Posted on 03/02/2016 1:03:08 PM PST by Jeff Head
FYI.
GOOD ANALYSIS! i AM INTERESTED IN THE HISPANIC - BLACK VOTE IN THE LATEST RUN OF VOTES
FYI
Good read. A few typos.
Thanks Jeff.
Actually GOPe wants the gravy train to keep running. Trump is a threat to blow up the greased rails and palms of Crony Capitalism.
Pretty much my thoughts as well. Very nice and impartial analysis, something we don’t see much of lately here on FR.
If Trump loses both, then the momentum will start to turn against him. That said, he will not be getting out and he has plenty of chances to pick up delegates in the Northeast and elsewhere. If Trump wins just FL or Ohio, the momentum will be on his side going forward that will make him unstoppable.
The bottom line is that by March 15, we will have a much better idea of what will happen.
bump
Thanks Jeff Head.
So good!
Heck the only reason I have now for following the races is it gives me an excuse to drink!
Jeff, as always, a great analysis. I wish I were as good with numbers and statistics as you are.
But for all of the excitement and new voters that Trump brings in, he seems to alienate just as many. Let’s take Minnesota as an example. Anecdotally, from what I’ve seen and read among my fellow caucus-goers, many showed up because they were alarmed by a Trump candidacy. A lot of these were first-time caucus goers and not your normal party or conservative activists.
A lot can happen between now and November - but at this point, I see a solid bloc of Republicans, Dems and Independents that won’t vote for Trump...period. He needs some of these voters and I’m not sure he can get them in his fold.
Great analysis. Please add me to your ping list.
Very good analysis. Bump
I agree. By March 15th things are going to be a lot more clear.
Yesterday made them clearer IMHO..
Carson is out. Kasich is waiting for Ohio. Rubio did not do very well, despite winning Minnesota. All of his hopes rest in Florida now and he looks to be losing it big time.
Cruz is the only one at this point, IMHO, with any chance at all of competing with Trump...and truth be told, it is a small chance.
As it is, I fully expect Trump to win FL pretty big, and that will end any hope at all for Rubio...though he may stay in as a spoiler anyway. But the only person he can possible “spoilt” at that point if Cruz...and it might not make any differences in any case.
Kasich will give Trump a run in Ohio...no doubt about that. But even if he wins...it’s just a small speed bump to Trump, and in all likelihood, it is Kasich’s last hoorah and only win.
Great analysis, and thanks for posting
I understand.
But some of those people may go ahead and vote for him if he becomes the nominee and the prospect is either Trump or Hillary.
Some...you will never get no matter what and that holds for all candidates.
Hillary has a lot of those huge negatives too.
What's your thought on a Trump/Cruz ticket?
Let’s take Minnesota as an example. Anecdotally, from what I’ve seen and read among my fellow caucus-goers, many showed up because they were alarmed by a Trump candidacy...
but they are comfortable with Marco Rubio.
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