2016-0307 Presidential Primary Election Numbers & Analysis

There is no doubt, IMHO, that there is a LOT more energy in the GOP primaries this election.

Well over, or at the lest near, record numbers in every single race.

Only a couple of records so far in the DNC, and most are substantially less than the last few.

Now, whether that will turn into the same thing in November is the real question. I have to believe that the more energy and excitement you have in the primaries, the more you would have in the general...but it may not necessarily be true.

Let’s hope it is.

Both the democrat candidates are awful, which belies the vote total. Lots here are all over the map on candidate and out to punish certain republicans. We’ve just spent seven plus years under awful democrat rule. Worst ever. The last thing I want is another four years of a democrat. Personally I can live with any of the four left compared to the two Dems. Oh I have my preference out of the four, but I sure as heck don’t want the Hilda Beast

One important point, Jeff.

Cruz lost Texas by 500,000 or 600,000 votes. Yet he is still up overall by 500,000 votes.

Now, you might be tempted to say, "Shut up, Trumpster."

But it is important for this reason: In the fall, voting will not be limited to committed voters who are involved, and willing to spend an hour or more sitting at a caucus. This means that more "everyday" votes will come into play: and these will be less informed. (That cuts every which way: there will be those who listen to attack ads against Trump as KKK Nazi, as well as those who say "Frick Yeah! Build the Wall !" ; and those who say "Finally, with Cruz we have a committed Christian!" as well as those who say, "Yeah, that Bible Thumper *ought* to be committed, and the sooner the better." Also, the voting will not be limited to Republicans: hence the possibility of crossover votes from the Dems will matter.

What this means is, the larger the number of absolute votes, from the larger number of states, the better. The Dems start out with the deck stacked in their favor in the electoral college: if Trump can put just 1 or 2 reliable Dem states into serious play, he changes the entire dynamic of the race: and I do not yet see evidence that Cruz plays well outside of traditional GOP states -- not when there's a Democrat in the mix.

Thanks for taking time to sift through this, make it pretty, and post all of it!

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