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Jeyza Gary from Fayetteville, North Carolina, was born with rare skin disorder lamellar ichthyosis, which causes her skin to shed every two weeks. Rather than allowing it to define her, Jeyza has taken the condition in her stride and formed a successful career as the first ichthyosis model. For over the past sixty six weeks since creating her Instagram account, Jeyza, 21, has been spending time sharing uplifting messages and photos with her growing 30 thousand followers. Read her story

In her recent Vogue essay, model Emily Ratajkowski signals her most progressive beliefs, only to find herself wrestling with the pesky reality that is biology. Model, actress, and radical feminist Emily Ratajkowski announced her pregnancy in this month’s Vogue Magazine, writing an essay reflecting on the sex of her child.As is the case with many far-left causes and feminists, Ratajkowski signals her most progressive beliefs, only to find herself wrestling with the pesky reality that is biology. Like Tampax claiming men can have periods, or school districts ruling it fair for boys to compete in girls’ sports, leftist causes often...

Earlier this week, we wrote about the Trafalgar Group, an outlier pollster that routinely produces rosier results for President Trump's re-election prospects than any of its competitors. If you're on the Trump Train, you love Trafalgar, and you likely already know that its data was much more predictive of some of Trump's upset victories in 2016 -- not to mention calling the 2018 Florida governor's race correctly when basically no one else did. That said, you may be less interested in the outfit's big swings and misses, like overestimating Brian Kemp's victory margin in Georgia's gubernatorial contest last cycle by ten...

Man has long tried to imitate birds in building all types of aircraft, to varying degrees of success. A new concept aircraft from Airbus, now in its second stage of testing, is taking biomimicry to a whole new level. ... AlbatrossONE, the scale model concept from Airbus, which comes with longer wings that can bend at the tip, thus allowing for more efficient flight. More efficient flight means less fuel consumption, which, in turn, means less emissions and, of course, optimized costs. The aircraft has semi-aeroelastic hinged wing-tips, so they flap freely, alleviating wing loads and avoiding tip stalling. The...

The number of COVID-19 cases in the US rose by at least 10 percent in 21 states last week — while a new model predicts a “huge surge” is expected to impact more Americans as early as next month. New infections accelerated mainly in the West, according to a CNN analysis of Johns Hopkins University data, although some Eastern outliers like North Carolina and New Jersey also saw upticks. The states where infections are rising include Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah,...

We might be closer to herd immunity on COVID-19 than we think, a new model has found.In herd immunity, enough people become infected with (and cured from) a virus, building antibodies that mean, at least for a while, they cannot catch the virus again. When enough people are included in that herd, the virus has few places to go and often dies off, or at least is greatly reduced. Now, a new study from Nottingham and Stockholm Universities suggests that such immunity might be closer than many in the mainstream media say.“According to their new mathematical model, far less people...

A new model shows reopening states and ignoring the pandemic could result in more than 5 million people contracting coronavirus. According to Yahoo Finance, a Penn Wharton Budget Model shows reopening states could cause positive coronavirus cases in the U.S. to jump to 5.4 million by the end of July. The model, which assumes states reopening May 18, explores various scenarios under which states reopen.The model also includes lockdowns, a partial reopening, and takes into account whether social distancing rules would continue to be adhered to or are relaxed.If states fully reopen with no social distancing rules in place, the...

An Israeli professor who made waves in early April for insisting that the coronavirus will play itself out after 70 days regardless of intervention levels says that he has been proved right, and that claims the virus will return in force for a second wave are just speculation. “It’s very amusing that people talk about a second wave,” Isaac Ben-Israel, a prominent mathematician, chairman of Israel’s Space Agency, and a former general, told The Times of Israel. “How do they know there will be a second wave? And how do they know that it will come in the winter?” However,...

Imperial College’s modelling... could go down in history as the most devastating software mistake of all time, in terms of economic costs and lives lost. ... those of us with a professional and personal interest in software development have studied the code on which policymakers based their fateful decision to mothball our multi-trillion pound economy and plunge millions of people into poverty and hardship. And we were profoundly disturbed at what we discovered. The model appears to be totally unreliable and you wouldn’t stake your life on it. Imperial’s model appears to be based on a programming language called Fortran,...

This Could Be a Clue… …as to why Minnesota’s COVID-19 model was wrong by at least one, and perhaps two, orders of magnitude: Before Friday, March 20, Marina Kirkeide, who graduated from the University of Minnesota College of Science and Engineering in 2019, was a School of Public Health part-time research assistant working on HPV transmission for Kulasingam. On a gap year before starting Medical School at the University in fall 2020, Kirkeide also had a second job as a lab tech at St. Paul’s Regions Hospital. That Friday, Kulasingam called her and two other research assistants and asked if...

Early in the Wuhan virus’s trajectory, the British government announced that it was going to go for a herd immunity approach (that is, the approach Sweden eventually used). Because the government is Tory, the left-leaning media insisted this would kill every Briton.These arguments gained weight when epidemiologist Neil Ferguson introduced his model showing that anything other than a total lockdown would kill over 500,000 Britons and 2.2 million Americans. Britain and America instantly stopped in their tracks. Only now, months later, are we learning that Ferguson’s model was a buggy mess. The British Telegraph reports that the disgraced epidemiologist,...

NEW U.S. PROJECTIONS -A newly revised coronavirus mortality model predicts more than 147,000 Americans will die from COVID-19 by early August , up nearly 10,000 from the last projection, as restrictions for curbing the pandemic are relaxed, researchers said on Tuesday. The latest forecast from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) reflects “key drivers of viral transmission like changes in testing and mobility, as well as easing of distancing policies,” the report said. The projections are presented as a range, with the latest forecast – 147,000-plus deaths – representing the average between a best-case scenario...

Neil Ferguson, a mathematical epidemiologist at Imperial College London, panicked policy makers around the world when he released his computer model projecting that the coronavirus pandemic would result in 500,000 deaths in the U.K. and 2.2 million in the U.S. It is hard to understand why his pronouncement was accepted so uncritically when he has a history of being wrong. Very wrong. According to The Spectator, in 2005, Ferguson said that up to 200 million people could be killed from bird flu. The actual number was several hundred. In 2009, he gave an estimate of 65,000 deaths from the Swine...

Washington — One of the leading models for measuring the impact of the coronavirus is now projecting a total of 137,184 cumulative COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. through the beginning of August, an increase of roughly 2,700 deaths from its previous forecast May 4. Christopher Murray, the director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, predicted the number of cases to particularly increase in areas where people become more mobile. "What's driving the change is, simply put, the rise in mobility, and that's the key driver," Murray said on "Face the Nation" on...

A coronavirus pandemic model has increased the predicted US death toll from the disease to 74,000 – up 14,000 from the previous estimate, according to a report. “Our forecast now is for 74,000 deaths. That’s our best estimate. The range is pretty wide because there’s a lot of unknown factors there, but our best estimate is going up, and we see these protracted, long peaks in some states,” Dr. Chris Murray, director of the University of Washington’s Institute for Help Metrics and Evaluation, told CNN. “We’re also seeing signs in the mobility data that people are getting more active, and...

A coronavirus model used by the White House Coronavirus Task Force has once again lowered the number of projected deaths in the United States. While the model forecasts a higher number of deaths in places like New York and New Jersey, the model now sees a much lower number of deaths happening in places like Massachusetts and Florida. Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida was sharply criticized for not locking down the state fast enough.  Scientists at the University of Washington developed the "Murray Model," named after Dr. Christopher Murray, that has been cited routinely by White House officials over the...

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released an update of its coronavirus model on Monday that dropped peak hospitalization projections for the United States by 34 percent in three days, from 86,479 total hospital beds needed to 56,831 total hospital beds needed. The IHME admitted in an update accompanying the release that the dramatic drop in projected peak hospitalization resources required was the result of the inclusion of three days of actual hospitalization data from April 10-12 that was remarkably different from the projections for those days released just three days earlier on Friday, April 10. A review...

"Look. I'm just going to put this out there. I've been modeling coronavirus from Worldometer's numbers. Right now I have less than 1.6 mil cases and less than 90k deaths on May 1." That was my model on April 7. Today's model has the US at 1 mil cases and 50k deaths based on Worldometer's numbers at May 1. US peak new cases was April 4th and new deaths peak was April 10th. Michigan new cases peaked April 3rd.It is time to go back to work before we totally wreck the machine that feeds us. Nobody's model predicted these numbers...

COVID-19 has proven to be a brutal flu for those unlucky enough to get it. Any new disease that’s successfully left animals behind for human-to-human transmission is highly risky. Nevertheless, current insanity gripping the world is based upon highly dubious computer models, making those models as dangerous as a virus. On March 8, MSNBC’s Chris Hayes attacked Trump for trying to manipulate downwards the expert projections about COVID-19 deaths. One month later, Hayes was back, attacking Trump for intentionally manipulating the numbers upwards: The most cynical interpretation of all this, one I can't quite bring myself to accept, is they rolled...

COVID-19 projections assuming full social distancing through May 2020