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Sun’s Activity Is Extremely Weak Compared to Similar Stars – “We Were Very Surprised
Sci-Tech Daily ^ | May 1, 2020 | Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research

Posted on 05/03/2020 6:59:35 AM PDT by BenLurkin

The extent to which solar activity...varies can be reconstructed using various methods — at least for a certain period of time. Since 1610, for example, there have been reliable records of sunspots covering the Sun; the distribution of radioactive varieties of carbon and beryllium in tree rings and ice cores allows us to draw conclusions about the level of solar activity over the past 9000 years. For this period of time, scientists find regularly recurring fluctuations of comparable strength as during recent decades.

A comprehensive catalog containing the rotation periods of thousands of stars has been available only for the last few years. It is based on measurement data from NASA’s Kepler Space Telescope, which recorded the brightness fluctuations of approximately 150000 main sequence stars (those that are in the middle of their lifetimes) from 2009 to 2013. The researchers scoured this huge sample and selected those stars that rotate once around their own axis within 20 to 30 days. The Sun needs about 24.5 days for this. The researchers were able to further narrow down this sample by using data from the European Gaia Space Telescope. In the end, 369 stars remained, which also resemble the Sun in other fundamental properties.

The exact analysis of the brightness variations of these stars from 2009 to 2013 reveals a clear picture. While between active and inactive phases solar irradiance fluctuated on average by just 0.07 percent, other stars showed much larger variation. Their fluctuations were typically about five times as strong.

For the foreseeable future, there is no indication of such solar “hyperactivity.” ... For the last decade, the Sun has been showing itself to be rather weakly active, even by its own low standards. Predictions of activity for the next eleven years indicate that this will not change soon

(Excerpt) Read more at scitechdaily.com ...


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science
KEYWORDS: astronomy; beryllium; catastrophism; globalwarminghoax; godsgravesglyphs; greennewdeal; maunderminimum; science
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1 posted on 05/03/2020 6:59:35 AM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: SunkenCiv

ping


2 posted on 05/03/2020 6:59:56 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Here comes the hugh cool. Series doesn’t begin to explain


3 posted on 05/03/2020 7:02:11 AM PDT by no-to-illegals ( Liberals, leftists, Rinos, moslems, illegals, lamestream media. All want America to fail and die)
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To: BenLurkin

4 posted on 05/03/2020 7:05:09 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: BenLurkin

Weak? When in AZ the temps are around 100F?


5 posted on 05/03/2020 7:05:45 AM PDT by SkyDancer ( ~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
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To: BenLurkin

This would mean that our star has been unusually feeble over the past 9000 years



6 posted on 05/03/2020 7:05:56 AM PDT by PeterPrinciple (Thinking Caps are no longer being issued but there must be a warehouse full of them somewhere.)
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To: BenLurkin

Once again, we’re all gonna die. But can we keep going for at least another 11.x years? (AOC says we have that much time. What exactly does she know?)


7 posted on 05/03/2020 7:21:34 AM PDT by Afterguard (Deplorable me!)
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To: Afterguard

Actually, that says we’re not all gonna die. We evidently have a remarkably stable heat source.


8 posted on 05/03/2020 7:36:15 AM PDT by glorgau
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Sooo....unusually weak the last 9000 years...did we get the glacial periods during the more active times....seems counterintuitive....


9 posted on 05/03/2020 7:38:24 AM PDT by TnTnTn
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To: TnTnTn

So...am I going to die before noon today...or what???


10 posted on 05/03/2020 7:42:21 AM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp???)
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To: Afterguard
Once again, we’re all gonna die. But can we keep going for at least another 11.x years? (AOC says we have that much time. What exactly does she know?)

Down to about 10.75 years. Doomsday is January 22, 2031.

11 posted on 05/03/2020 7:42:45 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (Parachutes are only anecdotally effective due to the lack of significant double blind testing.)
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Chilling_Stars


12 posted on 05/03/2020 7:43:39 AM PDT by pa_dweller (Stop looking for 'magic' numbers!)
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To: BenLurkin

Predictions of activity for the next eleven years indicate that this will not change soon.

Then again...


13 posted on 05/03/2020 7:44:07 AM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: BenLurkin

Just one more way in which God fine-tuned the solar system for our benefit.

So let us take full advantage of our stable Sun by spending our days honoring the One who created everything.


14 posted on 05/03/2020 7:50:39 AM PDT by Tom in SFCA
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To: TnTnTn

Not really! Active at least to me means more solar flares which means more charged particles hitting the earth’s atmosphere which means increased cloud cover therefore increased potential for cooling events. All subject to being made stronger or weaker effect by fluctuations in the earth’s magnetic field. Cloud cover can also be enhanced by any volcanic activity which also increases and decreases aperiodically over time. Have a big flare with a minimum earth magnetic field and jump in volcanic activity all at the same time and you might have cooling event worth writing home a out!


15 posted on 05/03/2020 7:53:42 AM PDT by Reily
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To: BenLurkin
Weak in this case refers to the variability, not the average. Other stars work more like a light bulb in a third world country where the brightness varies based on how fast the hamsters are turning the generator.

From the graphs in the article it looks like they show about ten cycles per year, but that could be driven by the sampling rate. So this is week to week changes rather than year to year.

For the Earth, the relation between small changes in solar brightness and temperature is about 1%=0.7°C. Reference: http://www.astronomynotes.com/solarsys/s3c.htm. Temperature is proportional to the 4th root of solar luminosity, so changing from 1.00 to 1.01 times the normal amount results in a factor of 1.0025. Multiply by the Earth's average temperature of 288K (15°C) and you get 288.7K (15.7°C)

16 posted on 05/03/2020 8:01:38 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (Parachutes are only anecdotally effective due to the lack of significant double blind testing.)
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To: BenLurkin

The word normally translated as create in English in Genesis 1 is really for prepare, as in making something from something on hand, adjusting it for a purpose.

As such preparing the greater and lesser lights could indicate modifying something previously created.

... and here we have our temperate, stable and therefore a bit weird Sun...


17 posted on 05/03/2020 8:02:14 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: BenLurkin
While between active and inactive phases solar irradiance fluctuated on average by just 0.07 percent

I'm thinking climate change here, since I think it is proven science that the sun has the greatest impact on the earth's climate. So 0.07% is the average, and it is pretty tight - well maybe. What is range between +/- 1 sd? Also consider that magnitude associated with active and inactive phases. 1.3 million earths fit within the volume of the sun.

18 posted on 05/03/2020 8:11:00 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (It's official! I'm nominated for the 2020 Mr. Hyperbole and Sarcasm Award.)
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To: KarlInOhio

bttt


19 posted on 05/03/2020 8:23:57 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: SkyDancer

It’s all relative. If it were just say 25% stronger we’re all fried.


20 posted on 05/03/2020 8:29:58 AM PDT by John W (Trump/Pence 2020)
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