Attack on North Korea Betting Pool

AmericanInTokyo ^ | 26 December 2002 | AmericanInTokyo

[AmericanInTokyo]

It seems like an attack on North Korea could come in the next year or so.

Place your bet as to when the attack will begin.

Whoever gets closest to the date and time wins.

Attack time must be specified in Month, Day, and Year

For specifying any hour, don't forget to specify what time zone you are referring to.

There is no decision on a prize to be awarded yet except for bragging rights.

(with thanks to Freeper Momaw Nadon).

[garbanzo]

What worries me is a pre-emptive strike by NK. A small nuke detonated of the coast of Japan near a US military base for example could seriously hamper a US response.

[Amelia]

An attack on North Korea...would not be overwhelmingly successful....There are places that JDAM's simply could not reach.

...His "demands" are part of a shakedown operation. He thinks he can scream and shake his fist and that Bush will react just as Clinton did. Kim doesn't know who he's dealing with.

I think you are pretty well on the mark here...question is, when Kim's demands don't get the reaction he desires, will he up the ante?

[r9etb]

What worries me is a pre-emptive strike by NK. A small nuke detonated of the coast of Japan near a US military base for example could seriously hamper a US response.

On the contrary: NK detonating a nuke of any size in such a threatening manner would justify and provoke a massive response.

[Dog Gone]

I think we'll let China know that we'd have no objection to them annexing North Korea after whatever action they feel is necessary. As long as they move in the next year or so.

[Gore_ War_ Vet]

Its easy. Iraq does not have any nukes yet so we will threaten to attack it, pressure it with war talk, humiliate its leadership and attack it at will.

North Korea has nukes and WMD and therefore we we will NEVER threaten to attack it, NEVER pressure it with war talk, NEVER humiliate its leadership and WILL NOT attack it at will. We will even allow it to finish deliveries on scud missiles we seize on the high seas to Yemen.

Ding! Ding! Ding! There's your winner!
What does he win!

[Experiment 6-2-6]

21 April 2003

0200 local.

Meega, Nala Kweesta!!!

[garbanzo]

It would but the question is how long would such a response take and how much are our hands tied? One of the biggest problems with a nuclear response is having years of fallout drift to the south and to Japan. A large preemptive attack could potentially allow the North enough time to make a serious attack on the South before an effective US (conventional) response. The South could collapse before we are ready for a counterattack.

[AmericanInTokyo]

I believe, Chris, we have all coordinates and information on most if not all DPRK ballistic launch facilities, both on the North Korean West Coast for Nodong missiles, as well as in the central south (near Pyonggang, across from Chorlwon/DMZ) for Taepodong 1-2, as well as East Coast such as the mount complexes of Hwadae Province south of Chongjin for additional launch sites. I believe bunker busters would cripple their launch capabilities, both surface and underground. And I believe as you do that they have some pretty impressive underground assembly, stage mating and command/control facilities underground and under mountains.

What's the alternative to waiting?

You also realize we can paralyze their internal command system nationwide with power outages as well as keen electronic warfare to freeze systems in place.

[hchutch]

Hmm...

August 1, 2003 - 0130 Yongbyong time.

[Poohbah]

It would but the question is how long would such a response take and how much are our hands tied?

Response time equals flight time of a Trident missile from a SSBN patrol station to Pyongang.

[Alberta's Child]

You hit the nail on the head.

It should be noted, though, that the U.S. has taken a hands-off approach to North Korea primarily because South Korea has asked us to. The U.S. would gladly intervene with strong military action and destroy North Korea as we know it, but nobody in Seoul is going to be around to care very much.

[Kennesaw]

April 28th 2003

[mhking]

I don't think we will unless and only unless there is a preemptive strike by the NK's. Now considering they have a madman for a "leader," and I use that term loosely, I think we've got to watch things closely.

How long will it take for NK to extract enough plutonium to do something with?

[AmericanInTokyo]

about 1-2 months to extract

[AmericanInTokyo]

Glad to see that the thread is still going (but not glad to see what Pyongyang is trying to pull off).

[widgysoft]

September 25th 2003 @6pm GMT

[AmericanInTokyo]

Bump Ping, BTTT

[AmericanInTokyo]

Heads up!

[AmericanInTokyo]

Heads up on a slow moving thread on a hot moving topic!

[tracer]

I'll bet you a chihuahua dinner that we nuke 'em....