Posted on 09/22/2018 5:20:48 PM PDT by EveningStar
Folks, the midterm elections appoach us.
History has shown that the midterm elections favor the party that is not in the White House.
There have been exceptions, of course. In 1998, the Democratic party gained seats in both Houses. It was the fisrt time a party occupying the party in the White House had done so in a mid year election since 1934.
In 2002, the GOP did the same thing.
However, in 2006, 2010, and 2014 the party out of the White House gained seats in both Houses.
Many Trump supporters here, lacking political savvy and ignoring history, believe that we will clobber the Democrats in the election. God, I hope they're right.
As the old saying goes, hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
Year Sitting President President's Party Net gain/loss of President's Party House seats Senate seats 1910 William Taft Republican R-57 R-3 1914 Woodrow Wilson Democratic D-60 D+4 1918 D-22 D-5 1922 Warren Harding Republican R-77 R-7 1926 Calvin Coolidge Republican R-9 R-7 1930 Herbert Hoover Republican R-52 R-8 1934 Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic D+9 D+9 1938 D-72 D-7 1942 D-45 D-8 1946 Harry S. Truman Democratic D-54 D-11 1950 D-28 D-5 1954 Dwight D. Eisenhower Republican R-18 R-2 1958 R-48 R-13 1962 John F. Kennedy Democratic D-4 D+2 1966 Lyndon B. Johnson Democratic D-47 D-3 1970 Richard Nixon Republican R-12 R+1 1974 Gerald Ford Republican R-48 R-4 1978 Jimmy Carter Democratic D-15 D-3 1982 Ronald Reagan Republican R-26 0 1986 R-5 R-8 1990 George H. W. Bush Republican R-8 R-1 1994 Bill Clinton Democratic D-54 D-8 1998 D+5 0 2002 George W. Bush Republican R+8 R+2 2006 R-30 R-6 2010 Barack Obama Democratic D-63 D-6 2014 D-13 D-9
ping
We know that TCruz is in big trouble in TX, and that alone probably means no national advantage to conservatives. and the gubernatorial candidates in GA and FL have been faring poorly in polls.
I’m not optimistic. President Trump may drag a few sorry asses over the finish line but we’ve got a lot of less than spectacular candidates this fall. And in Congress they’ve done everything they can to have an inside-the-beltway Never Trump history (no repeal/replace of ObamaCare, no wall funding, no end to DACA, no immigration reform, and so forth). Outside the beltway they are no better. Pathetic bunch of Republicans that scurry to safe spaces and don’t take stands. Can they hold the majorities in November? Depends upon if they get on with Trump or continue to cross him.
I think you prepare the worst by planning for Presidential turnout of 138 million voters. Not 83 or 91 million like the last two mid-terms.
“We know that TCruz is in big trouble in TX,” How do you know that?
Pray without ceasing.
I don’t think Cruz is in trouble and after yesterday’s debate he will widen his lead. One poll already showed him with a lead and that was pre debate.
Trump and the GOP have done very little. This is not going to turn out well.
PA could easily flip in the Senate, but Lou Barletta is a ghost.
We should have a ground game like 2010, and it’s nothing like that.
Well, I ‘ll tell you this, if the senate is going to sit with it’s thumb in its ass until Thursday to hear testimony from this lying slut, I think I might just go on vacation in November.
I have had enough of this crap, and I have had enough of the GOP.
fisrt = first
Sorry. :(
Barletta in PA is done.
Renacci in OH is done.
Vukmir in WI is done.
The GOP can pick up MO, ND, MT, IN, WV, NJ, FL
BLUE FLUSH COMING!!!
Will be very interesting in that Trump is making it a referendum on his presidential performance and the Dems. and media will make it a referendum on his style and character. It is a classic case of style versus substance. The left is energized as never before for the midterms, but so are Trump supporters. Purists like some here want perfect instead of good, and that might dilute the turnout for Trump. No president in history has had the backlash Trump has had to deal with and yet has done more than most in the first 2 years. His energy is amazing foe a 71 year old man.
On average, Democrat presidents lose 35.2 seats in the House first midterm after an election.
Republican presidents only lose 11.2 seats in the House in their first midterm on average.
Again, this is every president since WWII”
https://etholytics.com/house-seat-loss-by-presidents-party-has-been-inflated-by-democrat-presidents/
No...he’s not.
I have had enough of the GOP.
***************
The GOP doesn’t want to lead. Even when they have majorities they let the Dems run everything. Its NEVER going to change.
Trump might be getting involved in the election but Congressional Republicans are a sorry lot this year. He’ll drag a few across the finish line, has a good record through the primaries but I think in the details many are doing poorly individually. Trump’s only hope is to make it a referendum on him and get us all to hold our nose at the stench and vote for the Republican candidates. And then, sadly watch them go Never Trumper once they get to DC. No, I am not optimistic. Heck, look at how they have scurried for cover and gotten played over the Kavanaugh nomination. Disgraceful.
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