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To: TomServo
About 70 million people quarantined, about 1700 cases, and about 50 deaths.

That's 0.07 deaths per 100,000 people.

In 2018-2019 in the US, there were 10 deaths per 100,000 people from influenza.

Someone wants to distract us from China's imploding economy.

Wake me when there is something material about which us adults should be concerned.

17 posted on 01/25/2020 4:13:39 PM PST by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s^2)
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To: DoodleBob

“Someone wants to distract us from China’s imploding economy.”

It doesn’t seem that faking/overstating a pandemic would exactly help their economy.


25 posted on 01/25/2020 4:21:57 PM PST by Magic Fingers (Political correctness mutates in order to remain virulent.)
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To: DoodleBob

Time to wake up. Lancet study showed that of the 41 initial cases, 6 or 15% died. 100% got pneumonia. Only about 30% of those 31 have been release from the hospital.

How many of the currently infected are going to die? With an R0 of 2.6, even a quarantine of an effective rate of 99% would only slow the transmission rate by a third in areas outside of the quarantine areas, so how many ultimately will be infected?

Quarantine is the only tool available to stop the spread, and with this transmission rate and incubation period, it looks like that may not be possible.

Even if the death rate ends up being much lower, and the rate of those contracting pneumonia much lower, how much can any nation’s system handle?


26 posted on 01/25/2020 4:21:57 PM PST by BusterDog
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To: DoodleBob

I was attempting to ridicule the hysteria.


28 posted on 01/25/2020 4:26:19 PM PST by TomServo
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To: DoodleBob

The currently infected are a null value, statistically.


44 posted on 01/25/2020 4:41:54 PM PST by Hugh the Scot ("Jesus was a fundamentalist".- BipolarBob)
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To: DoodleBob

Pretty sure those numbers are very, very low. You don’t lock up 50 million people for the everyday flu. I believe very little of what China is reporting.


106 posted on 01/25/2020 5:16:06 PM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: DoodleBob

“About 70 million people quarantined, about 1700 cases, and about 50 deaths.”

.........SO FAR

Look at how fast the cases are multiplying. The newly diagnosed don’t die right away.


247 posted on 01/25/2020 7:29:42 PM PST by EnquiringMind
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