:45 PM PDT by HLPhat (It takes a Republic TO SECURE THESE RIGHTS - not a populist Tyranny of the Majority)
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To: ifinnegan

“Was the first life not a species?”

No, by definition. A “species” is a taxonomic term — used to distinguish one species from another. When there was just one life form, there were no ‘species’ of life — just life and not-life.


117 posted on 06/15/2017 3:31:43 PM PDT by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Your a, b and c are well stated and articulated.

A is not correct, but b and c are, in my opinion. Atheists or creationists may disagree.

No need to repeat this line of thought ad nauseam.

I am interested in an answer to the question.

“That was my whole point. Too many people do lump the origin of life in with the origin of species”

Was the first life not a species?


118 posted on 06/15/2017 3:32:14 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

“No, by definition. A “species” is a taxonomic term — used to distinguish one species from another. When there was just one life form, there were no ‘species’ of life — just life and not-life.”

Why do you assume there was only “one life form”?

How do you define “just life and not-life”? (You see how invoking life vs non-life brings us back to a type of creationism).


119 posted on 06/15/2017 3:34:51 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: Robe

We had a flood in Vermont. In a matter of an hour or so the water created a ravine 40 feet deep and several hundred yards long. Can you imagine a few days of constant water. The Grand Canyon could be formed. I loved it.


120 posted on 06/15/2017 3:40:26 PM PDT by lucky american (Progressives are attac Iking our rights and y'all will sit there and take it.)
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